Harashima, Taiji (2015): Why Has the U.S. Current Account Deficit Persisted? International Sustainable Heterogeneity under Floating Exchange Rates.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_67177.pdf Download (860kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Under floating exchange rates, there is a mechanism that generates persistent current account imbalances at a competitively achieved steady state. Even if preferences are heterogeneous, sustainable heterogeneity in which all optimality conditions of all heterogeneous households are satisfied can be achieved if relatively advantaged households do not behave unilaterally. Even if households of a relatively advantaged country behave unilaterally, households in less advantaged countries can counter the unilateral behavior under floating exchange rates and achieve optimality even with persistent current account surpluses or deficits. The observed persistent current account imbalances in many countries in recent decades are shown to be basically consistent with the predictions of this model.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Why Has the U.S. Current Account Deficit Persisted? International Sustainable Heterogeneity under Floating Exchange Rates |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Current account imbalance; Floating exchange rate; Heterogeneity |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E10 - General F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F30 - General F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 67177 |
Depositing User: | Taiji Harashima |
Date Deposited: | 12 Oct 2015 05:13 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 15:04 |
References: | Aghion, Philippe and Peter Howitt. (1998) “Endogenous Growth Theory,” MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. Arrow, Kenneth J. (1962) “Economic Welfare and the Allocation of Resources for Invention,” in The Rate and Direction of Inventive Activity: Economic and Social Factors, pp. 609–626, Princeton University Press, Princeton. Becker, Robert A. (1980) “On the Long-run Steady State in a Simple Dynamic Model of Equilibrium with Heterogeneous Households,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 95, No. 2, pp. 375–382. Cooper, Richard N. (2008) “Global Imbalances: Globalization, Demography, and Sustainability,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 22, No. 3, pp. 93-112. Edwards, Sebvastian. (2005) “Is the U.S. Current Account Deficit Sustainable? If Not, How Costly is Adjustment Likely to Be?” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 36, No. 1, pp. 211-288. Engel, Charles, and John H. Rogers. (2006) “The US Current Account Deficit and the Expected Share of World Output,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 53, pp. 1063-1093. Farmer, Roger E. A. and Amartya Lahiri. (2005) “Recursive Preferences and Balanced Growth,” Journal of Economic Theory, Vo. 125, No. 1, pp. 61–77. Ghiglino, Christian. (2002) “Introduction to a General Equilibrium Approach to Economic Growth,” Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 105, No.1, pp. 1–17. Harashima, Taiji. (2009a) “A Theory of Total Factor Productivity and the Convergence Hypothesis: Workers’ Innovations as an Essential Element,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 15508. Harashima, Taiji. (2009b) “Trade Liberalization and Heterogeneous Rates of Time Preference across Countries: A Possibility of Trade Deficits with China,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 19386. Harashima, Taiji. (2009c) “Endogenous Growth Models in Open Economies: A Possibility of Permanent Current Account Deficits,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 19515. Harashima, Taiji. (2010) “Sustainable Heterogeneity: Inequality, Growth, and Social Welfare in a Heterogeneous Population,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 24233. Harashima, Taiji. (2011) “A Mechanism of Inflation Differentials and Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 28121 Harashima, Taiji. (2013) “An Asymptotically Non-Scale Endogenous Growth Model,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 44393. Harashima, Taiji. (2015) “A Way Out of the Euro Crisis: Fiscal Transfers Are Indispensable for Sustainability in a Union with Heterogeneous Members,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 63025 Hervey, Jack L., and Michael A. Kouparitsas. (2000) “Should We Be Concerned about the Current Account Deficit?” Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, April. Hervey, Jack L. and Loula Merkel. (2000) “A Record Current Account Deficit: Causes and Implications, Economic Perspectives, Vol. 24, No. 4, pp. 3-12. Jacobs, Jane. (1969). The Economy of Cities, Random House, New York. Jones, Charles I. (1995a) “Time Series Test of Endogenous Growth Models,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 110, No. 2, pp. 495–525. Jones, Charles I. (1995b) “R&D-Based Models of Economic Growth,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 103, No. 4, pp. 759–784. Lawrance, Emily C. (1991) “Poverty and the Rate of Time Preference: Evidence from Panel Data,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 99, No. 1, pp. 54–77. Obstfeld, Maurice and Kenneth S Rogoff. (2005) “Global Current Account Imbalances and Exchange Rate Adjustments,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 36, No. 1, pp. 67-146. Obstfeld, Maurice and Kenneth S Rogoff. (2007) “The Unsustainable U.S. Current Account Position Revisited,” in Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, Richard H. Clarida (ed.), NBER Books, Cambridge, MA. Peretto, Pietro and Sjak Smulders. (2002) “Technological Distance, Growth and Scale Effects,” The Economic Journal, Vol. 112, pp. 603–624. Prescott, Edward C. (1998) “Needed: A Theory of Total Factor Productivity,” International Economic Review, Vol. 39, No. 3, pp. 525–551. Romer, Paul M. (1986) “Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 94, No. 5, pp. 1002–1037. Samwick, Andrew A. (1998) “Discount Rate Heterogeneity and Social Security Reform,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 57, No. 1, pp. 117–146. Ventura, Luigi. (2003) “Direct Measure of Time-preference,” Economic and Social Review, Vol. 34, No. 3, pp. 293–310. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/67177 |