Paternesi Meloni, Walter (2016): Austerity and competitiveness in the Eurozone: a misleading linkage.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_75962.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
After a preliminary focus on increasing government debts, the debate on the “Eurozone crisis” switched over persistent external imbalances - both trade and net foreign assets - among European Monetary Union country members. Endorsing a pure neoclassical view, current account differentials were almost exclusively ascribed to weak price competitiveness of deficit countries (the so called Euro Area periphery), neglecting both demand-side factors and the structural productive asymmetries of the EMU. As a consequence, policy makers decided to impose austerity measures to peripheral countries in order to foster their competitiveness, and consequently to correct external imbalances by means of increasing export - while current accounts realignment mainly occurred due to decreasing import. In this paper, we identify this view as competitive austerity, in parallel with the debated expansionary austerity. According to their proponents, these policies would have a direct impact on trade balances and expansionary effects on real output and employment. By contrast, from an alternative standpoint fiscal restraints can be generally considered as counterproductive. In this perspective, following Keynesian arguments the aim of this paper is to critically assess the austerity-competitiveness linkage from a theoretical perspective. Moreover, some macroeconomic evidences are suggested to evaluate both effectiveness on external positions and real side-effects of austerity policies.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Austerity and competitiveness in the Eurozone: a misleading linkage |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | austerity, competitiveness, European imbalances, current account, fiscal policy, aggregate demand |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E63 - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy ; Stabilization ; Treasury Policy F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F32 - Current Account Adjustment ; Short-Term Capital Movements F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F45 - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions |
Item ID: | 75962 |
Depositing User: | Walter Paternesi Meloni |
Date Deposited: | 04 Jan 2017 17:08 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 09:12 |
References: | ALESINA, Alberto F. (2010) - Fiscal adjustments: lessons from recent history, paper prepared for the ECOFIN meeting in Madrid, April 15. ALESINA, Alberto F., ARDAGNA, Silvia (2009) - Large changes in fiscal policy: taxes versus spending, National Bureau of Economic Research, WP 15438, October. ALESINA, Alberto F., PEROTTI, Roberto (1994) - The Welfare State and Competitiveness, National Bureau of Economic Research, WP No. 4810, July. ALESINA, Alberto F., PEROTTI, Roberto (1995) - Fiscal Expansions and Adjustments in OECD countries, NBER Working Paper No. 5214, August. ALESINA, Alberto F., PEROTTI, Roberto (2010) - Germany spending is not the cure, Voxeu.org, 17 June. ALESSANDRINI, Pietro, FRATIANNI Michele, HUGHES, Hallett, PRESBITERO, Andrea F. (2012) - External imbalances and financial fragility in the Eurozone, MoFiR working paper No. 66. ARTUS, Patrick (2011) - Improving euro-zone countries' competitiveness: In what ways does a reduction in wages differ from a devaluation of the exchange rate?, Natixis-Economic research, 14 September, No. 664. ATTINASI, Maria Grazia, CHECHERITA-WESTPHAL, Cristina D., NICKEL, Christiane (2009) - What Explains the Surge in Euro Area Sovereign Spreads During the Financial Crisis of 2007-09?, ECB Working Paper No. 1131, December, 17. BAGNAI, Alberto (2010) - La morale della favola irlandese, archivio.lavoce.info, 17 December. BAGNAI, Alberto (2012a) - Crisi finanziaria e governo dell'economia, costituzionalismo.it, Gennaio. BAGNAI, Alberto (2012b) - Il tramonto dell’Euro, Imprimatur Editore, Novembre. BARBA, Aldo, PIVETTI, Massimo (2009) - Rising household debt: its causes and macroeconomic implications – a long-period analysis, Cambridge Journal of Economics 2009, 33, 113–137. BAYOUMI, Tamim, HARMSEN, Richard, TURUNEN, Jarkko (2011) - Euro Area Export Performance and Competitiveness, IMF Working Paper No. 140. BELKE, Angsar, DREGER, Christian (2011) - Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area: Catching Up or Competitiveness?, Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Discussion Paper, Berlin 02-2011 BENIGNO, Pierpaolo (2012) - La medicina Bce e il male europeo, Il Sole 24 ore, 2 marzo 2012. BLANCHARD, Olivier (2006) - Adjustment within the euro. The difficult case of Portugal, Portuguese Economic Journal, Volume 6 (2007), Issue 1 (April), Pages: 1-21. BLANCHARD, Olivier (2007) - Current Account Deficits in Rich Countries, IMF Staff Papers 54(2):191-219. BLANCHARD, Olivier, GIAVAZZI, Francesco (2002) - Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area: The End of the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle?, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(2), pages 147-210. BLANCHARD, Olivier, JOHNSON, David R. (2013) - Macroeconomics, Sixth edition, Pearson. BLANCHARD, Olivier, LEIGH, Daniel (2013) - Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers, IMF Working Paper No. 13/1, January. BLINDER, Alan S. (1997) - Is There a Core of Practical Macroeconomics That We Should all Believe?, American Economic Review, 1997, n. 2. BRANCACCIO, Emiliano (2008) - Deficit commerciale, crisi di bilancio e politica deflazionista, Studi Economici, n. 96-2008/3. BRANCACCIO, Emiliano (2011) - Crisi dell’unità europea e standard retributivo, Diritti Lavori Mercati, II. BUSCH, Klaus, HERMANN, Christoph, HINRICHS, Karl, SCHULTEN, Thorsten (2013) - “Euro Crisis, Austerity Policy and the European Social Model: How Crisis Policies in Southern Europe Threaten the EU’s Social Dimension”, Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, International Policy Analysis, February. CALMFORS, Lars (1998) - Macroeconomic policy, wage setting and employment: what difference does the EMU make?, Institute for International economic studies, Stockholm University, Seminar Paper N.657. CESARATTO, Sergio (2010) - Alle origini della crisi europea in corso: spunti critici a margine di due rapporti della Commissione, Dipartimento di Economia Politica, Università di degli studi di Siena, n.596. CESARATTO, Sergio (2012) - Controversial and novel featuresof the Eurozone crisis as a balance of payment crisis, Dipartimento di Economia Politica, Università di degli studi di Siena, n.640. CESARATTO, Sergio (2015) - Alternative interpretation of a Stateless Currency Crisis, Asimmetrie Working Paper, 2015/08. CESARATTO, Sergio, STIRATI, Antonella (2011) - Germany and the European and Global Crisis, Dipartimento di Economia Politica, Università di degli studi di Siena, n.607. CHIRINKO, Robert S. (1993) - Business Fixed Investment Spending: Modeling Srategies, Empirical Results and Policy Implications, Journal of Economic Literature, vol 31. CICCONE, Roberto (2002) - Debito Pubblico, Domanda Aggregata e Accumulazione, Aracne, Roma. COMUNALE, Mariarosaria, HESSEL, Jeroen (2013) - Current account imbalances in the Euro area: competitiveness or financial cycle?, DNB Working Paper n.433. DADUSH, Uri, STANCIL, Bennet (2011) - Is the euro rescue succeeding?, VoxEU.org, 6 February. DANNINGER, Stephan, JOUTZ, Fred (2007) - What Explains Germany’s Rebounding Export Market Share?, IMF Working Paper n. 24. DE GRAUWE, Paul (2011) - The financial crisis and the future of the Eurozone, Bruges European Economic Policy Briefings, n. 21, Bruges: College of Europe. Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, Economic Papers 498, April. DRAGHI, Mario (2013) - Euro area economic situation and the foundations for growth, presentation by the President of the ECB at the Euro Summit, Brussels, 14 March 2013. EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2009) - Competitiveness developments within the euro area, Volume 8, N.1. EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2010) - The impact of the global crisis on competitiveness and current account divergences in the Euro Area, Volume 9, N.1. EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2012) - Scoreboard for the surveillance of macroeconomic imbalances, European Economy Occasional Paper, No 92. EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2013) - European Competitiveness Report Executive Summary. European Communities (1990) - One market, one money, an evaluation of the potential benefits and costs of forming an economic and monetary union, Directorate general for Economic and Financial affairs, October. FRITSCHE, Ulrich, ERBER, Georg (2008) - Labour productivity growth in good old Germany: is Germany falling further behind?, www.ulrich-fritsche.net, 19 September. GABRISCH, Hubert, STAEHR, Karsten (2012) -The Euro Plus Pact: competitiveness and external capital flows in the EU countries, Eesti Pank WP Series, 5/2012. GAREGNANI, Pierangelo (1979) - Valore e domanda effettiva, Keynes, la ripresa dell'economia classica e la critica ai marginalisti, Torino, Einaudi. GAULIER, Guillaume, VICARD, Vincent (2012) - Current account imbalances in the Euro area: competitiveness or demand shock?, Banque de France , Quarterly Selection of Articles, No. 27. GIAVAZZI, Francesco, PAGANO, Marco (1990) - Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be Expansionary? Tales of Two Small European Countries, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 5: 75-111. JSTOR 3585133. GIAVAZZI, Francesco, SPAVENTA, Luigi (2010) - Why the current account may matter in a monetary union, Lessons from the financial crisis in the Euro area, Discussion Paper 8008, Centre for Economic Policy Research. GROS, Daniel (2014) - What makes Greece special?, Project-Syndicate.org, Brussels, March 6. HALLET, Andrew Hughes, MARTINEZ OLIVA, Juan Carlos (2013) - The Importance of Trade and Capital Imbalances in the European Debt Crisis, Peterson Institute for International Economics, WP 13-01. ILO (2012a) - Global Employment Trends, Preventing a deeper jobs crisis, Geneva. ILO (2012b) - Global wage report 2012/13, technical report. International Monetary Fund (2010) - World Economic Outlook, Rebalancing growth, April, in OECD Countries, Discussion Paper Series No. 754, June. International Monetary Fund (2016) - World Economic Outlook, Too Slow for too Long, April. J.P. MORGAN (2013) -The Euro area adjustment: about halfway there, Europe Economic Research, 28/05/13. KALDOR, Nicholas (1966) - Marginal productivity and the macro-economic theories of distribution, Review of Economic Studies 33(4), 309. KALDOR, Nicholas (1971) - The Dynamic Effects Of The Common Market, firstly published in the New Statesman, 12 March 1971, and also reprinted in “Further Essays On Applied Economics” (Vol. VI, Chapter 12, pp 187-220). KALECKI, Michal (1954) - Theory of Economic Dynamics: An Essay on Cyclical and Long-Run Changes in Capitalist Economy, 1965 reprint. KEYNES, John Maynard (1936) - The general theory of employment, interest and money, Palgrave Macmillan, Cambridge University Press for Royal Economic Society. KEYNES, John Maynard (1943) - Proposals for an international clearing union, British government publication, Cmd. 6437:20, London, April. KEYNES, John Maynard (1980) - The Collected Writings, Volume XXV: Activities, 1940-44 - Shaping the Post-war World: The Clearing Union, Basingstoke. KRUGMAN, Paul (1996) - Pop internationalism, The MIT Press. KRUGMAN, Paul (2000) - Fire-sale FDI, in Edwards, Sebastian, “Capital flows and the emerging economies: theory, evidence, and controversies”, NBER Books, Inc, December. KRUGMAN, Paul (2014) - Notes on Easy Money and Inequality, The conscience of a liberal, Krugman Blog NY Times, October 25. LANE, Philip R., MILESI-FERRETTI, Gian Maria (2007) - The external wealth of nations mark II: Revised and extended estimates of foreign assets and liabilities, 1970-2004, Journal of International Economics 73, November, 223-250, Updated and Extended "External Wealth of Nations" Dataset, 1970-2011. LEAO, Pedro (2013) - The Effect of Government Spending on the Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Some Keynesian Arithmetic, Metroeconomica, Volume 64, Issue 3, pages 448-465, July. LESTRADE, Brigitte (2010) - Les réformes sociales Hartz IV à l’heure de la rigueur en Allemagne, Notes du Cerfa, IFRI, June. LEVRERO, Enrico Sergio (2012) - Un passo indietro? L’euro e la crisi del debito, in Oltre l’austerità, Micro Mega, Luglio. LEVRERO, Enrico Sergio (2014) - Potenza e limiti della BCE, Economia & Politica, 6 maggio 2014. MARIN, Dalia (2010) - Germany’s super competitiveness: a helping hand from Eastern Europe, VoxEU.org. MAYER, Thomas (2011) - Euroland’s hidden balance-of-payments crisis, Deutsche Bank, EU Monitor n. 88. MERLER, Silvia, PISANI-FERRY, Jean (2012) - Sudden stops in the Euro area, Bruegel policy contribution, issue 06, March. MUNDELL, Robert A. (1968) - A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas, International Economics, New York, Macmillan, pp. 177-186. MURER, Philippe (2012) - Quels sont les véritables taux de chômage en France et en Allemagne? Forumdemocratique.fr, 13 février 2012. NOCELLA, Gianluigi (2015) - Competitività e distribuzione funzionale nell’Eurozona, a/working paper 2015/04 (March), asimmetrie.org. NUTI, Mario (2013) - Perverse Fiscal Consolidation, Sbilanciamoci.info, 11 ottobre 2013. PAPADIMITRIOU, Dimitri B., NIKIFOROS, Michalis, ZEZZA, Gennaro (2013a) - Waiting for Export-led Growth: Why the Troika’s Greek Strategy Is Failing, Levy Economics Institute One-page-paper N.41, 05.09. PAPADIMITRIOU, Dimitri B., NIKIFOROS, Michalis, ZEZZA, Gennaro (2013b) - A Levy Institute model for Greece, Technical Paper, May 2013. PEROTTI, Roberto (2011) - The "austerity myth": gain without pain?, CEPR Discussion Paper, November. REINHART, Carmen M., ROGOFF, Kenneth S. (2010) - Growth in a time of Debt, NBER Working paper series, Working Paper 15639, January. RICARDO, David (1820) - Funding system, in The works and correspondence of David Ricardo (ed. critica a cura di P. Sraffa e M. Dobb), vol. IV, Cambridge 1951. SIMONAZZI, Annamaria, GINZBURG, Andrea, NOCELLA Gianluigi (2013) - Economic relations between Germany and southern Europe, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2013, 37, 653-675. SINN, Hans-Werner (2012) - The European balance-of-payment crisis, CESifo Forum Volume 13. SINN, Hans-Werner (2014) - Austerity, Growth and Inflation: Remarks on the Eurozone's Unresolved Competitiveness Problem, The World Economy, Vol. 37, Issue 1, pp. 1-13, January. STIRATI, Antonella (2012) - Crescita e riforma del mercato del lavoro, in Oltre l’austerità, Micro Mega, Luglio. STOCKHAMMER, Engelbert (2011) - Peripheral Europe’s Debt and German Wages. The Role of Wage Policy in the Euro Area, Kingston University, Research on Money and Finance, Discussion Paper no. 29. STOCKHAMMER, Engelbert, ONARAN, Özlem (2012) - Rethinking wage policy in the face of the Euro crisis. Implications of the wage-led demand regime, International Review of Applied Economics, Vol. 26, No. 2, March 2012, 191-203. THEODOROPOULOU, Sotiria, WATT, Andrew (2011) - Withdrawal Symptoms: an Assessment of the Austerity Packages in Europe, European Trade Union Institute, Working Paper 2011.02. UXÓ, Jorge, JESÚS, Paúl, FEBRERO, Eladio (2011) - Current Account Imbalances in the Monetary Union and the Great Recession: Causes and Policies, Panoeconomicus, 2011, 5, Special Issue, pp. 571-592. VIANELLO, Fernando (2005) - La Moneta Unica Europea, Mimeo, in Economia & Lavoro (2013), XLVII-1, pp. 27-46. WHYTE, Philip (2010) - Why Germany is not a model for the Eurozone, Centre for European Reforms. WOLF, Martin (2011) - What has the ECB done in the crisis? The role of TARGET balances, Martin Wolf’s Exchange, Economic Issues, December 28. WYPLOSZ, Charles (2013) - Europe’s quest for fiscal discipline, European Commission Economic Paper 498, April, ISSN 1725-3187. ZEZZA, Gennaro (2012) - La crisi dell'euro: invertire la rotta o abbandonare la nave? in Oltre l'austerità, MicroMega, Roma. ZEZZA, Gennaro (2013) - Are structural reforms the Cure for Southern Europe?, Multiplier Effect, The Levy Economics Institute Blog, September 30. ZEZZA, Gennaro (2014) - Export-led growth for Greece?, Multiplier Effect, The Levy Economics Institute Blog, March 8, 2014. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/75962 |
Available Versions of this Item
- Austerity and competitiveness in the Eurozone: a misleading linkage. (deposited 04 Jan 2017 17:08) [Currently Displayed]