El rol de los regímenes de precipitaciones sobre la dinámica de precios y actividad del sector agropecuario de la República Dominicana durante el período 2000-2016

Checo, Ariadne and Mejía, Mariam and Ramírez, Francisco A. (2017): El rol de los regímenes de precipitaciones sobre la dinámica de precios y actividad del sector agropecuario de la República Dominicana durante el período 2000-2016.

Abstract

We assess the impact of extreme variations in rainfalls on consumer prices and agricultural economic activity during the period of 2000 - 2016. Using historical records on rainfall at national level and time series techniques, we identify important effects of droughts over price dynamics and moderate effects on agricultural value added growth. Relative to the events of rainfall excess, we find evidence of a relevant negative effect on sectorial value added, nevertheless we do not observe any significant influence on food prices.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: The role of rainfall regimes on agricultural sector price and activity dynamics in the Dominican Republic during the period 2000 - 2016.
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: Business cycles, inflation, rainfall.
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C31 - Cross-Sectional Models ; Spatial Models ; Treatment Effect Models ; Quantile Regressions ; Social Interaction Models; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters and Their Management ; Global Warming

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