Szkup, Michal (2017): Multiplier effect and comparative statics in global games of regime change.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_82729.pdf Download (575kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper provides a general analysis of comparative statics results in global games. I show that the effect of a change in any parameter of the global game model can be decomposed into the direct effect, which captures the effect of a change in parameters when agents' beliefs are held constant, and the multiplier effect, which captures the role of adjustments in agents' beliefs. I characterize conditions under which the multiplier effect is strong and relate it to the strength of strategic complementarities and the publicity multiplier emphasized in earlier work. Finally, I use the above insights to identify when comparative statics can be deduced from the model's primitives, when they do not depend on the information structure, and when they coincide with predictions of the complete information model.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Multiplier effect and comparative statics in global games of regime change |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | global games, comparative statics, multiplier effect, strategic complementarities, publicity multiplier |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D80 - General |
Item ID: | 82729 |
Depositing User: | Dr Michal Szkup |
Date Deposited: | 17 Nov 2017 11:26 |
Last Modified: | 29 Sep 2019 14:41 |
References: | Angeletos, G.-M., C. Hellwig, and A. Pavan (2006): "Signalling in a global game: Coordination and policy traps," Journal of Political Economy, 114(3), 452-484. Angeletos, G.-M., C. Hellwig, and A. Pavan (2007): "Dynamic global games of regime change: Learning, multiplicity, and the timing of attacks," Econometrica, 75(3), 711-756. Angeletos, G.-M., and A. Pavan (2007): "Efficient use of information and social value of information," Econometrica, 75(4), 1103-1142. Angeletos, G.-M., and A. Pavan (2013): "Selection-free predictions in global games with endogenous information and multiple equilibria," Theoretical Economics, 8(3), 883-938. Angeletos, G.-M., and I. Werning (2006): "Crises and prices: Information aggregation, multiplicity, and volatility," American Economic Review, 96(5), 1720-1736. Bannier, C., and F. Heinemann (2005): "Optimal transparency and risk-taking to avoid currency crises," Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics JITE, 161(3), 374-391. Bebchuk, L. A., and I. Goldstein (2011): "Self-fulfilling credit market freezes," Review of Financial Studies, 24(11), 3519-3555. Brunnermeier, M. K. (2009): "Deciphering the liquidity and credit crunch 2007-2008," The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 23(1), 77-100. Carlsson, H., and E. V. Damme (1993): "Global games and equilibrium selection," Econometrica, 61(5), 989-1018. Cooper, R., and A. John (1988): "Coordinating coordination failures in Keynesian models,"The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 103(3), 441-463. Dasgupta, A. (2007): "Coordination and delay in global games," Journal of Economic Theory, 134(1), 195-225. De la Fuente, A. (2000): Mathematical Methods and Models for Economists. Cambridge University Press. Duchin, R., P. Ozbas, and B. A. Sensoy (2010): "Costly external finance, corporate investment, and the subprime mortgage credit crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), 418-435. Edmond, C. (2013): "Information manipulation, coordination, and regime change," Review of Economic Studies, 80(4), 1422-1458. Eisenbach, T. (2016): "Rollover risk as market discipline: A two-sided inefficiency," Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report, Number 597. Frankel, D., S. Morris, and A. Pauzner (2003): "Equilibrium selection in global games with strategic complementarities," Journal of Economic Theory, 108(1), 1-44. Goldstein, I., and A. Pauzner (2005): "Demand-deposit contracts and the probability of bank runs," The Journal of Finance, LX(3), 1293-1327. Guimaraes, B., and S. Morris (2007): "Risk and wealth in a model of self-fulfilling currency attacks," Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(8), 2205-2230. Hellwig, C. (2002): "Public information, private information, and the multiplicity of equilibria in coordination games," Journal of Economic Theory, 107(2), 191-222. Hellwig, C., A. Mukherji, and A. Tsyvinski (2006): "Self-fulfilling currency crises: The role of interest rates," American Economic Review, 95(6), 1769-1787. Iachan, F., and P. Nenov (2015): "Information quality and crises in regime-change games," Journal of Economic Theory, 158, 739-768. Ivashina, V., and D. Scharfstein (2010): "Bank lending during the �nancial crisis of 2008," Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), 319-338. Mathevet, L., and J. Steiner (2013): "Tractable dynamic global games and applications," Journal of Economic Theory, 148(6), 2583-2619. Metz, C. (2002): "Private and public information in self-fulfilling currency crises," Journal of Economics, 76(1), 65-85. Milgrom, P., and J. Roberts (1990): "Rationalizability, learning, and equilibrium in games with strategic complementarities," Econometrica, 58(6), 1255-1277. Morris, S., and H. Shin (1998): "Unique equilibrium in a model of self-fulfilling currency attacks," American Economic Review, 88(3), 587-597. Morris, S., and H. Shin (2002): "Social value of public information," The American Economic Review, 92(5), 1521-1534. Morris, S., and H. Shin (2003): "Global games: Theory and applications," in Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, Eighth World Congress (Econometric Society Monographs Volume 1), ed. by M. Dewatripont, L. P. Hansen, and S. Turnovsky, pp. 56-114. Cambridge University Press. Morris, S., and H. Shin (2004): "Coordination risk and the price of debt," European Economic Review, 48(1), 133-153. Morris, S., and H. Shin (2016): "Illiquidity component of credit risk,"International Economic Review, 57(4), 1135-1148. Oury, M. (2013): "Noise-independent selection in multidimensional global games," Journal of Economic Theory, 148(6), 2638-2665. Rochet, J.-C., and X. Vives (2004): "Coordination failures and the lender of last resort: Was Bagehot right after all?," Journal of the European Economic Association, 2(6), 1116-1147. Sakovics, J., and J. Steiner (2012): "Who matters in coordination problems?," The American Economic Review, 102(7), 3439-3461. Schaal, E., and M. Taschereau-Dumouchel (2016): "Coordinating business cycles," NYU working paper. Steiner, J. (2008): "Coordination cycles," Games and Economic Behavior, 63(1), 308-327. Szkup, M. (2016): "Debt overhang and rollover risk," UBC working paper. Szkup, M. (2017): "Preventing self-fulfilling debt crises: The role of expectations," UBC working paper. Szkup, M., and I. Trevino (2015): "Information acquisition in global games of regime change," Journal of Economic Theory, 160(1), 387-428. Tarashev, N. (2007): "Speculative attacks and the information role of the interest rate," Journal of the European Economic Association, 5(1), 1-36. Topkis, D. (1998): Supermodularity and Complementarity. Princeton University Press. Ui, T., and Y. Yoshizawa (2015): "Characterizing social value of information," Journal of Economic Theory, 158, 507-535. Van Zandt, T., and X. Vives (2007): "Monotone equilibria in Bayesian games of strategic complementarities," Journal of Economic Theory, 134(1), 339-360. Vives, X. (1990): "Nash equilibrium with strategic complementarities," Journal of Mathematical Economics, 19(3), 305-321. Vives, X. (2004): "Complementarities and games: New developments," Journal of Economic Literature, 43(2), 437-479. Vives, X. (2014): "Strategic complementarity, fragility, and regulation,"Review of Financial Studies, 27(12), 3547-3592. Zabai, A. (2014): "Managing default risk," BIS Working Papers No. 467. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/82729 |