Hauner, Thomas and Milanovic, Branko and Naidu, Suresh (2017): Inequality, Foreign Investment, and Imperialism.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_83068.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
We present an empirical restatement of the classical economic theory of imperialism and the origins of World War I. Using recent data, we show 1) inequality was at historical highs in all the advanced belligerent countries at the turn of the century, 2) rich wealth holders invested more of their assets abroad, 3) risk-adjusted foreign returns were higher than risk-adjusted domestic returns, 4) establishing direct political control decreased the riskiness of foreign assets, 5) increased inequality was associated with higher share of foreign assets in GDP, and 6) increased share of foreign assets was correlated with higher levels of military mobilization. Together, these facts suggest that the classic theory of imperialism may have some empirical support.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Inequality, Foreign Investment, and Imperialism |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Inequality, foreign investments, imperialism |
Subjects: | N - Economic History > N2 - Financial Markets and Institutions N - Economic History > N2 - Financial Markets and Institutions > N24 - Europe: 1913- N - Economic History > N3 - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy N - Economic History > N3 - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy > N34 - Europe: 1913- N - Economic History > N4 - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation N - Economic History > N4 - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation > N43 - Europe: Pre-1913 |
Item ID: | 83068 |
Depositing User: | Branko Milanovic |
Date Deposited: | 04 Dec 2017 07:21 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 17:31 |
References: | Allen, R. C. (2016). Revising England's Social Tables Once Again. Discussion Papers in Economic and Social History Number 146, University of Oxford, http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/14550/paper-146-july-2016.pdf. Alvaredo, F., Atkinson, A. B., & Morelli, S. (2017). Top Wealth Shares in the UK Over More than a Century. Working paper, CEPR. Amin, S. (1974). Accumulation on a World Scale: A Critique of the Theory of Underdevelopment, vol. 1{2. Monthly Review Press. Atkinson, A. B. (2003). Top Incomes in the United Kingdom Over the Twentieth Century. Http://www.nuffeld.ox.ac.uk/users/atkinson/TopIncomes20033.pdf. Benhabib, J., Bisin, A., & Zhu, S. (2015). The Wealth Distribution in Bewley Economies with Capital Income Risk. Journal of Economic Theory, 159 , 489{515. Bersch, J., & Kaminsky, G. L. (2008). Financial Globalization in the 19th Century: Germany as a Financial Center. George Washington University Working Paper. Bordo, M. D., & Rockoff, H. (1996). The Gold Standard as a "Good Housekeeping Seal of Approval". The Journal of Economic History, 56 (2), 389{428. Brandolini, A., & Vecchi, G. (2011). The Well-Being of Italians. Economic History Working Paper No. 19, Banca d'Italia. Cain, P. J., & Hopkins, A. G. (1980). The Political Economy of British Expansion Overseas, 1750{1914. The Economic History Review, 33 (4), 463{490. Chabot, B., & Kurz, C. (2009). That's Where the MoneyWas: Foreign Bias and English Investment Abroad, 1866{1907. The Economic Journal, 120 (547), 1056{1079. Clark, G. (1936). The Balance Sheets of Imperialism: Facts and Figures on Colonies. Columbia University Press New York. Clemens, M. A., & Williamson, J. G. (2004). Wealth bias in the first global capital market boom, 1870{1913. The Economic Journal, 114 (495), 304{337. Driscoll, J., & Kraay, A. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 80 (4), 549{560. Dumke, R. J. (1991). Income Inequality and Industrialization in Germany 1850{1913: Kuznets Hypothesis Re-Examined. In Y. Brenner, H. Kaelble, & M. Thomas (Eds.) Income Distribution in Historical Perspective, (pp. 117{148). Cambridge and Paris: Cambridge University Press and Editions de la Maison des Sciences de l'Homme. Edelstein, M. (1982). Overseas Investment in the Age of High Imperialism: The United Kingdom, Columbia University Press New York. Edelstein, M. (2010). The Realized Rate of Return to 703 UK Home and Foreign Equity, Preference and Debenture Securities, 1870-1913: Data Sources, Description and EXCEL Instructions. URL http://www.qc-econ-bba.com/facultypages/edelstein/ 39. Esteves, R. (2011). The Belle Epoque of International Finance: French Capital Exports, 18801914. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2024984 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2024984. Ferguson, N. (1998). The Pity of War. Penguin Press. Ferguson, N., & Schularick, M. (2006). The Empire Effect: The Determinants of Country Risk in the First Age of Globalization, 1880{1913. The Journal of Economic History, 66 (02). Findlay, R., & O'Rourke, K. H. (2009). Power and Plenty: Trade, War, and the World Economy in the Second Millennium. Princeton University Press. Gallagher, J., & Robinson, R. (1953). The Imperialism of Free Trade. The Economic History Review, 6 (1), 1{15). Grant, O. W. (2014). Does Industrialization Push Up Inequality? New Evidence on the Kuznets Curve from Nineteenth Cenutry Prussian Tax Statistics. Discussion Papers in Economic and Social History Number 48, University of Oxford. Grossman, R. S. (2017). Stocks for the Long Run: New Monthly Indices of British Equities, 1869-1929. Economic Working Papers 2017-004, Wesleyan University, Middletown, CT. Hilferding, R. (1910). Finance Capital: A Study of the Latest Phase of Capitalist Development.Routledge. Hobson, J. A. (1900). The War in South Africa: its causes and effects. J. Nisbet. Hobson, J. A. (1902). Imperialism: A Study. New York: James Pott and Company. Kindleberger, C. P., & Aliber, R. Z. (2005). Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises. John Wiley & Sons, 5th ed. Lenin, V. (1917). Imperialism: The Highest Stage of Capitalism. Petrograd: Zhizn i Znaniye. Lindert, P., & Williamson, J. (1983). Reinterpreting British Social Tables 1688{1913. Explorations in Economic History, 20 , 94{109). Lindert, P., & Williamson, J. (2016). Unequal Gains: American Growth and Inequality Since 1700 . Princeton University Press. Luxemburg, R. (1913). The Accumulation of Capital. Maddison-Project (2013). http://www.ggdc.net/maddison/maddison-project/home.htm. Marshall, M. G., Gurr, T. R., & Jaggers, K. (2015). POLITY IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2014. URL http://www.systemicpeace.org/inscrdata.html Michie, R. C. (2001). The London Stock Exchange: A History. Oxford University Press. Milanovic, B. (2016). Global Inequality: A New Approach For the Age of Globalization. Harvard University Press. URL https://books.google.com/books?id=ggnbCwAAQBAJ Milanovic, B., Lindert, P., & Williamson, J. (2011). Pre-Industrial Inequality. The Economic Journal, 121 (551), 255{272) Mitchell, N. (1996). The Height of the German Challenge: The Venezuela Blockade, 1902{3) Diplomatic History, Spring, 185{209). Mitchener, K., & Weidenmier, M. (2010). Supersanctions and Sovereign Debt Repayment. Journal of International Money and Finance, 29 , 19{36). Mitchener, K. J., & Weidenmier, M. (2005). Empire, Public Goods, and the Roosevelt Corollary. The Journal of Economic History, 65 (3), 658{692). Novokmet, F. (2017). The Long-Run Evolution of Inequality in the Czech Lands: Top Income Shares 1898-2015. Ph.d. dissertation entre communisme et capitalisme: essais sur l'evolution des inegalites de revenus et patrimoines en europe de l'est, 1890-2015, Paris School of Economics. Offer, A. (1989). The First World War: An Agrarian Interpretation. Oxford: Clarendon Press. Parent, A., & Rault, C. (2004). The In uences Affecting French Assets Abroad Prior to 1914. The Journal of Economic History, 64 (2), 328{362). Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the 21st Century. Harvard University Press. Piketty, T., Postel-Vinay, G., & Rosenthal, J.-L. (2014). Inherited vs Self-Made Wealth: Theory and Evidence from a Rentier Society (Paris 1871{1927). Explorations in Economic History, 51. Piketty, T., & Zucman, G. (2014). Capital is Back: Wealth-Income Ratios in Rich Countries, 1700-2010. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129 (3). Platt, D. (1968). Finance, Trade, and Politics in British Foreign Policy: 1815{1914 . Oxford University Press. Rutherford, J., & Sotiropoulos, D. (2016). Putting All Their Eggs in One Basket? Portfolio Diversiffcation 1870-1902. Accounting History Review, 26 (3), 285305. Sarkees, M. R., & Wayman, F. (2010). Resort to War: 1816-2007 . Washington D.C.: CQ Press. Saul, S. B. (1960). Studies in British Overseas Trade, 18701914 . Liverpool University Press. Scheidel, W. (2017). The Great Leveler: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the Twenty-First Century. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk. The Journal of Finance, 19 (3). Singer, J. D. (1987). Reconstructing the Correlates of War Dataset on Material Capabilities of States, 1816-1985. International Interactions, 14 , 115-132. Smith, I. R. (1996). The Origins of the South African War, 1899-1902 . Longman Publishing Group. Smolensky, E., & Plotnick, R. (1992). Inequality and Poverty in the Unites States: 1900 to 1990".Discussion Paper No. 998-93, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Institute for Research on Poverty, Available at http://www.irp.wisc.edu/publications/dps/pdfs/dp99893.pdf. Tooze, A. (2015). Capitalist Peace or Capitalist War? The July Crisis Revisited. Cataclysm 1914: The First World War and the Making of Modern World Politics, (p. 66). Weber, M. (1922). Economy and Society. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/83068 |