Grechyna, Daryna (2017): Mandatory Spending, Political Polarization, and Macroeconomic Volatility.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_83452.pdf Download (455kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Political polarization combined with political turnover have been shown to amplify economic fluctuations (Azzimonti and Talbert, 2014). This paper analyzes a fiscal policy institution capable of reducing the volatility caused by these political frictions. We introduce the distinction between mandatory and discretionary public spending in a political model of optimal fiscal policy. We show that different legislative nature of these components of government spending leads to a divergent impact of mandatory and discretionary spending on politically-driven macroeconomic volatility. Increasing the fraction of mandatory spending in total government spending reduces the volatility; increasing the fraction of discretionary spending has the opposite effect. The presence of the legislative requirements behind the changes in mandatory public spending can explain simultaneous rise in political polarization and decline in the U.S output volatility after the 1980s.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Mandatory Spending, Political Polarization, and Macroeconomic Volatility |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | business cycles; optimal fiscal policy; mandatory and discretionary public spending; macroeconomic volatility; political economy; political polarization. |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E62 - Fiscal Policy H - Public Economics > H1 - Structure and Scope of Government > H11 - Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government H - Public Economics > H3 - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents > H30 - General H - Public Economics > H4 - Publicly Provided Goods > H40 - General |
Item ID: | 83452 |
Depositing User: | Daryna Grechyna |
Date Deposited: | 24 Dec 2017 08:40 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 22:38 |
References: | Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., Robinson, J. and Thaicharoen, Y., 2003. Institutional causes, macroeconomic symptoms: volatility, crises and growth. Journal of monetary economics, 50(1): 49--123. Alesina, A., Campante, F.R. and Tabellini, G., 2008. Why is fiscal policy often procyclical?. Journal of the european economic association, 6(5): 1006--1036. Azzimonti, M., 2011. Barriers to investment in polarized societies. The American Economic Review, 101(5): 2182--2204. Azzimonti, M., 2015. The dynamics of public investment under persistent electoral advantage. Review of Economic Dynamics, 18(3):653--678. Azzimonti, M. and Talbert, M., 2014. Polarized business cycles. Journal of Monetary Economics, 67: 47--61. Battaglini, M., and St. Coate. 2008. A Dynamic Theory of Public Spending, Taxation and Debt. American Economic Review, 98(1): 201--236. Bernanke, B. 2004. The great moderation. In The Taylor Rule and the transformation of monetary policy. Institutions Press Publication Hoover. Bowen, T.R., Chen, Y. and Eraslan, H., 2014. Mandatory versus discretionary spending: The status quo effect. The American Economic Review, 104(10): 2941--2974. Fatas, A. and Mihov, I., 2003. The Case for Restricting Fiscal Policy Discretion. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(4): 1419--1447. Fatas, A. and Mihov, I., 2006. The macroeconomic effects of fiscal rules in the US states. Journal of public economics, 90(1): 101--117. Gali, J., & Gambetti, L. 2009. On the sources of the great moderation. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 1(1): 26--57. Greenwood, J., Hercowitz, Z. and Huffman, G.W., 1988. Investment, capacity utilization, and the real business cycle. The American Economic Review 78(3): 402-417. Hodrick R.J., and Ed. C. Prescott, 1997. Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 29 (1): 1--16 Ilzetzki E. 2011. Rent-seeking distortions and fiscal procyclicality. Journal of Development Economics 96 (1): 30--46. Klein, P., Krusell, P. and Rios-Rull, J.V., 2008. Time-consistent public policy. The Review of Economic Studies, 75(3): 789--808. Levit M.R., D. A. Austin, and J. M. Stupak, 2015. Mandatory Spending Since 1962. Congressional Research Service Report 7-5700 RL33074. Poole, K. T. and H. Rosenthal. 2000. Congress: A Political-Economic History of Roll Call Voting. Oxford University Press. Stock, J. H., and Watson, M. W. 2003. Has the business cycle changed and why?. In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17 (pp. 159--230). MIT press. Summers, P. M. 2005. What caused the Great Moderation? Some cross-country evidence. Economic Review-Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 90(3), 5. Woo, J., 2009. Why do more polarized countries run more procyclical fiscal policy?. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(4): 850--870. Yared, P., 2010. Politicians, taxes and debt. The Review of Economic Studies, 77(2): 806--840. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/83452 |