Silk Road Transport Corridors: Assessment of Trans-EAEU Freight Traffic Growth Potential

Vinokurov, Evgeny and Lobyrev, Vitaly and Tikhomirov, Andrey and Tsukarev, Taras (2018): Silk Road Transport Corridors: Assessment of Trans-EAEU Freight Traffic Growth Potential. Published in: EDB Centre for Integration Studies' Reports No. Report 49 (12 April 2018): pp. 1-70.

Abstract

This report, prepared with the participation of experts from the Institute of the Economy and Transport Development, presents the results of quantitative assessment of freight traffic growth prospects along the China–EAEU–EU axis. The report provides a description of general trends affecting development of freight transport subject to commodity structure and mode of transport. Special attention is paid to factors driving changes in freight traffic. The authors present their view of the impact that freight rates have on the metrics of freight traffic being rechannelled to EAEU transport infrastructure and the operation of certain factors, such as regularity (rhythmicity) and timeframes of cargo deliveries. The final part of the report offers an assessment of additional freight traffic which may be attracted to transport routes along the China–EAEU–EU axis, in the short and long term.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Transport corridors, Belt and Road Initiative, transport infrastructure, Silk Road, EAEU, China, EU
• Subjects: F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration; R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R4 - Transportation Economics > R41 - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion ; Travel Time ; Safety and Accidents ; Transportation Noise; R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R4 - Transportation Economics > R42 - Government and Private Investment Analysis ; Road Maintenance ; Transportation Planning

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