Umoh, Okon J. and Onye, Kenneth U. (2013): The Growth Implication of Trade Liberalization in West Africa. Published in: IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance (IOSR-JEF) , Vol. 1, No. 1 (2013): pp. 15-21.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_88371.pdf Download (422kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This study empirically investigates the growth implication of trade liberalization in twelve West African (WA) countries using time series data for the period of 1970-2011. Relying on a Vector error correction model (VECM), our result indicates that trade orientation (trade policy variable) investment rate and exports shocks have significant positive impact on growth in 8 out of 12 WA economies. This suggests that it is possible to stimulate economic growth in some African countries through an outward-looking strategy of export expansion. We, thus, conclude that WA economies can vigorously pursue trade liberalization in order to enhance their growth performance. The caveat is that this would require a refocusing of domestic production capacity to commodity lines that overlap those of the trading partners, especially those of the OECD nations, so as to be able to garner the benefits derivable from liberal trade policy.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The Growth Implication of Trade Liberalization in West Africa |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Liberalization, Economic Growth, West Africa, VECM |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F1 - Trade F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O47 - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth ; Aggregate Productivity ; Cross-Country Output Convergence |
Item ID: | 88371 |
Depositing User: | Dr Kenneth Onye |
Date Deposited: | 10 Aug 2018 07:26 |
Last Modified: | 29 Sep 2019 13:45 |
References: | Akaike, H. (1969). Fitting Auto-Regressions for Prediction. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 21, 243-247. Alam, S. M. (1991). Trade Orientation and Macroeconomic Performance in LDCs: An Empirical Study. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 42, 839-848. Balassa, B. (1978). Exports and Economic Growth: Further Evidence. Journal of Development Economics, 5, 181-189. Balassa, B. (1985). Exports, Policy Choices, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries after the 1973 Oil Shock. Journal of Development Economics, 18, 23-35. Bhagwati, J. (1988). Export Promoting Trade Strategy: Issues and Evidence. World Bank Research Observer, 3, 27-58. Ekong, N. C., & Onye, U. K. (2012a). Economic Development in Nigeria: The Basic Needs Approach. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 3(10), 54-65. Ekong, N. C., & Onye, U. K. (2012b). On the Feasibility on a Common Currency in West Africa: Evidence from a Multivariate Structural VAR Approach. Current Research Journal of Economic Theory, 4(4), 120-131. Ekpo, A. H. (2005). Fiscal Theory and Policy: Selected Essay. Printed by Somaprint Ltd, 2005. Feder, G. (I983). On Exports and Economic Growth. Journal of Development Economics, 12, 59-74. Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 52, 169-210. Greenaway, D., & Nam, C. H. (1988). Industrialization and Macroeconomic Performance in Developing Countries under Alternative Trade Strategies. Kyklos, 41, 419-435. Helleiner, G. K. (1986). Outward Orientation, Import Instability and African Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation. In Theory and Reality in Development: Essays in Honor of Paul Steeton, ed. S. Lall and F. Stewart, 139-153. Macmillan, London. Hsiao, M. C. W. (1987). Tests of Causality and Exogeneity between Exports and Economic Growth: The Case of the Asian NIC’s. Journal of Economic Development, 12, 143-159. International Monetary Fund (various years a). International Financial Statistics Yearbook. International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC. International Monetary Fund (various years b). World Economic Outlook: A Survey by the Staff of the International Monetary Fund. International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC. Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Testing. Econometrica, 55, 251-276. Kavoussi, R. M. (1984). Export Expansion and Economic Growth: Further Empirical Evidence. Journal of Development Economics, 14, 241–250. Krueger, A. 0. (1980). Trade Policy as an Input to Development. American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 70, 288-292. Krueger, A. 0. (1978). Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Liberalization Attempts and Consequences. Ballinger, Cambridge, MA. For National Bureau of Economic Research, New York. Little, I., Scitovsky, T. & Scott, M. (1970). Industry and Trade in Some Developing Countries. London: Oxford University Press. Michaely, M. (1977). Exports and Growth: an Empirical Investigation. Journal of Development Economics, 4, 49-53. Michalopoulos, C. & Jay, K. (1973) Growth of Exports and Income in the Developing World: A Neoclassical View. Discussion Paper No. 28, Agency for International Development, Washington, DC. Moon, E. B. (1997). Exports, Outward-oriented Development, and Economic Growth, OOD.205, Lehigh University Bethlehem, PA 18015. Odedokun, M. 0. (1991). Differential Impacts of Export Expansion on Economic Growth in the LDCs: a Comparison of Evidences across Regional and Income Groups and Between the Decades of 1970s and 1980s. East African Economic Review 7, 69-93. Olugbenga, O. A., & Oluwole, O. (1998). Can Trade Liberalization Stimulate Economic Growth in Africa? World Development, 26(3), 497-506. Ram, R. (1985). Exports and Economic Growth: Some Additional Evidence. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 33, 415-425. Ram, R. (1987). Exports and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Time Series and Cross-Section Data. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 36, 51-72. Salvatore, D. & Hatcher, T. (1992). Inward Oriented And Outward Oriented Trade Strategies. Journal of Development Studies, 27, 7-25. Sheehey, E. J. (1993). Exports as a Factor of Production: a Consistency Test. World Development, 21, 155-160. Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48, 1-46. Sims, C. A., James, H. & Watson, M. W. (1990). Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots. Econometrica, 58, 113-144. Singer, H. W. & Gray, P. (1988). Trade Policy and Growth of Developing Countries: Some New Data. World Development, 16, 395-403. Tyler, W. G. (1981). Growth and Export Expansion in Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence. Journal of Development Economics, 9, 121-130. World Bank (various years a). World Development Report. World Bank, Washington, DC. World Bank (various years b). World Tables. John Hopkins University Press, Baltimore. Yahya, A. Z., Dantata, U. Y., & Abdullahi, M. (2013). Relationship between Trade Liberalization and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Sub-Sahara Africa. African Journal of Social Sciences, 3(1), 111-120. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/88371 |