Yaya, OlaOluwa S and Shittu, Olanrewaju I (2010): On the Impact of Inflation and Exchange Rate on Conditional Stock Market Volatility: A Re-Assessment. Published in: American Journal of Scientific and Industrial Research , Vol. 1, No. 2 (2010): pp. 115-117.
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Abstract
This paper studies the impact of inflation and exchange rate on conditional stock market volatility. Sentana’s QGARCH model is generalized to include the asymmetries in inflation and exchange rate that are not allowed in linear GARCH (p, q) model of Bollerslev (1986). Nonlinear specifications of QGARCH model then show the significant relationship of inflation and exchange rate to conditional stock market volatility.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | On the Impact of Inflation and Exchange Rate on Conditional Stock Market Volatility: A Re-Assessment |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Conditional Volatility, Exchange rates, Inflation rates, Quadratic-GARCH, Stock prices, volatility clustering. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes |
Item ID: | 88759 |
Depositing User: | Dr OlaOluwa Yaya |
Date Deposited: | 01 Sep 2018 17:30 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 16:23 |
References: | Bollerslev, T. (1986). “Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity”. Journal of Econometrics 31: 307-327. Davis, N. and Kutan, A. M. (2003). “Inflation and Output as Predictors of Stock Returns and Volatility: International Evidence”. Applied Financial Economics, 13: 693-700. Engle, R. F. (1982). “Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation”. Econometrica 50(4): 987-1007. Hamilton, J. D. and Lin, G. (1996). “Stock Market Volatility and the Business Cycle”. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11: 573-593. Huang, R. D. and Kracaw, W. A. (1984). “Stock market Returns and Real Activity: A note”. Journal of Finance, 39: 267-72. Kaul, G. (1987). “Stock returns and Inflation: The role of monetary sector”. Journal of Financial Economics, 18: 253- 276. Saryal, F. S. (2007). “Does Inflation have an Impact on Conditional Stock Market Volatility?: Evidence from Turkey and Canada”. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics 11:123-133. Schwert, W. G. (1989). “Why does Stock Market Volatility change over Time?”. Journal of Finance 44: 1115-1153. Sentana, E. (1995). “Quadratic ARCH Models”. Review of Economic Studies, 62: 639-661. Straumann, D. (2005). Estimation in Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series Models, volume 181 of Lecture Notes in Statistics. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 2005. Tsay, R.S. (2005). Analysis of Financial Time Series, Wiley Interscience, 2nd edition. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/88759 |