Value at Risk yang memperhatikan sifat statistika distribusi return

Situngkir, Hokky (2006): Value at Risk yang memperhatikan sifat statistika distribusi return. Published in:

Abstract

Basel II Accord implicitely demands the usage of the recent statistical approaches to enrich the risk measurement in financial analysis. A widely known aspect in risk analysis today is the Value at Risk. We showed that the conventional VaR measurement regarding to the usage of normality as a basic principles is not met with the statistical properties discovered in a lot of financial data showing a-normality. The paper shows the comparative analysis of two methods to measure VaR: the one with normality basis and the other one realizing the two statistical moments, i.e.: skewness and kurtosis. The simulation results show that the latter gives better accuracy.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Institution: Bandung Fe Institute
• Language: Indonesian
• Subjects: G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages; D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods ; Simulation Methods; G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G24 - Investment Banking ; Venture Capital ; Brokerage ; Ratings and Ratings Agencies; G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G32 - Financing Policy ; Financial Risk and Risk Management ; Capital and Ownership Structure ; Value of Firms ; Goodwill

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