Efectos multiplicadores y eslabonamientos productivos en la economía peruana

garcia, juan manuel and toma, hiroshi (2015): Efectos multiplicadores y eslabonamientos productivos en la economía peruana.

Abstract

In this paper we calculate the Keynesian multipliers of income (value added), employment, imports and net exports for 101 economic activities of the Peruvian economy based on information from the 2007 input-output table. Our analysis considers the distinction between domestic and foreign origin of the goods and services for the intermediate and the final demand. Likewise, this measurement is complemented with the analysis of the productive linkages indicators of the different activities in the economy ("backward" and "forward"). Power and dispersion sensitivity indicators are also constructed, which allow identifying "key" activities based on the magnitude of the links of each activity within the economy. The results obtained are useful to simulate possible differentiated economic effects of different policy interventions that aim for the promotion of productive development implemented by the government.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Multiplier effects and productive linkages in the peruvian economy
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: productive linkages multipliers peruvian economy
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E10 - General; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E12 - Keynes ; Keynesian ; Post-Keynesian; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E16 - Social Accounting Matrix; Z - Other Special Topics > Z0 - General; Z - Other Special Topics > Z0 - General > Z00 - General

References

Abeles, M., Amarante, V. y Vega, D. (20114). Participación del ingreso laboral en el ingreso total en América Latina, 1990-2010. Revista CEPAL, Num. 114.

Chenery, H. B., & T. Watanabe (1958). International comparisons of the structure of production. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, Vol. 20.

Hirschman, A. O. (1958). The strategy of economic development (Yale Studies in Economics: 10). New Haven: Yale University Press.

Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática (2001). Multiplicadores de la economía peruana. Lima.

Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática (2014). Perú: Cuentas Nacionales 2007. Año Base 2007. Lima.

Keynes, John Maynard (1936). The general theory of employment, interest y money. London.

Leontief, W. (1936). “Quantitative input and output relations in the economic system of the United States”. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 18.

Leontief, W. et al. (1953). Studies in the structure of the American economy. Oxford University Press.

Miller, R. E., & P.D. Blair (2009). Input-output analysis: foundations and extensions. Cambridge University Press.

Ministerio de la Producción (2014). Plan Nacional de Diversificación Productiva. Lima: Ministerio de la Producción.

Pino, O., & W. Illanes (2002). Análisis exploratorio de los coeficientes de Rasmussen para la economía regional, mediante la utilización de las tablas input-output para la economía chilena, base 1996. Horizontes Empresariales, Vol. 1, Núm. 1.

Rasmussen, P. (1958). Studies in inter-sectorial relations. Amsterdam, North- Holland P. C.

Soza, S. y C. Ramos (2005). Análisis estructural Input-Output con apoyo multivariante. Mimeo.

Torres, J. (1978). Multiplicadores y proporciones en la economía peruana. Documento de Trabajo N° 4. Centro de Investigación de Universidad del Pacífico.

Torres, J. (1998). Eslabonamientos y multiplicadores de la economía peruana. Revista Apuntes, Vol. 42. Universidad del Pacífico.