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El Riesgo País y el Tipo de Cambio Nominal entre el Perú y Estados Unidos. Una aproximación a través de un Modelo de Mercado de Activos de determinación del Tipo de Cambio. (1998:12 – 2007:12)

Salazar, Eduardo (2008): El Riesgo País y el Tipo de Cambio Nominal entre el Perú y Estados Unidos. Una aproximación a través de un Modelo de Mercado de Activos de determinación del Tipo de Cambio. (1998:12 – 2007:12).

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Abstract

This paper tries to explain, using a model that includes asset market risk country, the behavior of nominal exchange rate, as well as determine the impact of this risk in determining the exchange rate, also seeks to establish whether the exchange rate is below the level predicted by their bases to determine whether they have to take steps to bring its level of long-term. The econometric methodology used is that of the ordinary least squares, the results are consistent with the logic and economic theory, it shows that among the country risk and exchange rate there is a direct relationship, namely that reductions of country risk generate currency appreciations, also shows evidence that the nominal exchange rate is below its equilibrium level.

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