Logo
Munich Personal RePEc Archive

How Forward-Looking Are Local Governments? Evidence from Indonesia

Cassidy, Traviss (2017): How Forward-Looking Are Local Governments? Evidence from Indonesia.

Warning
There is a more recent version of this item available.
[thumbnail of MPRA_paper_97776.pdf]
Preview
PDF
MPRA_paper_97776.pdf

Download (2MB) | Preview

Abstract

Conventional wisdom in the policy community holds that volatile fiscal transfers to local governments will cause volatile local spending, due to policy myopia. I test the degree to which local governments are forward-looking by exploiting unusual variation in intergovernmental grants in Indonesia. A national reform permanently increased the general grant, and the increase was larger for less densely populated districts. Hydrocarbon-rich districts experienced transitory shocks to shared resource revenue. Districts responded to the permanent revenue shock by increasing investment in lumpy public goods. By contrast, districts smoothed their expenditure responses to the transitory revenue shocks, opting not to adjust lumpy public goods. The results suggest that local governments respond to changes in permanent public income over a time horizon of three to five years. I discuss implications for countercyclical fiscal policy and research on taxation and accountability.

Available Versions of this Item

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact us: mpra@ub.uni-muenchen.de

This repository has been built using EPrints software.

MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by Logo of the University Library LMU Munich.