Fenoaltea, Stefano (2020): Reconstructing The Past: Italy's Historical National Accounts, 1861-1913.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_98350.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper summarizes the evolution of Italy’s historical national accounts, and presents an updated reconstruction of the production side, the expenditure side, and the composition of investment from Unification to the Great War. On the production side, the major improvements stem from the recovery of evidence on harvest fluctuations, which increases short-term volatility, and the removal of gross errors in the estimates for the services, which sharply reduces pre-War GDP. The expenditure-side disaggregation reaffirms the Kuznets- cycle path of fixed investment; the cut in GDP yields a cut in consumption, but does not imply a lower standard of living.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Reconstructing The Past: Italy's Historical National Accounts, 1861-1913 |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Italy, Production, Measurement, Historical National Accounts |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C13 - Estimation: General E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General > E01 - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth ; Environmental Accounts N - Economic History > N0 - General > N01 - Development of the Discipline: Historiographical; Sources and Methods |
Item ID: | 98350 |
Depositing User: | Professor Stefano Fenoaltea |
Date Deposited: | 29 Jan 2020 15:41 |
Last Modified: | 29 Jan 2020 15:41 |
References: | Baffigi, A. (2011). Italian national accounts, 1861–2011. Banca d’Italia – Economic History Working Papers No. 18. Baffigi, A. (2013). National accounts, 1861–2011. In G. Toniolo, ed., The Oxford handbook of the Italian economy since Unification (New York: Oxford University Press), pp. 157–186. Baffigi, A. (2015). Il PIL per la storia d’Italia. Istruzioni per l’uso. Collana storica della Banca d’Italia. Serie statistiche, vol. V (Venice: Marsilio). Baffigi, A. (2017). NA 150. http://www.bancaditalia.it/statistiche/tematiche/stat-storiche/stat- storiche-economia/index.html (accessed November 2017). Bardini, C., Carreras, A., and Lains, P. (1995). “The national accounts for Italy, Spain and Portugal. Scandinavian Economic History Review 43, 115–147. Battilani, P., Felice, E., and Zamagni, V. (2014). Il valore aggiunto dei servizi 1861–1951: la nuova serie a prezzi correnti e prime interpretazioni. Banca d’Italia – Economic History Working Papers No. 33. Carreras, A. (1983). La producció industrial espanyola i italiana des de mitjan segle XIX fins a l’actualitat. Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Carreras, A. (1992). La producción industrial en el muy largo plazo: una comparación entre España e Italia de 1861 a 1980. In L. Prados and V. Zamagni, eds., El desarrollo económico en la Europa del Sur: España e Italia en perspectiva histórica (Madrid: Alianza Editorial), pp. 173–210. Carreras, A. (1999). Un ritratto quantitativo dell’industria italiana. In F. Amatori, D. Bigazzi, R. Giannetti, and L. Segreto, eds., Storia d’Italia. Annali, 15. L’industria (Turin: Einaudi), pp. 179–272. De Bonis, R., Farabullini, F., Rocchelli, M., and Salvio, A. (2012). Nuove serie storiche sull’attività di banche e altre istituzioni finanziarie dal 1861 al 2011: che cosa ci dicono? Banca d’Italia – Quaderni di storia economica No. 26. Federico, G. (2003a). Le nuove stime della produzione agricola italiana, 1860–1910: primi risultati e implicazioni. Rivista di storia economica 19, 359–382. Federico, G. (2003b). Heights, calories and welfare: a new perspective on Italian industrialization, 1854–1913. Economics & Human Biology 1, 289–308. Federico, G., Natoli, S., Tattara, G., and Vasta, M. (2011). Il commercio estero italiano, 1862–1950, Collana storica della Banca d’Italia. Serie statistiche, vol. IV (Rome-Bari: Laterza). Fenoaltea, S. (1967). Public policy and Italian industrial development, 1861–1913. Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, Harvard University. Fenoaltea, S. (1969). Decollo, ciclo, e intervento dello Stato. In A. Caracciolo, ed., La formazione dell'Italia industriale (Bari: Laterza), pp. 95–114. Fenoaltea, S. (1972). Railroads and Italian industrial growth, 1861–1913. Explorations in Economic History 9, 325–351. Fenoaltea, S. (1976). Real value added and the measurement of industrial production. Annals of Economic and Social Measurement 5, 111–137. Fenoaltea, S. (1982). The growth of the utilities industries in Italy, 1861-1913. Journal of Economic History 42, 601–627. Fenoaltea, S. (1987). Construction in Italy, 1861–1913. Rivista di storia economica 4, International issue, 21–53. Fenoaltea, S. (1988). International resource flows and construction movements in the Atlantic economy: the Kuznets cycle in Italy, 1861–1913. Journal of Economic History 48, 605–638. Fenoaltea, S. (2002a). Lo sviluppo dell’industria italiana dall’Unità alla Grande Guerra: una sintesi provvisoria. In P. Ciocca and G. Toniolo, eds., Storia economica d’Italia, vol. 3: Industrie, Mercati, Istituzioni (Bari: Laterza), pp. 135–191. Fenoaltea, S (2002b). Production and consumption in post-Unification Italy: new evidence, new conjectures. Rivista di storia economica 18, 251–298. Fenoaltea, S. (2003). Notes on the rate of industrial growth in Italy, 1861–1913. Journal of Economic History 48, 695–735. Fenoaltea, S. (2005). The growth of the Italian economy, 1861–1913: preliminary second- generation estimates. European Review of Economic History 9, 273–312. Fenoaltea, S. (2010). The reconstruction of historical national accounts: the case of Italy. PSL Quarterly Review 63, no. 252, 77–96. Fenoaltea, S. (2011a). The reinterpretation of Italian economic history: from Unification to the Great War (New York: Cambridge University Press). Fenoaltea, S. (2011b). On the structure of the Italian economy, 1861–1913. Rivista di storia economica 27, 61–72. Fenoaltea, S. (2012). The growth of the Italian economy, 1861–1913: the expenditure side re- (and de-)constructed. Rivista di storia economica 28, 285–318. Fenoaltea, S. (2015a). Italian industrial production, 1861–1913: a statistical reconstruction. A. Introduction. Carlo Alberto Notebooks n. 412, 2015. Fenoaltea, S. (2015b). Industrial employment in Italy, 1911: the burden of the census data. Rivista di storia economica 31, 225–246. Fenoaltea, S. (2015c). The measurement of production movements: lessons from the general engineering industry in Italy, 1861–1913. Explorations in Economic History 57, 19–37. Fenoaltea, S. (2016). Fenoaltea on industrial employment in 1911: a rejoinder. Rivista di storia economica 31, 113–117. Fenoaltea, S. (2017a). The growth of the Italian economy, 1861–1913: revised second- generation production-side estimates. M.P.R.A. n. 87962. Fenoaltea, S. (2017b). The fruits of disaggregation: the engineering industry, tariff protection, and the industrial investment cycle in Italy, 1861–1913. Banca d’Italia – Economic History Working Papers No. 41. Fenoaltea, S. (2018a). The growth of the Italian economy, 1861–1913: revised second- generation expenditure-side estimates. M.P.R.A. n. 88016. Fenoaltea, S. (2018b). The growth of the Italian economy, 1861–1913: the composition of investment. M.P.R.A. n. 88138. Fenoaltea, S. (2019). Italian industrial production, 1861–1913: a statistical reconstruction. H. The textile, apparel, and leather industries. Carlo Alberto Notebooks n. 583, 2019. Fenoaltea, S. (2020). Reconstructing the past: the measurement of aggregate product. M.P.R.A. n. 97042. Fuà, G. (1966), Notes on Italian economic growth 1861–1964 (Milan: Giuffrè). Fuà, G., ed. (1969). Lo sviluppo economico in Italia, vol. 3 (Milan: Franco Angeli). Gerschenkron, A. (1962 [1955]). Description of an index of Italian industrial development, 1881−1913. In A. Gerschenkron, Economic backwardness in historical perspective (Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press), pp. 367–421. Giordano, C., and Zollino, F. (2015). A historical reconstruction of capital and labour in Italy, 1861–2013. Rivista di storia economica 31, 155–223. Istat (Istituto centrale di statistica) (1957). Indagine statistica sullo sviluppo del reddito nazionale dell’Italia dal 1861 al 1956, Annali di statistica, serie VIII, vol. 9 (Rome: Istat). Maddison, A. (1991). A revised estimate of Italian economic growth, 1861-1989. BNL Quarterly Review, vol. 177, 225–241. Pezzuto, R. (2017). The age distribution of the labor force as evidence of prior events: the Italian data for 1911 and the long swing in investment from Unification to the Great War. Banca d’Italia – Economic History Working Papers n. 42. Rey, G. M., ed. (1992). I conti economici dell'Italia. 2. Una stima del valore aggiunto per il 1911 (Bari: Laterza). Rey, G. M., ed. (2000). I conti economici dell'Italia. 3°°. Il valore aggiunto per gli anni 1891, 1938, 1951 (Rome–Bari: Laterza). Rey, G. M., ed. (2002). I conti economici dell'Italia. 3°. Il conto risorse e impieghi (1891, 1911, 1938, 1951) (Rome–Bari: Laterza). Rossi, N., Sorgato, A., Toniolo, G. (1993). I conti economici italiani: una ricostruzione statistica, 1890-1990. Rivista di storia economica, 1–47. Toniolo, G. (2003). La storia economica dell’Italia liberale: una rivoluzione in atto. Rivista di storia economica 19, 247–263. Toniolo, G., ed. (2013a). The Oxford handbook of the Italian economy since Unification (New York: Oxford University Press). Toniolo, G. (2013b). An overview of Italy’s economic growth. In G. Toniolo, ed., The Oxford handbook of the Italian economy since Unification (New York: Oxford University Press), pp. 3–36. United Nations (2008). International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities, Statistical Papers, Series M, No. 4, Rev. 4. (New York: United Nations). Warglien, M. (1985). Nota sull’investimento industriale in macchinari e altre attrezzature meccaniche: Italia 1881–1913. Rivista di storia economica 2, pp. 126–146. Zamagni, V. (2006). A proposito di Stefano Fenoaltea, L’economia italiana dall'Unità alla Grande Guerra, Bari-Rome, 2006. Rivista di storia economica 22, pp. 372–375. Zamagni, V. (2016). Fenoaltea on industrial employment in 1911: a reply. Rivista di storia economica 32, 109–112. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/98350 |