Munich Personal RePEc Archive

La varianza dell'errore di previsione nei modelli econometrici: applicazione ad un modello nonlineare dell'economia italiana

Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio (1978): La varianza dell'errore di previsione nei modelli econometrici: applicazione ad un modello nonlineare dell'economia italiana.

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Abstract

When econometric models are used as forecasting tools, forecast errors can be decomposed into several components, one of which is due to estimation errors, while another one is due to the stochastic nature of the variables to be predicted. Conditional on model's specification and on the predetermined variables, it is possible to compute a standard error of forecasts one-step-ahead.

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