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Interdependencia y regímenes cambiarios en Mercosur: un modelo macroeconómico de equilibrio general computado para su medición.

Carrera, Jorge Eduardo and Cicowiez, Martín and Lacunza, Hernán and Saavedra, Marcelo (2005): Interdependencia y regímenes cambiarios en Mercosur: un modelo macroeconómico de equilibrio general computado para su medición.

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Abstract

Mercosur is currently going through an intermediate integration stage in which macroeconomic interdependence acquires more importance. Then, the need arises to adopt strategic definitions with regard to the future of the process itself. The study examines macroeconomic interdependence with a macroeconomic computable general equilibrium model. This enables an estimation of the sign and extent of transmission of shocks originating either in a Mercosur country or in the rest of the world. The results of the model simulations show that interdependence has important effects. We discuss the possibility of implementing a process of cooperation as an alternative to play Nash in some key policies.

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