Amavilah, Voxi Heinrich (2008): The inhibited (exhibited) spread of innovations.
Download (155Kb) | Preview
This note makes general statements about standard models of the diffusion of innovations. Its premise is a familiar idea that innovations are socially-learned changes that spread like wildfires across diverse populations. However, the rate at which innovations spread is subject to the forces of exhibition and inhibition. Exhibitors promote the spread of innovations; inhibitors subjugate them. Hence, where the forces of subjugation are stronger than the forces of promotion, it is the slow spread, rather than the lack, of innovations which undermines the competitiveness of nations, and consequently frustrates economic performance. This suggests a need for a simple and more realistic model. Since the analytical components (basic equations and statistical inference) of the needed model are readily available, this note attempts a synthesis. Unfortunately in its current version the note is incomplete, and therefore makes only a tentative concluding remark. Even so, there is enough insight to warrant comment.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||The inhibited (exhibited) spread of innovations|
|Subjects:||M - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting > M3 - Marketing and Advertising
Z - Other Special Topics > Z0 - General > Z00 - General
D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Technological Change; Research and Development; Intellectual Property Rights > O31 - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
|Depositing User:||Voxi Heinrich Amavilah|
|Date Deposited:||06. Jun 2008 17:39|
|Last Modified:||12. Feb 2013 03:37|
Amavilah, V.H.S. (2007). Innovations spread more like wildfire than like infections [May]. Available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=999504.
Banerjee, A. (2007). An analysis of logistic models: Exponential family connecions and online performance. Available at: http://www-users.cs.umn.edu/~banerjee/papers/07/logistic.pdf
Bulliet, R.W. (2002). Religious conversion and the spread of innovations. Fathom. Available at: http://www.fathom.com/feature/2199/index.html.
Burghes, D.N. & Borrie, M.S. (1981). Modelling with differential equations. New York: Halsted Press, pp. 63-68.
Charrtrand, H.H. (2002). Knowledge-based economy: Literature search by author. Available at: http://members.shaw.ca/compilerpress1/KBE%20Lit%20Search%20Author%201.htm.
Charrtrand, H.H. (2006). Ideological evolution: The competitiveness of nations in a global knowledge-based economy. An individual interdisciplinary studies PhD program, University of Saskatchewan, Available at: http://www.culturaleconomics.atfreeweb.com/Dissertation%204/0.0%2)ToC.htm.
Drucker, P.F. 1985. Innovation and entrepreneurship: Practice and principles. London: Pan Books. Part 1.
Fagerberg, J., Srholec, M. & Knell, M. (2007). The competitiveness of nations: Why some countries prosper while others fall behind. World Development 35 (10), 1595-1620.
Harris, D.P. (1992). Long-term forecasting for mineral industries: Innovative methods and case studies, Unpublished Lecture Notes, Mineral Economics Program, Department of Mining and Geological Engineering, University of Arizona (January).
Rogers, E. (1983 ). Diffusion of Innovations, 3rd Edition, Free Press, London.
Springer, C.L, Herlihy, R.R, Mall, R.T., & Beggs, R.I. (1968). Probabilistic models. Volume 4 of Mathematics for Management Series. Homewood (IL): Richard D. Irwin, Inc. Chapter 8.
Taylor, J.E. & Levitt, R.E. (2004). A new model for systemic innovation diffusion in project-based industries. CIFE Working Paper #WP086. Stanford University. Available at http://www.stanford.edu/group/CIFE/online.publications/WP086.pdf.
Thompson, D.W. (1942 ). On growth and form: The complete revised edition. Dover Publications, Inc. New York.
Urban, G.L. & Hauser, J.R. (1980). Design and marketing of new products. Englewood Cliffs (NJ): Prentic-Hall, Inc. Chapters 5, 11, 14, 15, and 16.
Young, .H.P. (2005). The spread of innovations by social learning, Working Paper (February 17, 2006 Version). Available at: http://www.econ.jhu.edu/People/Young/Spread28march.pdf
Young, H.P. (2004). Innovation diffusion and population heterogeneity, Preliminary Draft, Johns Hopkins University (October 20, 2006 Version). Available at: http://www.econ.princeton.edu/seminars/SEMINARS/Fall06Seminars/young.pdf
Young, H.P. (2007). Innovation diffusions in heterogeneous populations. Discussion Paper Seris, No. 303. Department of Economics, University of Oxford. Available at: http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Research/wp/pdf/paper303.pdf
Wejnert, B. (2002). Integrating models of diffusion of innovations: A conceptual framework. Annual Reviews of Sociology, 28, 297-326. Also available at http://mayo.comm.fsu.edu/mmc6469/Wejnert%20art.%20annurev.soc.28.110601.pdf.