Trofimov, Ivan D. (2020): The optimum size of public education spending: panel data evidence.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_106847.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper examines the presence of positive effect of public education spending in a panel of 50 developed, developing and transition economies (over the 1980-2012 period) on the level and growth of output, and, provided such effect holds, considers the optimal provision of public education spending. The econometric methodology relies on panel unit root and cross-sectional dependence tests, panel regression with fixed effects, and panel quantile model with fixed effects. It is demonstrated that public education spending is productive at the margin under alternative specifications, and has positive externalities on the private economy, while the factor productivity in the government sector is higher than in the private. For the panel as a whole, the public education tended to be under-provided (the optimal level of 5.05% of GDP compared to the actual average level of 4.14% of GDP); however, the over-provision is observed in the slow-growing economies in the lower quantiles.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The optimum size of public education spending: panel data evidence |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Education expenditure; growth; government size, developing countries |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes H - Public Economics > H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies > H52 - Government Expenditures and Education I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I25 - Education and Economic Development |
Item ID: | 106847 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Ivan D. Trofimov |
Date Deposited: | 29 Mar 2021 09:39 |
Last Modified: | 29 Mar 2021 09:39 |
References: | Afonso, A. and D. Furceri, 2010, “Government size, composition, volatility and economic growth,” European Journal of Political Economy 26(4), 517-532. Alleyne, K.-A., Lewis-Bynoe, D. and W. Moore, 2004, “An assessment of the growth-enhancing size of government in the Caribbean,” Applied Econometrics and International Development 4(3), 77-94. Aly, H. and M. Strazicich, 2000, “Is government size optimal in the Gulf countries of the Middle East? An empirical investigation,” International Review of Applied Economics 14(4), 475-483. Angelopoulos, K., Philippopoulos, A. and E. Tsionas, 2008, “Does public sector efficiency matter? Revisiting the relation between fiscal size and economic growth in a world sample,” Public Choice 137(1/2), 245-278. Annabi, N., Harvey, S. and Y. Lan, 2011, “Public expenditures on education, human capital and growth in Canada: An OLG model analysis,” Journal of Policy Modeling 33(6), 852-865. Armey, D., 1995, The freedom revolution, Washington: Regnery Publishing. Baumol, W., 1967, “Macroeconomics of unbalanced economic growth: The anatomy of the urban crisis,” American Economic Review 57, 415-426. Benhabib, J. and M. Spiegel, 1994, “The role of human capital in economic development - Evidence from aggregate cross-country data,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 34(2), 143-173. Bosworth, B. and S. Collins, 2003, “The empirics of growth: An update,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2, 113-206. Chao, J.C.P. and H. Grubel, 1998, “Optimal levels of spending and taxation in Canada,” In Grubel, H. (Ed.). How to use fiscal surplus - What is the optimal size of government? Vancouver: The Fraser Institute. Chiou-Wei, S.-Z., Zhu, Z. and Y.H. Kuo, 2010, “Government size and economic growth: An application of the smooth transition regression model,” Applied Economics Letters 17(14), 1405-1415. Choi, I., 2001, “Unit root tests for panel data,” Journal of International Money and Finance 20(2), 249-272. De Meulemeester, J.-L. and D.A. Rochat, 1995, “Causality analysis of the link between higher education and economic development,” Economics of Education Review 14(4), 351-361. De Witte, K. and W. Moesen, 2010, “Sizing the government,” Public Choice 145(1/2), 39-55. Dissou, Y., Didic, S. and T. Yakautsava, 2016, “Government spending on education, human capital accumulation, and growth,” Economic Modelling 58, 9-21. Facchini, F. and M. Melki, 2011, “Optimal government size and economic growth in France (1871-2008): An explanation by the state and market failures,” Centre d’Economie de la Sorbonne, CES Working Paper. Folster, S. and M. Henrekson, 2001, “Growth effects of government expenditure and taxation in rich countries,” European Economic Review, 45(8), 1501-1520. Francis, B. and Iyare, S., 2006, “Education and development in the Caribbean: A cointegration and causality analysis,” Economics Bulletin 15(2), 1-13. Freire-Seren, M., 2001, “Human capital accumulation and economic growth,” Investigaciones Economicas 25(3), 585-602. Galan, J.E., 2020, “The benefits are at the tail: Uncovering the impact of macroprudential policy on growth-at-risk,” Banco de Espana, Documentos de Trabajo No. 2007, 1-39. Ghose, A. and S. Das, 2013, “Government size and economic growth in emerging market economies: A panel co-integration approach,” Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies 6(1), 14-38. Glomm, G. and B. Ravikumar, 1998, “Flat-rate taxes, government spending on education and growth,” Review of Economic Dynamics 1(1), 306-325. Goel, R.K., Payne, J.E. and R. Ram, 2008, “R&D expenditures and U.S. economic growth: A disaggregated approach,” Journal of Policy Modeling 30(2), 237-250. Gozgor, G., Lau, C.K.M. and Lu, Z, 2018, “Energy consumption and economic growth: New evidence from the OECD countries,” Energy 153, 27-34. Grubb, W. and S. Michelson, 1974, States and schools: The political economy of public school finance, Lexington: Lexington Books. Gunalp, B. and T. H. Gur, 2002, “Government expenditures and economic growth in developing countries: Evidence from a panel data analysis,” METU Studies in Development 29 (3-4), 311-332. Gupta, S. and M. Verhoeven, 2001, “The efficiency of government expenditure: Experiences from Africa,” Journal of Policy Modeling 23(4), 433-467. Hajamini, M. and M. Ali Falahi, 2014, “The nonlinear impact of government consumptiuon expenditure on economic growth: Evidence from low and low-middle income countries,” Cogent Economics and Finance 2(1), 1-15. Haylock, M., 2020, “Executives’ short-term and long-term incentives - A distributional analysis,” University of Tubingen, Working Paper in Business and Economics No. 131. Hoechle, D., 2007, “Robust standard errors for panel regressions with cross-sectional pependence,” The Stata Journal 7(3), 1-31. Im, K.S., Pesaran, M.H. and Y. Shin, 2003, “Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels,” Journal of Econometrics 115(1), 53-74. International Food Policy Research Institute / IFPRI, 2015, Statistics on public expenditures and economic development (SPEED), Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute. Islam, N., 1995, “Growth empirics: A panel data approach,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 110(4), 1127-1170. Islam, T., Wadud, A. and Q. Islam, 2007, “Relationship between education and GDP growth: A multivariate causality analysis for Bangladesh,” Economics Bulletin 3(35), 1-7. Jung, H. and E. Thorbecke, 2003, “The impact of public education expenditure on human capital, growth, and poverty in Tanzania and Zambia: A general equilibrium approach,” Journal of Policy Modeling 25(8), 701-772. Jurges, H. and Schneider, K, 2004, “International differences in student achievement: An economic perspective,” German Economic Review 5(3), 357-380. Karras, G., 1996, “The optimal government size: Further international evidence on the productivity of government services,” Economic Inquiry 34(2), 193-203. Karras, G., 1997, “On the optimal government size in Europe: Theory and empirical evidence,” The Manchester School 65(3), 280-294. Koenker, R., 2004, “Quantile regression for longitudinal data,” Journal of Multivariate Analysis 91(1), 74-89. Koenker, R., 2005, Quantile regression, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Koenker, R. and G. Bassett Jr, 1978, “Regression quantiles,” Econometrica 46(1), 33-50. Krueger, A. and M. Lindhal, 1999, “Education for growth in Sweden and the world,” NBER Working Paper No. 7190. Landau, D., 1983, “Government expenditure and economic growth: A cross-country study,” Southern Economic Journal 49(3), 783-792. Levin, A., Lin, C.F. and C. Chu, 2002, “Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties,” Journal of Econometrics 108(1), 1-24. Levy, J. and B. Clements, 1996, “Public education expenditure and private investment in developing countries,” Economics Letters 53(3), 331-336. Machado, J. and J.M.C. Santos Silva, 2019, “Quantiles via moments,” Journal of Econometrics 213(1), 145-173. Maddala, G.S. and S. Wu, 1999, “A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 61(S1), 631-652. Magazzino, C., 2012, “Wagner versus Keynes: Public spending and national income in Italy,” Journal of Policy Modeling 34, 890-905. Magazzino, C. and F. Forte, 2010, “Optimal size of government and economic growth in EU-27,” MPRA Paper No. 26669. Miller, K.A., 2008, An analysis of state and local public expenditure and output-maximizing spending optimums, The University of Oklahoma, Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation. Mugaju, J.B., 1991, “The burden of education on economic development in Africa: An assessment,” Transafrican Journal of History 20, 110-124. Nelson, R. and E. Phelps, 1966, “Investment in humans, technological diffusion, and economic growth,” American Economic Review 61(1), 69-75. Neycheva, M., 2010, “Does public expenditure on education matter for growth in Europe? A Comparison between old EU member states and post-communist economies,” Post-Communist Economies 22(2), 141-164. Niskanen, W., 1971, Bureaucracy and representative government, Chicago: Aldine and Atherton. Nonneman, W. and P. Vanhoudt, 1996, “A further augmentation of the Solow model and the empirics of economic growth for OECD countries,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 111(3), 943-953. Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2011, OECD government at a glance, 2011, Paris: OECD Publishing House. Park, H.M., 2011, Practical guides to panel data modeling: A step by step analysis using Stata, Niigata: International University of Japan. Pesaran, M.H., 2004, “General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels,” IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240, 1-39. Pesaran, M.H., 2007, “A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross section dependence,” Journal of Applied Econometrics 22(2), 265-312. Pritchett, L., 2001, “Where has all the education gone?” World Bank Economic Review 15(3), 367-391. Qi, J., 2016, “Government education expenditure, third-party spillover effect and economic growth in China,” Journal of Sustainable Development 9(2), 145-152. Ram, R., 1986, “Government size and economic growth: A new framework and some evidence from cross-section and time-series data,” The American Economic Review 76(1), 191-203. Romer, P., 1990, “Endogenous technological change,” Journal of Political Economy 98(5), S71-S102. Romero-Avila, D. and R. Strauch, 2008, “Public finances and long-term growth in Europe: Evidence from a panel data analysis,” European Journal of Political Economy 24(1), 172-191. Saez, M.P., Alvarez-Garcia, S. and D.C. Rodriguez, 2017, “Government expenditure and economic growth in the European Union countries: new evidence,” Bulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series 36, 127-133. Schultz, T., 1961, “Investment in human capital,” The American Economic Review 51(1), 1-17. Scully, G.W., 1994, What is the optimal size of government in the US? Dallas: National Centre for Policy Analysis, Policy Report No. 188. Su, X., 2004, “The allocation of public funds in a hierarchical educational system,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 28, 2485-2510. Tanzi, V. and L. Schuknecht, 1997, “Reconsidering the fiscal role of government: The international perspective,” American Economic Review 87(2), 164-168. Tran-Nam, B., Truong, C. and P. Tu, 1995, “Human capital and economic growth in an overlapping generations model,” Journal of Economics 61 (2), 147-173. Vedder, R. and L. Gallaway, 1998, Government size and economic growth, US Congress, The Paper Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee. Wu, S.-Y., Tang, J.-H. and E.S. Lin, 2010, “The impact of government expenditure on economic growth: How sensitive to the level of development?” Journal of Policy Modeling 32(6), 804-817. United Nations, 2019, World population prospects 2019. Volume I, Comprehensive tables, New York: United Nations. Yu, B., Magalhaes, E. and S. Benin, 2015, Database user manual for statistics on public expenditures for economic development (SPEED), Washington, D. C.: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). Zhang, R. and Z.-F. Li, 2008, “Optimal scale of the rural fiscal expenditure based on economic growth in China,” Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering, Long Beach, USA, 10-12 September 2008. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/106847 |