Hajamini, Mehdi and Falahi, Mohammad Ali (2012): Economic growth and the optimum size of government in 15 European countries: A threshold panel approach.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_39616.pdf Download (860kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In the growth literature, there is a nonlinear relationship between economic growth and government size, which is similar to an inverted U-shaped curve. This curve can be used to determine the optimum share of government expenditures. This paper, using threshold panel approach, attempts to investigate this nonlinear effect for 15 European countries, empirically. For the size of government, four measures are considered as follows: (i) total expenditures to gross domestic product, (ii) final consumption expenditures to gross domestic product, (iii) current expenditures other than final consumption to gross domestic product and (iv) government gross fixed capital formation to gross domestic product. Estimation results show that the inverted U-shaped curve is approved for four measures. The estimated optimum shares are 41.7%, 15.8%, 19.4% and 2.5%, respectively.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Economic growth and the optimum size of government in 15 European countries: A threshold panel approach |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Economic growth; Government expenditures; Government size; Threshold panel; Bootstrap procedure; European countries |
Subjects: | H - Public Economics > H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies > H54 - Infrastructures ; Other Public Investment and Capital Stock H - Public Economics > H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies > H50 - General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C23 - Panel Data Models ; Spatio-temporal Models O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O52 - Europe O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O40 - General |
Item ID: | 39616 |
Depositing User: | Mehdi Hajamini |
Date Deposited: | 25 Jan 2013 15:53 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 16:31 |
References: | [1] Baltagi, B.H. (2008) Econometric analysis of panel data, 4th edn (John Wiley & Sons) [2] Barro, R.J. (1988) Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth, NBER Working Paper 2588. [3] Barro, R.J. (1990) Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth, Journal of Political Economy, 98, pp. 103-125. [4] Barro, R.J. (1991) Economic growth in a cross section of countries, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, pp. 407-443. [5] Blanchard, O.J. (1985) Debt, deficits, and finite horizons, Journal of Political Economy, 93, pp. 223-247. [6] Chan, K.S. (1993) Consistency and limiting distribution of the least squares estimator of a threshold autoregressive model, Annals of Statistics, 21, pp. 520-533. [7] Chen, S.-T. & Lee, C.-C. (2005) Government size and economic growth in Taiwan: A threshold regression approach, Journal of Policy Modeling, 27, pp. 1051-1066. [8] Dar, A.A. & AmirKhalkhali, S. (2002) Government size, factor accumulation, and economic growth: evidence from OECD countries, Journal of Policy Modeling, 24, pp. 679-692. [9] Davies, A. (2009) Human development and the optimal size of government, Journal of Socio-Economics, 38, pp. 326-330. [10] De Witte, K. & Moesen, W. (2009) Sizing the government, Munich Personal RePEc Archive 14785. [11] Fölster, S. & Henrekson, M. (2001) Growth effects of government expenditure and taxation in rich countries, European Economic Review, 45, pp. 1501-1520. [12] Fu, D., Taylor, L.L. & Yücel, M.K. (2003) Fiscal policy and growth, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Research Department,Working Paper 0301. [13] Ghali, K.H. (1998) Government size and economic growth: evidence from a multivariate cointegration Analysis, Applied Economics, 31, pp. 975-987. [14] Ghosh, S. & Mourmouras, I.A. (2002) On public investment, long-run growth, and the real exchange rate, Oxford Economic Papars, 54, pp. 72–90. [15] Guseh, J.S. (1997) Government size and economic growth in developing countries: a political-economy framework, Journal of Macroeconomics, 19, pp. 175–192. [16] Gwartney, J.D., Lawson, R.A. & Holcombe, R.G. (1998) The size and functions of government and economic growth, Joint Economic Committee, Washington. [17] Hansen, B.E. (1996) Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis, Econometrica, 64, pp. 413-430. [18] Hansen, B.E. (1997) Inference in TAR models, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 2, pp. 1-14. [19] Hansen, B.E. (1999) Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference, Journal of Econometrics, 93, pp. 345-368. [20] Hansen, B.E. (2000) Sample splitting threshold estimation, Econometrica, 68, pp. 575-603. [21] Kosempel, S. (2004) Finite lifetimes and government spending in an endogenous growth model, Journal of Economics and Business, 56, pp. 197-210. [22] Loizides, J. & Vamvoukas, G. (2005) Government expenditure and economic growth: evidence from trivariate causality testing, Journal of Applied Economics, 8, pp. 125-152. [23] Mitchell, D.J. (2005) The impact of government spending on economic growth, Heritage Foundation Backgrounder 1831. [24] Mourmouras, I.A. & Lee, J.E. (1999) Government spending on infrastructure in an endogenous growth model with finite horizons, Journal of Economics and Business, 51, pp. 395-407. [25] Ram, R. (1986) Government size and economic growth: a new framework and some evidence from cross-section and time-series data, American Economic Review, 76, pp. 191–203. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/39616 |