Improving customer churn models as one of customer relationship management business solutions for the telecommunication industry

Slavescu, Ecaterina and Panait, Iulian (2012): Improving customer churn models as one of customer relationship management business solutions for the telecommunication industry. Forthcoming in: Ovidius University Annals - Economic Sciences Series , Vol. 12, No. 1 (2012)

Abstract

Nowadays, when companies are dealing with severe global competition, they are making serious investments in Customer Relationship Management (CRM) strategies. One of the cornerstones in CRM is customer churn prediction, the practice of determining a mathematical relation between customer characteristics and the likelihood to end the business contract with the company. This paper focuses on how to better support marketing decision makers in identifying risky customers in telecom industry by using Predictive Models. Based on historical data regarding the customer base for a telecom company, we proposed a Predictive Model using Logistic Regression technique and evaluate its efficiency as compared to the random selection. In the future, we will focus on extending our study by integrating more business considerations and mining models in order to adjust the churn models or redesign marketing activities for the telecom industry.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: predictive models, data mining, churn, time series econometrics
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods ; Simulation Methods; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C26 - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C8 - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology ; Computer Programs > C81 - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data ; Data Access; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C25 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models ; Discrete Regressors ; Proportions ; Probabilities

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