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Evolution of the Russian Political Party System under the Influence of Social Conformity: 1993-2011

Coleman, Stephen (2014): Evolution of the Russian Political Party System under the Influence of Social Conformity: 1993-2011.

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Abstract

The Russian political party system has developed through a tumultuous era, progressing from extreme fragmentation to a smaller, more stable number of parties. Much of this change was engineered by elites and especially by President Putin, leading to the question of whether the result is a normal party system by traditional Western standards or just a tool of the government. By means of a predictive mathematical model, the analysis shows that the party system indeed has grown strong popular roots with a great impact on the overall distribution of votes among the parties. This is caused by the pervasive but unconscious effect of social conformity on voters.

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