Munich Personal RePEc Archive

LES EFFETS NON LINEAIRES DES DÉPENSES PUBLIQUES SUR LA CROISSANCE ÉCONOMIQUE EN RD CONGO

LONZO LUBU, Gastonfils and AVOM, Desiré (2014): LES EFFETS NON LINEAIRES DES DÉPENSES PUBLIQUES SUR LA CROISSANCE ÉCONOMIQUE EN RD CONGO.

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Abstract

The objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of public spending on economic growth in DR Congo. This is to highlight the non-linear effects of public expenditure on economic growth in the DRC. In view of the results of the econometric regression, there are non-linearities in the relationship between public spending and economic activity in the DRC. It was observed an optimal threshold of public expenditure in the DRC is 24% between 1961 and 2013 through the logic modeling endogenous thresholds, originally developed by Hansen (2000), it also appears to an external debt ratio 112% with a lower or equal to 2.3% budget balance, the state influences Keynesian economic activity in the DRC beyond these thresholds, the effect of public expenditure is not Keynesian or anti Keynesian.

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