A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators

Abdih, Yasser and Behar, Alberto and Cevik, Serhan and Chami, Ralph and Dougherty-Choux, Lisa and Furceri, Davide and Janus, Nick and Zimand, Paul (2012): A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators. Published in:

Abstract

This note is a reference guide for the unemployment template, an econometric tool that allows researchers to analyze and project labor market indicators for any country with sufficient data coverage. Section I explains the motivation behind designing a new surveillance tool to study labor markets, and summarizes the key features of the template. Section II details the data inputs needed and their sources. Section III describes the methods used to estimate the employment-growth elasticity, a measure of the extent to which employment responds to output. Section IV outlines the medium-term outlook table and projection charts created by the template once the inputs are customized to generate an appropriate elasticity. Finally, Section V presents a discussion of how to interpret the results produced by the template, and of the issues that arise from projecting labor market indicators.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Unemployment, projections, template, labor market
• Subjects: D - Microeconomics > D6 - Welfare Economics; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J0 - General; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J3 - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J4 - Particular Labor Markets; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J5 - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J7 - Labor Discrimination; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J8 - Labor Standards: National and International

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