Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Var det fortsat ”the economy, stupid!” i 2016 og 2018?

Kurrild-Klitgaard, Peter (2019): Var det fortsat ”the economy, stupid!” i 2016 og 2018? Published in: Samfundsøkonomen , Vol. 2019, No. 3 (October 2019): pp. 17-30.

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Abstract

US elections are often interpreted in an anecdotal and person focused manner by media and commentators, while social science research consistently has found that economic conditions play a very large role, while others play a small one. An analysis US presidential and midterm elections 1948-2018 demonstrate that the presidential election of 2016 and the midterm elections of 2018 generally fits well into a logic that voters hold the presidential party responsible for the economic development, while there also is a cost of ruling.

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