Var det fortsat ”the economy, stupid!” i 2016 og 2018?

Kurrild-Klitgaard, Peter (2019): Var det fortsat ”the economy, stupid!” i 2016 og 2018? Published in: Samfundsøkonomen , Vol. 2019, No. 3 (October 2019): pp. 17-30.

Abstract

US elections are often interpreted in an anecdotal and person focused manner by media and commentators, while social science research consistently has found that economic conditions play a very large role, while others play a small one. An analysis US presidential and midterm elections 1948-2018 demonstrate that the presidential election of 2016 and the midterm elections of 2018 generally fits well into a logic that voters hold the presidential party responsible for the economic development, while there also is a cost of ruling.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Was it still "the economy, stupid!" in 2016 and 2018?
• Language: Danish
• Keywords: US elections; economic voting; Donald Trump; US presidential election 2016; US midterm election 2018
• Subjects: D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior; N - Economic History > N1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics ; Industrial Structure ; Growth ; Fluctuations > N12 - U.S. ; Canada: 1913-; N - Economic History > N4 - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation > N42 - U.S. ; Canada: 1913-; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O51 - U.S. ; Canada

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