De Koning, Kees (2020): Rebuilding the European Union Economies after the corona virus pandemic: a new Country by Country Home Equity Release Method: (E.U.HERM).
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Abstract
Among the European Union countries, there are some that already have reached their peak of the corona virus pandemic, while others are still struggling to get a grip on the epidemic. In a number of countries, at the time of writing, a lock down situation is still in place.
How will the economies look like after the pandemic is tamed?
The IMF in its latest blog on the world’s financial stability came to the following conclusions: “Central banks will remain crucial to safeguarding the stability of global financial markets and maintaining the flow of credit to the economy. But this crisis is not simply about liquidity. It is primarily about solvency—at a time when large segments of the global economy have come to a complete stop. As a result, fiscal policy has a vital role to play. Together, monetary, fiscal, and financial policies should aim to cushion the impact of the COVID-19 shock and to ensure a steady, sustainable recovery once the pandemic is under control. Close, continuous international coordination will be essential to support vulnerable countries, to restore market confidence, and to contain financial stability risks. The IMF is ready to assert the full weight of its resources—first, to help protect the world’s most vulnerable economies, and, for the long term, to strengthen the eventual recovery.” In two previous papers by this author: one about the U.S. economy and the other about the U.K.’s one, the author did illustrate that there is a substantial illiquid element of households’ savings incorporated in the homes people live in. In these papers, the why and how of turning such savings into cash was demonstrated. Such conversion of an illiquid asset into current cash can stimulate consumer expenditure, without having to fall back on additional government expenditure to achieve such goal. The help of central banks through Quantitative Easing will be vital. The E.U consists of 27 countries; for 19 countries out of the 27 it has one currency from one Central Bank (ECB). In this paper, the how and why for two countries in particular: Italy and Spain will be set out. This does not imply that the same method cannot be used in all the other E.U countries.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Rebuilding the European Union Economies after the corona virus pandemic: a new Country by Country Home Equity Release Method: (E.U.HERM) |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | European Central Bank, National central banks, Home equity, Italy, Spain, effects of corona virus, consumer expenditure, home equity release method |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D11 - Consumer Economics: Theory D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D14 - Household Saving; Personal Finance E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E51 - Money Supply ; Credit ; Money Multipliers E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies |
Item ID: | 99910 |
Depositing User: | Drs Kees DE KONING |
Date Deposited: | 29 Apr 2020 07:30 |
Last Modified: | 07 May 2020 08:39 |
References: | De Koning, Kees: 5 April 2020, Rebuilding the U.S. economy after the corona virus pandemic: a new home equity release method (U.S.HERM), MPRA paper 99459; https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/99459mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/99459 De Koning, Kees : 15 April 2020 ,Rebuilding the U.K. economy after the corona virus pandemic: a new home equity release method (U.K.HERM), MPRA Paper 99683; https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/99683 European Central Bank: 18 March 2020; Account of the Monetary Policy Committee Meeting: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/accounts/2020/html/ecb.mg200409_1~baf4b2ad06.en.html Eurostat, Luxemburg; 2016. Household’s tenure status statistics including Italy and Spain (online data code ilc_Ivho02) Global Property Guide; 17 April 2019, Lalaine C. Del Mondo: Italy’s housing market improving; https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Europe/Italy/Price-History ING Bank, The Netherlands: 2015, European household wealth study, https://www.ezonics.com/pdf/Household-wealth in Europe.pdf International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C. Blog; 14 April 2020; Covid 19 Crisis poses threat to financial stability; https://blogs.imf.org/2020/04/14/covid-19-crisis-poses-threat-to-financial- International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C., 14 April 2020,World Economic Outlook: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2020/04/14/weo-april-2020 Investopedia , 16 March 2020, Definition of Quantitative Easing (Q.E.) https://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quantitative-easing.asp Swiss National Bank, 31 March, 2013, Umberto Principe; Why median Italians are far richer than Germans; https://snbchf.com/italy-euro-exit/european-wealth-italy-germany/ Trading Economics, 2019, Italy government debt to GDP level; https://tradingeconomics.com/italy/government-debt-to-gdp |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/99910 |