neifar, malika (2020): Efficiency-Market Hypothesis: case of Tunisian and 6 Asian stock markets .
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_103232.pdf Download (957kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In this paper we test the weak form of the Efficient-Market Hypothesis (EMH) using monthly data of stock prices for the period from 2010M01 to 2019M07 for seven markets (Tunindex) in Tunisia and 6 Asian countries : Saudi Arabia (TSAI), Japon (Nikkei 225), China (SSEC), Turkey (BIST100), India (BSE30), and Indonesia (JKSE) by using linear and nonlinear (KSS and Modified KSS) unit root tests. Our empirical results indicate that the stock markets are efficient [not efficient] in the weak form of EMH in Tunisia and Saudi Arabia [Japan, Turkey, India, Indonesia, and China]. The major policy implications is that in these five countries (Japan, Turkey, India, Indonesia, and China), fund managers and investors can enjoy excess returns to their investment.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Efficiency-Market Hypothesis: case of Tunisian and 6 Asian stock markets |
English Title: | Efficiency-Market Hypothesis: case of Tunisian and 6 Asian stock markets |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Efficient-Market Hypothesis (EMH); BDS test; Linear Unit root test; Nonlinear Unit root test, Tunisia and 6 Asian countries |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C12 - Hypothesis Testing: General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G10 - General G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G14 - Information and Market Efficiency ; Event Studies ; Insider Trading |
Item ID: | 103232 |
Depositing User: | Pr Malika NEIFAR |
Date Deposited: | 06 Oct 2020 09:23 |
Last Modified: | 06 Oct 2020 09:23 |
References: | Ang, J., & Pohlmam, R. (1978). A note on the price behavior of Far Eastern stocks. Journal of International Business Studies, Spring, 103–109. Bahmani, M., Chang, T., Chen, T., & Tzeng, H. (2016). Revisiting the efficient market hypothesis in transition countries using quantile unit root test. Economics Bulletin. Barnett, W., Gallant, R., Hinich, M., Jungeilges, J., Kaplan, D., & Jensen, M. (1997). Asingle-blind controlled competition among tests for non linearity and chaos. J.Econom., 82, 157–192. Bildirici, M. E., & Turkmen, C. (2015). Nonlinear causality between oil and precious metals. Resources Policy, 46, )202–211. Bildirici, M., & Turkmen, C. (2014). The chaotic relationship between oil return, gold, silver and copper returns in TURKEY: Non-Linear ARDL and Augmented Non- linear Granger Causality,. 4th International Conference on Leadership, Technology, Innovation and Business Management,ResearchPaper,19-21Nov. Brock, W. A., Dechert, D., Scheinkman, H., & LeBaron, B. (1996). A Test for Independence Based on the Correlation Dimension. Econometric Reviews, 15, 197--235. Brooks, C. (2008). Introductory Econometrics for Finance. Cambridge University. Chong, T. T., Hinich, M. J., Liewand, V. K., & Lim, K. P. (2008). Time series test of nonlinear convergence and transitional dynamics. Economics Letters, 100(3), 337-339. Conrad, K., & Juttner, D. (1973). Recent Behavior of stock market prices in Germany and the random walk hypothesis. Kyklos, 26, 576–599. Cuestas, J., & Garratt, D. (2011). Is real GDP per capita a stationary process? smooth transitions, nonlinear trends and unit root testing. Empirical Economy, 41, 555–563. Cuestas, J., & Garratt, D. (2011). Is real GDP per capita a stationary process? smooth transitions, nonlinear trends and unit root testing. Empirical Economy, 41, 555–563. D’Ambrusio, C. A. (1980). Random walk and the Stock Exchange of Singapore. Financial Review, 15, 1–12. Davies, R. (1977). Hypothesis Testing When a Nuisance Parameter is Present Under the Alternative. Biometrika, 64, 247-254. Dickinson, J., & Muragu, K. (1994). Market efficiency in developing countries: a case study of the Nairobi Stock Exchange. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 21, 133–150. Fama, E. (1970). Efficient capital markets: a review of theory and empirical work. Journal of Finance, 25, 383-417. Fawson, C., Glover, T., Fang, W., & Chang, T. (1996). The weak-form efficiency of the Taiwan share market. Applied Economics Letters, 3, 663-667. Gandhi, D., Sanders, A., & Woodward, R. (1980). “Thin capital markets: a case study of the Kuwait Stock markets. Applied Economics, 12, 341–349. Gharbi, L., & Halioui, K. (2014). Informational market efficiency in GCC region: a comparative study between Islamic and conventional markets. Int. J. Behavioural Accounting and Finance, 4(2). Groenewold, N., & Kang, K. (1993). Semi-strong efficiency of the Australian share market. The Economic Record, 69, 405–410. Harvey, D., Leybourne, S., & Xiao, B. (2008). A powerful test for linearity when the order of integration is unknown. Stud Nonlinear Dyn. Econ, 12, Article 2. Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y., & Snell, A. (2003). Testing for a unit root in the nonlinear STAR framework. J. Econ., 112, 359–379. Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y., & Snell, S. (2003). Testing for a Unit Root in the Nonlinear STAR Framework. Journal of Econometrics, 12, 359-379. Kemp, A., & Reid, G. (1971). The random walk hypothesis and the recent behavior of equity prices in Britain. Econometrica, 38, 28–51. Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2004). Unit root quantile autoregression inference. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 99, 775–787. Kruse, R. (2011). A new unit root test against ESTAR based on a class of modified statistics. Stat. Papers, 52(1), 71–85. Macdonald, R. (1994). Stock prices and excessive volatility: some evidence for the FT Ordinary Share Index. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 21, 65–76. McInish, H., & Pulisi, D. (1982). The efficiency of the international money market. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 9, 167–177. Panas, E. (1990). The behavior of Athens stock prices. Applied Economics, 22, 1715–1727. PwC. (2015). The world in 2050, will the shift in global economy power continue? http://www.pwc.com/gx/en/issues/the-economy/assets/world-in-2050-february-2015.pdf. Sollis, R. (2009). A simple unit root test against asymmetric star nonlinearity with an application to real exchange rates in NORDIC countries. Economic Modelling, 26, 118–125. Wong, K., & Kwong, K. (1984). The behavior of Hong Kong stock Prices. Applied Economics, 16, 905–917. Zivot, E., & Wang, J. (2003). ModelingFinancialTimeSeriesWithS-PLUS. Springer. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/103232 |