Kamalyan, Hayk (2021): Data Revisions and the Effects of Monetary Policy Volatility.
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Abstract
This paper evaluates the effects of monetary policy volatility by fully accounting for real-time nature of policy setting. The empirical analysis shows that the impact of real-data volatility on output is about two times lower compared to that of final data volatility. Qualitatively, the effects of the two measures of volatility are similar. These findings suggest that the business cycle implications of policy-related volatility may possibly be overstated.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Data Revisions and the Effects of Monetary Policy Volatility |
English Title: | Data Revisions and the Effects of Monetary Policy Volatility |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Final Data, Real-Time Data, Monetary Policy Volatility |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies |
Item ID: | 108226 |
Depositing User: | Hayk Kamalyan |
Date Deposited: | 09 Jun 2021 15:33 |
Last Modified: | 09 Jun 2021 15:33 |
References: | Boivin, Jean. (2006). ``Has U.S. Monetary Policy Changed? Evidence from Drifting Coefficients and Real-Time Data'', Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, Volume 38, Issue 5, pp. 1149-1173, Born, Benjamin, and Johannes Pfeifer. (2014). ``Policy risk and the business cycle'', Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 68, Issue 3, pp. 68-85, Christiano, Lawrence, Martin Eichenbaum, and Charles Evans. (1999).``Monetary Policy Shocks: What Have We Learned and to What End?'' Handbook of Macroeconomics, Edition 1, Volume 1, Chapter 2, pp.65-148, Creal, Drew, and Jing Wu. (2017). ``Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations'', International Economic Review, Volume 58, Issue 4, pp. 1317-1354, \bibitem{Croushore and Evans (2006)} Croushore, Dean, and Charles Evans. (2006). ``Data Revisions and the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks'' Journal of Monetary Economics, Volume 53, Issue 6, pp. 1135-1160, Evans, Charles. (1998). ``Real-time Taylor rules and the federal funds futures market'', Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Q III, pp. 44-55, Husted, Lucas, John Rogers, and Bo Sun. (2017). ``Monetary Policy Uncertainty'', Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Finance Discussion Papers, No. 1215, Kim, Sangjoon, Neil Shephard, and Siddhartha Chib. (1998). ``Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models'', The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 65, No. 3, pp. 361-393, Mumtaz, Haroon, and Francesco Zanetti. (2013) ``The Impact of the Volatility of Monetary Policy Shocks'', Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Volume 45, Issue 4, pp. 535-558, Mumtaz, Haroon, and Paolo Surico. (2018). ``Policy Uncertainty and Aggregate Fluctuations'', Journal of Applied Econometrics, Volume 58, Issue 4, pp. 1317-1354, Orphanides, Athanasios. (2001). ``Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data'', American Economic Review, Volume 91, No.4, pp. 964-985, |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/108226 |
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Data Revisions and the Effects of Monetary Policy Volatility. (deposited 08 May 2021 07:31)
- Data Revisions and the Effects of Monetary Policy Volatility. (deposited 09 Jun 2021 15:33) [Currently Displayed]