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The Exchange Rate and US Tourism Balance of Trade

Cheng, Ka Ming and Kim, Hyeongwoo and Thompson, Henry (2009): The Exchange Rate and US Tourism Balance of Trade.

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Abstract

This paper investigates evidence on the effect of dollar depreciation on the US tourism balance of trade. Export revenue and import spending functions are estimated separately with structural vector autoregressive methods to better capture the dynamic adjustment to exchange rate shocks. Quarterly data cover the period of floating exchange rates from 1973 through 2007. Depreciation raises long term US export revenue but there is no effect on import spending.

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