Turkish money demand, revisited: some implications for inflation and currency substitution under structural breaks

Levent, Korap (2007): Turkish money demand, revisited: some implications for inflation and currency substitution under structural breaks. Published in: Boğaziçi Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies , Vol. 21, No. 1-2 (2007): pp. 107-127.

Abstract

In this paper, a money demand model constructed on currency in circulation is used to determine the appropriate alternative cost to hold monetary balances in the Turkish economy. Our estimation results, using contemporaneous multivariate co-integration methodology, indicate that the most significant alternative cost to demand for money is the depreciation rate of the nominal exchange rate. This brings out the importance of having a currency substitution phenomenon settled in the economy when economic agents make their decisions as to their monetary transactions. Moreover, we find that domestic inflationary framework has been subject to a weakly exogenous characteristic and conclude that the main factors leading to domestic inflation are determined out of the money demand variable space.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Money Demand ; Inflation ; Currency Substitution ; Turkish Economy
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E41 - Demand for Money

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