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Seasonal decomposition with a modified Hodrick-Prescott filter

Buss, Ginters (2010): Seasonal decomposition with a modified Hodrick-Prescott filter.

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Abstract

I describe preliminary results for seasonal decomposition procedure using a modified Hodrick-Prescott (Leser) filter. The procedure is simpler to implement compared to two currently most popular seasonal decomposition procedures - X-11 filters developed by the U.S. Census Bureau and SEATS developed by the Bank of Spain. A case study for Latvia's quarterly gross domestic product shows the procedure is able to extract a stable seasonal component, yet allowing for structural changes in seasonality.

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