Bianchi, Carlo and Calzolari, Giorgio (1979): Simulation of a nonlinear econometric model. Published in: Simulation of Systems '79, ed. by L. Dekker, G. Savastano, and G. C. Vansteenkiste (1980): pp. 105-113.
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Abstract
This paper describes some analytic simulation experiments performed on a nonlinear macroeconometric model of the Italian economy. The proposed techniques extend to nonlinear models methods that are available, in the literature, for linear econometric models. The results can be profitably used either to validate the model or to evaluate the reliability of economic policy experiments.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Simulation of a nonlinear econometric model |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Macroeconometric model; analytic simulation; model validation; economic policy experiments |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C53 - Forecasting and Prediction Methods ; Simulation Methods C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C63 - Computational Techniques ; Simulation Modeling |
Item ID: | 24440 |
Depositing User: | Giorgio Calzolari |
Date Deposited: | 17 Aug 2010 12:42 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 16:34 |
References: | [1] Bianchi,C. and G.Calzolari, "The One-Period Forecast Errors in Nonlinear Econometric Models", International Economic Review, 20 (1979, forthcoming). [2] Bianchi,C., G,Calzolari and E.M.Cleur, "Spectral Analysis of Stochastic and Analytic Simulation Results for a Nonlinear Model for the Italian Economy", in COMPSTAT 1978, Proceedings in Computational Statistics, ed. by L.C.A.Corsten and J.Hermans, Vienna: Phisica Verlag, (1978), 348-354. [3] Bianchi,C., G.Calzolari and P.Corsi, "A Program for Stochastic Simulation of Econometric Models", Econometrica, 46 (1978), 235-236. [4] Corsi,P. and F.Sartori, "Simulazioni con il Modello ISPE: Studi su Alcune Politiche di Aggiustamento della Bilancia dei Pagamenti" , in Un Modello Econometrico del1'Economia Italiana; Caratteristiche e lmpiego, Roma: Ispequaderni, 1 (1978), 37-70, (in Italian). [5] Dhrymes,P.J., Econometrics: statistical Foundations and Applications, New York: Harper & Row, (1970). [6] Goldberger,A.S., Econometric Theory, New York: John Wiley, (1964). [7] Goldberger,A.S., Impact Multipliers and Dynamic Properties of the Klein-Goldberger Model, Amsterdam: North Holland, (1970). [8] Goldberger,A.S., A. L. Nagar and H.S.Odeh, "The Covariance Matrices of Reduced-Form Coefficients and of Forecasts for a Structural Econometric Model", Econometrica, 29 (1961), 556-573. [9] Howrey,E.P. and L.R.Klein, "Dynamic Properties of Nonlinear Econometric Models", International Economic Review, 13 (1972), 599-618. [10] Klein,L.R., A Textbook of Econometrics, Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall, (1974). [11] Kloek,T. and L.B.M.Mennes, "Simultaneous Equations Estimation Based on Principal Components of Predetermined Variables", Econometrica, 28 (1960), 45-61. [12] McCarthy,M. "A Note on the Forecasting Properties of Two-Stage Least Squares Restricted Reduced Forms: The Finite Sample case", International Economic Review, 13 (1972), 757-761. [13] Sargan,J.D., "The Existence of the Moments of Estimated Reduced Form Coefficients", London School of' Economics & Political Science, Discussion Paper, 46 (1976). [14] Sartori,F., "Caratteristiche e Struttura del Modello", in Un Modello Econometrico del1'Economia Italiana; Caratteristiche e Impiego, Roma: Ispequaderni, 1 (1978), 9-36, (in Italian). [15] Schink,G.R., "Small Sample Estimates of the Variance Covariance Matrix of Forecast Error for Large Econometric Models: the Stochastic Simulation Technique", Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Pennsylvania, (1971). [16] Schmidt,P., "The Asymptotic Distribution of Dynamic Multipliers", Econometrica, 41 (1973). 161-164. [17] Schmidt,P., "The Asymptotic Distribution of Forecasts in the Dynamic Simulation of an Econometric Model", Econometrica, 42 (1974), 303-309. [18] Schmidt,P., "Some Small Sample Evidence on the Distribution of Dynamic Simulation Forecasts", Econometrica, 45 (1977), 997-1005. [19] Theil,H., Principles of Econometrics, New York, John Wiley (1971). |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/24440 |