Mimir, Yasin (2010): Financial intermediaries, leverage ratios, and business cycles.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_27643.pdf Download (307kB) | Preview |
Abstract
I document cyclical properties of aggregate measures of liabilities, equity, and leverage ratio in the U.S. financial sector and those of credit spread. I find that (i) liabilities and equity are procyclical, leverage ratio is acyclical, and credit spread is countercyclical, (ii) financial variables are three to ten times more volatile than output, and (iii) financial variables lead the business cycle. I present a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with profit maximizing banks where bank equity mitigates a moral hazard problem between banks and their depositors. The driving sources of business cycles are shocks to bank equity as well as standard productivity shocks. The model generates real and financial fluctuations consistent with the U.S. data. The model also delivers some policy prescriptions about capital adequacy requirements of banks.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Financial intermediaries, leverage ratios, and business cycles |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Banks; Financial Fluctuations; Credit Frictions; Bank Equity; Real Fluctuations |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E10 - General E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E20 - General |
Item ID: | 27643 |
Depositing User: | Yasin Mimir |
Date Deposited: | 22 Dec 2010 17:46 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 18:39 |
References: | Adrian, T., Shin, H.S., 2008. Liquidity and Leverage. Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol.19 (3), pp. 418-437 Adrian, T., Shin, H.S., 2009. Financial Intermediaries and Monetary Economics. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, No. 398 Angeloni, I., Faia, E., 2010. Capital Regulation and Monetary Policy with Fragile Banks. Unpublished manuscript, European Central Bank. Bernanke, B.S., Gertler M., Gilchrist, S., 1999. The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework. In Handbook of Macroeconomics, edited by John B. Taylor and Michael Woodford, Vol. 1C. Elsevier Cole, R.A., McKenzie, J.A., White, L.J., 1995. ``Deregulation Gone Awry: Moral Hazard in the Savings and Loan Industry," in A. Cottrell, M. Lawlor, and J. Woo, eds., The causes and consequences of depository institutions failures. Boston, MA: Kluwer, 1995, pp. 29-73 Carlson, M.A., King, T.B., Lewis, K.F., 2008. Distress in the Financial Sector and Economic Activity. Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C., 2008-43. Carlstrom, C.T., Fuerst, T.S., 1998. Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis. American Economic Review, Vol.87, pp. 893-910 Carlstrom, C.T., Fuerst, T.S., 1998. Agency Costs and Business Cycles. Economic Theory, Vol.12, pp. 583-597 Christiano, L., 2010. Remarks on Unconventional Monetary Policy. IJCB Conference, Bank of Japan. Chugh, S., 2010. Firm Risk and Leverage Based Business Cycles. Unpublished manuscript, University of Maryland. Covas, F., Den Haan, W.J., 2006. The Role of Debt and Equity Finance over the Business Cycle. Bank of Canada Working Paper, 2006-45. Gertler, M., Gilchrist, S., Natalucci, F.M., 2007. External Constraints on Monetary Policy and the Financial Accelerator. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 39(2-3), pp. 295–330. Gertler, M., Karadi, P., 2010. A Model of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Journal of Monetary Economics. Forthcoming. Gertler, M., Kiyotaki, N. 2010, Financial Intermediation and Credit Policy in Business Cycle Analysis. Unpublished manuscript, Princeton University. Gilchrist, S., Yankov V., Zakrajsek, E., 2010. Credit Market Shocks and Economic Fluctuations: Evidence from Corporate Bond and Stock Markets. Journal of Monetary Economics, forthcoming. Gilchrist, S., Zakrajsek, E., 2010. Credit Risk and the Macroeconomy. Unpublished manuscript, Boston University. Hellmann, T.F., Murdock, K.C., Stiglitz, J.E., 2000. Liberalization, Moral Hazard in Banking, and Prudential Regulation: Are Capital Requirements Enough?. American Economic Review, Vol.90(1), pp. 147-165. Holmstrom B., Tirole, J., 1997. Financial Intermediation, Loanable Funds and the Real Sector. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol.112, pp. 663-691. Iacoviello, M., 2010. Financial Business Cycles. Unpublished manuscript, Federal Reserve Board. Jeanne, O., Korinek, A., 2009. Managing Credit Booms and Busts: A Pigouvian Taxation Approach. Unpublished manuscript, University of Maryland. Jermann, U., Quadrini, V., 2009. Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks. Unpublished manuscript, University of Southern California. Kane, E., 1989. The S&L insurance crisis: How did it happen? Washington, DC: Urban Institute Press, 1989. Kiyotaki, N., Moore, J., 1997. Credit Cycles. Journal of Political Economy, Vol.105, pp. 211-248. Korajczyk, R.A., Levy, A., 2003. Capital Structure Choice: Macroeconomic Conditions and Financial Constraints. Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.68, pp. 75-109. Levin, A.T., Natalucci, F.M., Zakrajsek, E., 2004. The Magnitude and Cyclical Behavior of Financial Market Frictions. Finance and Discussion Series, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, No.70. Meh, C., Moran, K., 2010. The Role of Bank Capital in the Propagation of Shocks. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol.34, pp. 555-576. Mendoza, E.G., Quadrini, V., 2010. Financial Globalization, Financial Crises and Contagion. Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol.57, pp. 24-39. Schmitt-Grohe, S., Uribe, M., 2004. Solving Dynamic General Equilibrium Models Using a Second-Order Approximation to the Policy Function. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol.28, pp. 755-775. Woodford, M., Curdia, V., 2010. Credit Spreads and Monetary Policy. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/27643 |