Capital mobility and macroeconomic volatility: evidence from Greece

Anastasios, Pappas (2010): Capital mobility and macroeconomic volatility: evidence from Greece. Published in: Journal of Economic Asymmetries , Vol. 7, No. 1 (June 2010): pp. 101-121.

Abstract

This paper focuses on the impact of full capital account liberalization on macroeconomic volatility in Greece. According to the standard neoclassical model, such liberalization is to be desired because, among other advantages, it may reduce macroeconomic volatility. The link between macroeconomic volatility and capital account openness in the Greek economy is investigated by applying a simple three-month rolling standard deviation of real GDP growth and real final (total) consumption growth combined with more formal econometric methods such as Granger causality test and multivariate regressions. There is no strong evidence for a stable relation between macroeconomic volatility and variables of financial openness. Thus other factors, such as exchange rate volatility and exogenous shocks rather than a full liberalization of capital movements, seem to be related to macroeconomic growth volatility in the Greek economy.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Volatility; Capital mobility; Gross domestic product; Consumption; Growth
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F30 - General; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy; F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F36 - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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