Transmission internationale de la volatilité des prix d’actifs financiers : les relations entre les marchés français et américains de 1997 à 2000

Laborde, David and Rey, Serge (2001): Transmission internationale de la volatilité des prix d’actifs financiers : les relations entre les marchés français et américains de 1997 à 2000.

Abstract

This paper analyzes the causal relationships between returns and volatilities of assets prices in U.S. and French markets. The period for the study has been taken from January 1997 to December 2000, using daily and weekly data. Initial results show that U.S. stock prices "Granger-cause" French stock prices, while changes in French and American stock prices influence significatively the euro/dollar exchange rate. Moreover, it appears that the volatilities of stock markets are linked (with causal feedback), and that they affect the exchange rate volatility. Finally, with weekly data we highlight that the euro/dollar volatility "Granger-cause" the rate of return on stocks.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Volatility and cross correlation across asset markets: Evidence from the French and US markets over the 1997-2000 period
• Language: French
• Keywords: Stock market, volatility, ARCH model, causality, SUR method, Euro/dollar
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange

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