Ali, Sharafat (2014): Inflation, Income Inequality and Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Cointegration Analysis. Published in: International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories , Vol. 1, No. 4 (January 2014): pp. 33-42.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_53706.pdf Download (637kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The study is an attempt to explore the impact of inflation and income inequality in Pakistan. The study also analyzes the effect of foreign direct investment, workers’ remittances and manufacturing value added on growth. Annual time series data from 1972 to 2007 was used for the analysis. After finding all of the time series stationary at first difference, Johansen cointegration approach and vector error correction models are applied for the long run and short run analysis, respectively. The cointegration test results confirmed growth increasing impact of income inequality in Pakistan. Foreign direct investment, remittances and manufacturing valued added are found to have positives and significant impact on growth in Pakistan. The study also suggests some policy implications.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Inflation, Income Inequality and Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Cointegration Analysis |
English Title: | Inflation, Income Inequality and Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Cointegration Analysis |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Inequality, Development, Manufacturing Value Added, Investment, Time Series, Unit Root, Error Correction, Pakistan |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes L - Industrial Organization > L6 - Industry Studies: Manufacturing O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity P - Economic Systems > P2 - Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies > P24 - National Income, Product, and Expenditure ; Money ; Inflation |
Item ID: | 53706 |
Depositing User: | Mr. Sharafat Ali |
Date Deposited: | 16 Feb 2014 15:59 |
Last Modified: | 01 Oct 2019 04:26 |
References: | Ahmad, Arslan, Najid Ahmad and Sharafat Ali (2013). Exchange Rate and Economic Growth in Pakistan (1975-2011). Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, 3(8): 740-746. Ahmad, N., A. Ahmad and M. F. Hayat (2013). Foreign Remittances and Economic Growth in Pakistan: An Empirical Investigation. Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, 3(7): 813-819. Ahmad, N., M. F. Hayat, M. Luqman and S. Ullah (2012). The Causal Links between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Pakistan. European Journal of Business and Economics, Vol. 6: 20-21. Ahmad, Najid and U. S. Joyia (2012). The Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in Pakistan: An Econometric Approach. Asian Journal of Research in Business Economics and Management, 2(9): 38-48. Ahmed, Shamim, and Md. Golam Mortaza (2005). Inflation and Growth in Bangladesh: 1981-2005. Working Paper No. 0604. www.bangladeshbank.org.bd/research/pau.html Ali, Sharafat (2013). A Cointegration Approach to Estimate Private Investment Demand Function of Pakistan. Asian Journal of Research in Business Economics and Management, 3(9): 1-13. Andres, Javier, and Ignacio Hernando (1997). Does Inflation Harm Economic Growth? Evidence for the OECD. NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper No. 6062. Barro, Robert J. (1995). Inflation and Economic Growth. In NBER Working Paper Series. Bergten, C. F., T. Horst, and H. Moran (1978). American Multinationals and American Interests. Washington, DC: Brookings Institute. Bittencourt, Manoel (2010). Inflation and Economic Growth in Latin America: Some Panel Time-series Evidence. Department of Economics Working Paper Series, University of Pretoria. Bruno, Michael, and Easterly, William (1995). Inflation Crises and Long-Run Growth. National Bureau of Economic Research , Working Paper No. 5209. Bullard, James, and John W. Keating (2005). The Long Run Relationship between Inflation and Output in Postwar Economies. Journal of Monetary Economics, 36: 477-496. Chimobi, Philip Omoke (2010). Inflation and Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Sustainable Development, 3(2): 159-166. Economic Survey (1990-91, 2000-2001, 2006-07, 2011-12). Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan: Islamabad. Engle, R. R. K. and C. W. Granger (1987). Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing. Econometrica, 55:251-276. Fischer, S. (1993). The Role of Macroeconomic Factors in Growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 32: 485-512. Granger, C. W. J. (1986), Developments in the Study of Co-integrated Economic Variables. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 48, p. 26. Iqbal, Nasir, and Saima Nawaz (2010). Investment, Inflation and Economic Growth Nexus. Pakistan Institute of Development Economics. Available at: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/27163/ Iqbal, Zafar and Abdus Sattar (2005). The Contribution of Worker’s Remittances to Economics Growth in Pakistan. PIDE Research Report No. 187, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE): Islamabad. Johansen , S. and Juselius K. (1990). “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration – with Approach to the Demand for Money”. Bulletin, Volume 52. pp. 169-210. Johansen S. (1991). “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models’”, Econometrica, Vol. 59, pp. 1551-80. Johansen, S. (1988). “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors”. Journal of Economic Dynamics Control, Vol. 12, pp. 231-54. Johnston, J. and Dinardo, J. (1997). Econometric Methods. McGraw Hill Companies, Inc. 4th Edition: 244-286. Jongwanich, Juthathip (2007). Worker’s Remittances, Economic Growth and Poverty in Developing Asia and the Pacific Countries. UNESCAP Working Paper No. 01: United Nations. Kenedy, C. R. (1992). Relationship between Transnational Corporations and Governments of Host Countries: A Look to the Future. Transnational Corporations 1:1, 67-91. Khan, A. H. and Kim, Yun-Hwan, Kim (1999). Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan: Policy Issues and Operational Implications. EDRC Report Series No. 66, Asian Development Bank: Manila. Khan, Mohsin S., and Sehnadji, Abdelhak S. (2000). Threshold Effects in the Relationship between Iflation and Growth. IMF Working Paper No. 10. Khan, Muhammad Arshad (2007). Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: The Role of Domestic Financial Sector. PIDE Working Paper No. 18, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE): Islamabad. Lee, Chien-Chiang, and Shih Chien Wong (2005). Inflationary Threshold Effects in the Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from Taiwan and Japan. Journal of Economic Development, Vol. 30: 49-69. Malik, Girijasankar, and Chowdhry, Anis (2001). Inflation and Growth: Evidence from Four South Asian Countries. Asia-Pacific Development Journal, 8(1): 123-135. Malla, S. (1997). Inflation and Economic Growth: Evidence from Growth Equation. mimeo, Department of Economics, University of Hawai’I Monoa, Honolulu. Mubarik, Yasir Ali (2005). Inflation and Growth: An Estimate of the Threshold Level of Inflation in Pakistan. State Bank of Pakistan-Research Bulletin, 1(1): 35-44. Sarel, M (1995). Nonlinear Impacts of Inflation on Economic Growth. IMF Working Paper WP/95/56: Washington, D. C. Sergii, P. (2009). Inflation and Growth: The Non-Linear Relationship. Evidence from CIS Countries. MA Thesis in Economics, Kyiv School of Economics. Thirlwall, A. P., and C. A. Barton (1971). Inflation and Growth: The International Evidence. Bonca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Vol. 98: 263-275. Voitchovsky, Sarah (2005). The Effect of Inequality on Growth: A Review of the Recent Empirical Literature. DFID Commissioned Study. WDI (2012). World Development Indicators, World Bank: Washington DC. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/53706 |