Caiani, Alessandro and Russo, Alberto and Gallegati, Mauro (2016): Does Inequality Hamper Innovation and Growth?
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_71864.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper builds upon the Agent Based-Stock Flow Consistent model presented in Caiani et al. (2015) to analyze the relationship between income and wealth inequality and economic development. For this sake, the original model has been amended under three main dimensions: first, the households sector has been subdivided into workmen, office workers, researchers, and executives which compete on segmented labor markets. Conversely, firms are now characterized by a hierarchical organization structure which determines, according to firms’ output levels, their demand for each type of workers. Second, in order to account for the impact of income and wealth distribution on consumption patterns, different households classes - also representing different income groups - have diversified average propensities to consume and save. Finally, the model now embeds technological change in an evolutionary flavor, affecting labor productivity evolution in the consumption sector through product innovation in the capital sector, where firms invest in R&D and produce differentiated vintages of machineries. The model is then calibrated using realistic values for both income and wealth distribution across different income groups, and their average propensities to consume. Results of the simulation experiments suggest that more progressive tax schemes and labor market policies aiming to increase low and middle workers’ coordination, and to support their wage levels, concur to foster economic development and to reduce inequality, though the latter seem to be more effective under both respects. The model thus provides some evidence in favor of a wage-led growth regime, where improvements of middle-low levels workers’ conditions create positive systemic effects, which eventually trickle up also to high income-profit earners households.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Does Inequality Hamper Innovation and Growth? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Innovation, Inequality, Agent Based Macroeconomics, Stock Flow Consistent Models. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C63 - Computational Techniques ; Simulation Modeling D - Microeconomics > D3 - Distribution > D31 - Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions D - Microeconomics > D3 - Distribution > D33 - Factor Income Distribution E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights > O33 - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences ; Diffusion Processes |
Item ID: | 71864 |
Depositing User: | Alberto Russo |
Date Deposited: | 08 Jun 2016 14:25 |
Last Modified: | 01 Oct 2019 14:29 |
References: | Abowd, J. M., Kramarz, F., and Margolis, D. N. (1999). High wage workers and high wage firms. Econometrica, 67(2):251–333. Acemoglu, D. (1998). Why do new technologies complement skills: Directed technical change and wage inequality. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113:1055–1089. Acemoglu, D. (2002). Technical change, inequality, and the labor market. Journal of Economic Literature, 40:7–72. Acemoglu, D. (2007). Equilibrium bias of technology. Econometrica, 75(5):1371–1409. Acemoglu, D., Robinson, J. A., and Verdier, T. (2012). Can’t we all be more like scandinavians? Asymmetric growth and institutions in an interdependent world. NBER Working Papers, 18441. Aghion, P., Akcigit, U., Bergeaud, A., Blundell, R., and Hemous, D. (2015). Innovation and top income inequality. NBER Working Papers, 21247. Aghion, P. and Howitt, P. (1997). Endogeneous Growth Theory. MIT Press. Andersen, E. (1996). The Nelson and Winter Models Revisited: Prototypes for Computer-Based Reconstruction of Schumpeterian Competition. DRUID Working Paper, 96-2. Antonelli, C. and Gehringer, A. (2013). Innovation and income inequality. Technical report, University of Turin. Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis LEI & BRICK, Collegio Carlo Alberto. WP series. Assenza, T., Delli Gatti, D., and Grazzini, J. (2015). Emergent dynamics of a macroeconomic agent based model with capital and credit. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 50:5–28. Atkinson, A. B., Piketty, T., and Saez, E. (2011). Top incomes in the long run of history. Journal of Economic Literature, 49(1):3–71. Bengtsson, E. and Waldenstrom, D. (2015). Capital shares and income inequality: Evidence from the long run. IZA Discussion paper, 9581. Bils, M. (1987). The cyclical behavior of marginal cost and price. Economic Review, 77-5:838–855. Bils, M. and Kahn, J. (2000). What inventory behavior tells us about business cycles. American Economic Review, 90-3:458–481. Bivens, J. and Mishel, L. (2013). The pay of corporate executives and financial professionals as evidence of rents in top 1 percent incomes. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27(3):57–78. Bivens, J. and Mishel, L. (2015). Understanding the historic divergence between productivity and a typical worker’s pay. Why it matters and why it’s real. Economic Policy Institute, Briefing Paper, 406. Caiani, A. (2012). An agent-based model of Schumpeterian competition. Quaderni di Dipartimento, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods., 176:–. Caiani, A., Godin, A., Caverzasi, E., Gallegati, M., Kinsella, S., and Stiglitz, J. E. (2015). Agent based-stock flow consistent macroeconomics: Towards a benchmark model. Columbia Business School Research Paper No. 15-87, 15-87. Chetty, R., Hendren, N., Kline, P., and Saez, E. (2015). Where is the land of opportunity? The geography of intergenerational mobility in the United States. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129:1553–1623. Ciarli, T., Lorentz, A., Savona, M., and Valente, M. (2010). The effect of consumption and production structure on growth and distribution. A micro to macro model. Metroeconomica, 61(1):219–246. Cincotti, S., Raberto, M., and Teglio, A. (2010). Credit money and macroeconomic instability in the agent-based model and simulator eurace. Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 4(26). Copeland, M. A. (1949). Social Accounting for Moneyflows. The Accounting Review, 24(3):pp. 254–264. Dawid, H., Gemkow, S., Harting, P., Van der Hoog, S., and Neugart, M. (2012). The eurace@ unibi model: An agent-based macroeconomic model for economic policy analysis. Dawid, H., Harting, P., and Neugart, M. (2014). Economic convergence: Policy implications from a heterogeneous agent model. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 44:54–80. Deissenberg, C., Van Der Hoog, S., and Dawid, H. (2008). Eurace: A massively parallel agent-based model of the european economy. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 204-2:541–552. Delli Gatti, D., Gaffeo, E., and Gallegati, M. (2010). Complex Agent-Based Macroeconomics: a Manifesto for a New Paradigm. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 5-2:111–135. Dosi, G., Fagiolo, G., Napoletano, M., and Roventini, A. (2012). Wage formation, investment behavior and growth regimes: An agent-based analysis. Revue de l’OFCE, 0-5:235–261. Dosi, G., Fagiolo, G., Napoletano, M., and Roventini, A. (2013). Income distribution, credit and fiscal policies in an agent-based Keynesian model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37(8):1598–1625. Dosi, G., Fagiolo, G., Napoletano, M., Roventini, A., and Treibich, T. (2015). Fiscal and monetary policies in complex evolving economies. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 52:166–189. Dosi, G., Fagiolo, G., and Roventini, A. (2010). Schumpeter meeting Keynes: A policy-friendly model of endogenous growth and business cycles. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34(9):1748–1767. Dosi, G., Pereira, M., Roventini, A., and Virgillito, M. (2016). When more flexibility yields more fragility: the microfoundations of Keynesian aggregate unemployment. ISIGrowth Project Working Paper Series, 5/2016:–. Duesenberry, J. S. (1949). Income, Saving and the Theory of Consumer Behavior. Harvard University Press. Dutt, A. K. (1987). Alternative closures again: a comment on growth, distribution and inflation. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 11(1):75–82. Dutt, A. K. (2016). Growth and distribution in heterodox models with managers and financiers. Metroeconomica, 67(2):364–396. Dynan, K. E., Skinner, J., and Zeldes, S. P. (2004). Do the rich save more? Journal of Political Economy, 112(2):397–444. Eichner, A. S. (1976). The Megacorp and Oligopoly: Micro Foundations of Macro Dynamics. Cambridge University Press. Fagiolo, G., Napoletano, M., and Roventini, A. (2008). Are output growth-rate distribution fat-tailed? Some evidence from OECD countires. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 23:639–669. Fana, M., Guarascio, D., and Cirillo, V. (2015). Labour market reforms in Italy: Evaluating the effects of the Jobs Act. ISIGrowth Project Working Paper Series, 5/2015:–. Fisher, J., Johnson, D., and Smeeding, T. (2015). Inequality of income and consumption: Measuring the trends in inequality from 1985-2010 for the same individuals. The Review of Income and Wealth, 61-4:630650. Godley, W. and Lavoie, M. (2007). Monetary Economics An Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Production and Wealth. Palgrave MacMillan, New York. Goldin, C. and Katz, L. F. (2008). The Race Between Education and Technology. Harvard University Press. Hopkin, J., Lapuente, V., and Moller, L. (2014). Lower levels of inequality are linked with greater innovation in economies. Technical report, London School of Economics and Political Science. LSE’s USApp blog. IMF (2007). World economic outlook. Spillovers and cycles in the global economy. Technical report, International Monetary Fund. Jacobs, E. (2016). What do trends in economic inequality imply for innovation and entrepreneurship? A framework for future research and policy. Technical report, Washington Center for Equitable Growth. Jaumotte, F. and Buitron, C. O. (2015). Inequality and labor market institutions. Staff Discussion Notes SDN/15/14. Jones, C. I. and Kim, J. (2014). A Schumpeterian model of top income inequality. NBER Working Papers, 20637. Kaplan, S. N. and Rauh, J. (2010). Wall street and main street: What contributes to the rise in the highest incomes? Review of Financial Studies, 23(3):1004–1050. Karanassou, M. and Sala, H. (2010). The wage-productivity gap revisited: Is the labour share neutral to employment? Technical report, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Financne. Working Paper 668. Katz, L. F. and Murphy, K. M. (1992). Change in relative wages: Supply and demand factors. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107:35–78. Klenow, P. and Kryvtsov, O. (2005). State-dependent or time-dependent pricing: Does it matter for recent U.S. inflation? NBER Working Paper Series, 11043:54. Kumhof, M., Ranciere, R., andWinant, P. (2015). Inequality, leverage and crises. American Economic Review, 105(3):1217–1245. Lavoie, M. (1992). Foundations of Post-Keynesian Economic Analysis. Edward Elgar, Aldershot. Lavoie, M. (2015). Post-Keynesian Economics: New Foundations. Edward Elgar. Lavoie, M. and Stockhammer, E. (2012). Wage-led growth: Concept, theories and policies. International Labor Office. Conditions of Work and Employment Series, 41. Leary, M. (2009). Bank loan supply, lender choice, and corporate capital structure. The Journal of Finance, 64-3:11431185. Lown, C. and Morgan, D. (2006). The credit cycle and the business cycle: New findings using the loan officer opinion survey. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 38-6:15751597. Lydall, H. F. (1959). The distribution of employment incomes. Econometrica, 27(1):110–115. Mazzucato, M. (2013). The entreprenurial State. Debunking Public vs. Private Sector Myths. Anthem. McCombie, J. S. L. (2002). Increasing returns and the Verdoon law from a Kaldorian perspective. In McCombie, J. S. L., Pugno, M., and Soro, B., editors, Productivity Growth and Economic Performance: Essays on Verdoon’s Law, pages 64–114. Palgrave Macmillan. McCombie, J. S. L. and Thirlwall, A. P. (1994). Economic Growth and the Balance-of-Payments Constraint. Macmillan. Napoletano, M., Dosi, G., Fagiolo, G., and Roventini, A. (2012). Wage formation investment behavior and growth regimes: An agent-based analysis. Revue de l’OFCE. Debates and policies, 124:235–261. Nelson, R. and Winter, S. (1977a). In Search of a Useful Theory of Innovation. Research Policy, 6:36–76. Nelson, R. and Winter, S. (1977b). Simulation of Schumpeterian Competition. The American Economic Review, 67-1:271–276. Nelson, R. and Winter, S. G. (1982). An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change. Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA., Cambridge, MA. Nuno, G. and Thomas, C. (2013). Bank leverage cycles. ECB Working Paper Series, 1524. OECD (2011). Divided we stand: Why inequality keeps rising. Technical report, OECD. Onaran, O. and Galanis, G. (2012). Is aggregate demand wage-led or profit-led? National and global effects. International Labor Office. Conditions of Work and Employment Series, 40. Perugini, C., Holscher, J., and Collie, S. (2016). Inequality, credit and financial crises. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 40(1):227–257. Philippon, T. and Reshef, A. (2009). Wages and human capital in the U.S. financial industry: 1909-2006. NBER Working Papers, 14644. Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press. Piketty, T., Saez, E., and Stantcheva, S. (2014). Optimal taxation of top labor incomes: A tale of three elasticities. American Economic Journal: Economic Poliy, 6(1):230–271. Prescott, E. S. (2003). Firms, assignments, and earnings. Federal Reserve Bank Richmond Economic Quarterly, 89(4):69–81. Raberto, M., Teglio, A., and Cincotti, S. (2012). Debt, deleveraging and business cycles: An agent-based perspective. Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 27:50. Riccetti, L., Russo, A., and Gallegati, M. (2015). An agent-based decentralized matching macroeconomic model. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 10(2):305-332. Rotemberg, J. and Woodford, M. (1999). The cyclical behavior of prices and costs. NBER Working Paper Series, 6909. Rowthorn, R. (1981). Demand, real wages and economic growth. Thames Papers in Political Economy, Autumn:1–39. Russo, A., Riccetti, L., and Gallegati, M. (2016). Increasing inequality, consumer credit and financial fragility in an agent based macroeconomic model. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 26(1):25–47. Ryan, P. (1996). Factor shares and inequality in the UK. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 12(1):106–126. Simon, H. (1957). The compensation of executives. Sociometry, 20:32–35. Spence, A. (1977). Entry, capacity, investment and oligopolistic pricing. The Bell Journal of Economics, 8-2:534–544. Steindl, J. (1952). Maturity and Stagnation in American Capitalism. Blackwell. Stiglitz, J. E. (2012). The Price of Inequality. Norton & Co Inc. Stiglitz, J. E. (2015). The Great Divide: Unequal Societies and What We Can Do About Them. Norton & Co Inc. Storm, S. and Naastepad, C. W. M. R. (2012). Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU. Harvard University Press. Taylor, L. (1983). Structuralist Macroeconomics: Applicable Models for the Third World. Basic Books. van der Hoog, S. and Dawid, H. (2015). Bubbles, crashes and the financial cycle: Insights from a stock-flow consistent agent-based macroeconomic model. Working Papers in Economics and Management-University of Bielefeld, 1-2015:58. van Treeck, T. (2014). Did inequality cause the U.S. financial crisis? Journal of Economic Surveys, 28(3):421–448. Vergeer, R. and Kleinknecht, A. (2010). The impact of labor market deregulation on productivity: A panel data analysis of 19 OECD countries (1960-2004). Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 33(2):371–407. Vergeer, R. and Kleinknecht, A. (2014). Do labor market reforms reduce labor productivity growth: A panel data analysis of 20 OECD countries (1960-2004). International Labour Review, 153(3):365–393. Vitali, S., Tedeschi, G., and Gallegati, M. (2013). The impact of classes of innovators on technology, financial fragility, and economic growth. Industrial and Corporate Change, 22-4:1069–1091. Waldman, M. (1984). Workers allocation, hierarchies and the wage distribution. Review of Economic Studies, 51:95–109. Weinhold, D. and Nair-Reichert, U. (2009). Innovation, inequality and intellectual property rights. World Development, 37(5):889–901. Winter, S. G. (1984). Schumpeterian Comptetion in alternative technological regimes. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 5:287–320. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/71864 |