Asongu, Simplice and Nwachukwu, Jacinta (2017): Quality of Growth Empirics: Comparative Gaps, Benchmarking and Policy Syndromes. Published in: Journal of Policy Modeling , Vol. 39, No. 5 (September 2017): pp. 861-882.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_83072.pdf Download (378kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This study uses a new dataset to provide comparative gaps, benchmarking with best performers and policy syndromes of growth quality in 93 developing countries with data for the period 1990-2011. Sigma and Beta estimation strategies are used to provide between and within cross-country dispersions. The empirical evidence is based on: time, regions, income levels, resource-wealth, state fragility and time-consistent growth quality (GQ) performance. First, for ‘within dispersions’ the following outcomes are established: (1) GQ dispersions within fundamental characteristics have been decreasing over time, (2) From a time-dynamic view, countries within Asia and the Pacific have experienced the highest reduction in GQ differences while nations in the Middle East and North Africa (Central and Eastern European) region have witnessed the highest (lowest) differences, (3) From an income perspective, upper-middle-income (Low-income) countries have the lowest (highest) differences in GQ. (4) Resource-rich and Non-fragile countries have higher differences relative to their Resource-poor and Fragile counterparts respectively. Second, for ‘between dispersions’ and policy syndromes, we found two time-consistent extremities. (1) In decreasing need of policy intervention, the following are apparent for the Policy syndrome extreme: Hopeful, Fragile, Sub-Saharan African, Low-income and Resource-rich countries. (2) In the same line of policy inference, the following are apparent for the Syndrome-free extreme: Central and Eastern European, Asia and the Pacific, Latin American, Best Performing and Upper-middle-income countries. Their predispositions are clarified and policy implications discussed.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Quality of Growth Empirics: Comparative Gaps, Benchmarking and Policy Syndromes |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Quality of growth; Development; Catch-up |
Subjects: | I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health > I10 - General I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I20 - General I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I3 - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty > I32 - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O40 - General O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O57 - Comparative Studies of Countries |
Item ID: | 83072 |
Depositing User: | Simplice Asongu |
Date Deposited: | 02 Dec 2017 02:44 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 11:06 |
References: | Adams, R. H., (2004). “Economic growth, inequality and poverty: Estimating the growth elasticity poverty”, World Development, 32(12), pp. 1989-2014. Alan, K., & Carlyn, R-D., (2015). “Is Africa Actually Developing?”, World Development, 66(C), pp. 598-613. Ali, A. A., & Thorbecke , E., (2000). “The State and Path of Poverty in Sub Saharan Africa: Some Preliminary Result”, Journal of African Economies, 29 (Suppl. 1), pp. 9-40. Anand, R., Mishra, S., & Peiris, S. J., (2013). “Inclusive Growth: Measurement and Determinants”, IMF Working Paper 13/135, Washington. Anand, R., Mishra, S., & Spatafora, N., (2012), “Structural Transformation and the Sophistication of Production,” IMF Working Paper No. 12/59, Washington. Anyanwu, J. C., (2014a). “Marital Status, Household Size and Poverty in Nigeria: Evidence from the 2009/2010 Survey Data”, African Development Review, 26(1), pp. 118-137. Anyanwu, J. C., (2014b). “Determining the correlates of poverty for inclusive growth in Africa”, European Economics Letters, 3(1), pp. 12-17. Anyanwu, J. C., (2013a). “Gender Equality in Employment in Africa: Empirical Analysis and Policy Implications”, African Development Review, 25(4), pp. 400-420. Anyanwu, J. C., (2013b). “The correlates of poverty in Nigeria and policy implications”, African Journal of Economic and Sustainable Development, 2(1), pp. 23-52. Arellano, M., & Bond, S., (1991). “Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations”, The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), pp. 277-297. Asongu, S. A., (2013a). “Harmonizing IPRs on Software Piracy: Empirics of Trajectories in Africa”, Journal of Business Ethics, 118(3), pp. 45-60. Asongu, S. A., (2013b). “Real and Monetary Policy Convergence: EMU Crisis to the CFA zone”, Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 5(1), pp. 20-38. Asongu, S. A., (2013c). “Fighting consumer price inflation in Africa. What do dynamics in money, credit, efficiency and size tell us?”, Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 5(1),pp. 39-60. Asongu, S. A., (2014a). “African Development: Beyond Income Convergence”, South African Journal of Economics, 82(3), pp. 334-353. Asongu, S. A., (2014b). “Fighting African Capital Flight: Empirics on Benchmarking Policy Harmonization”, European Journal of Comparative Economics, 11(1), pp. 93-122. Asongu, S. A., (2014c). “A brief clarification to the questionable economics of foreign aid for inclusive human development”, African Governance and Development Institute WP/14/028, Yaoundé. Asongu, S. A., (2014d). “On the substitution of institutions and finance in investment”, Economics Bulletin, 34(3), pp. 1557-1574. Asongu, S. A., & Le Roux, S., (2017). “Enhancing ICT for Inclusive Human Development in Sub-Saharan Africa”. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 118(May), pp. 44-54. Asongu, S. A. & Nwachukwu, J. C. (2016a). “Welfare Spending and Quality of Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Hopefuls, Contenders and Best Performers”, The Social Science Journal, 53(4), pp. 495–500. Asongu, S. A., & Nwachukwu, J., (2016b). “Revolution empirics: predicting the Arab Spring” Empirical Economics, 51(2), pp. 439-482. Asongu, S. A. & Nwachukwu, J. C. (2017). “Comparative human development thresholds for absolute and relative pro-poor mobile banking in developing countries”, Information Technology & People. DOI: 10.1108/ITP-12-2015-0295. Asongu, S. A., & Gupta, R., (2016). “Trust and Quality of Growth: A Note”, Economics Bulletin, 36(3), pp. 1854-1867. Asongu, S. A., (2016). “Reinventing foreign aid for inclusive and sustainable development: Kuznets, Piketty and the great policy reversal”, Journal of Economic Surveys, 30(4), pp. 736–755. Asongu, S. A., (2017a). “Knowledge Economy Gaps, Policy Syndromes and Catch-Up Strategies: Fresh South Korean Lessons to Africa”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy,8(1), pp. 211–253. Asongu, S. A., (2017b). “Conditional Determinants of Mobile Phones Penetration and Mobile Banking in Sub-Saharan Africa”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy. DOI: 10.1007/s13132-015-0322-z. Asongu, S. A., & Kodila-Tedika, O., (2017). “Institutions and Poverty: A Critical Comment Based on Evolving Currents and Debates”, Social Indicators Research. DOI: 10.1007/s11205-017-1709-y Asongu, S.A. & Nguena, C.L. (2015). Equitable and Sustainable Development of Foreign Land Acquisitions: Lessons, Policies, and Implications. In E. Osabuohien (Ed.), Handbook of Research on In-country Determinants and Implications with Foreign Land Acquisitions (pp.1- 20). New York: IGI Global. Asongu, S. A., & Ssozi, J., (2016). “Sino-African Relations: Some Solutions and Strategies to the Policy Syndromes”, Journal of African Business, 17(1), pp. 33-51. Atsu, S & Adams, F., (2015). “Assessing the distributional effects of regulation in developing countries”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 37(5), pp. 713-725. Barro, R., & Lee, J., (2010), “A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950– 2010”, NBER Working Paper No. 15902 (Cambridge, Massachusetts: National Bureau of Economic Research). Brada, J. C., & Bah, E. M. (2014). “Growing Income Inequality as a Challenge to 21st Century Capitalism”, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Working Paper No. 1402, Rome. Bagnara, A., (2012). “Aid Effectiveness: Effective Aid is Good Foreign Policy”, Partners in Research for Development, (Summer Issue), pp. 4-6. http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=167965845126425;res=IELENG (Accessed: 18/10/2014). Baliamoune-Lutz, M., & McGillivray, M., (2009). “Does Gender Inequality Reduce Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa and Arab Countries?”, African Development Review, 21(2), pp. 224-242. 38. Baliamoune-Lutz, M., (2007). “Globalisation and Gender Inequality: Is Africa Different?”, Journal of African Economies, 16(2), pp. 301-348. 39. Baliamoune-Lutz, M., & Lutz, S., (2005). “Rural-urban inequality in Africa: A panel study of the effects of trade liberalization and financial deepening”, Journal of African Development, 7(1), 1-19. Blas, J., (2014). “Inequality mar Africa’s rise”, Financial Times (October 5th). http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9e74aa50-1e4d-11e4-ab52-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3GWsY4I91 (Accessed: 18/10/2014). Berg, A., & Ostry, J. D., (2011a), “Inequality and Unsustainable Growth: Two Sides of the Same Coin?” IMF Staff Discussion Note 11/08 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). Berg, A., & Ostry, J. D., (2011b), “Equality and Efficiency,” Finance & Development, International Monetary Fund, September 2011, 48(3), pp. 12-15. Bhagwati, J., (1958). “Immiserizing growth: A geometrical note”, Review of Economic Studies, 25(3), pp. 201-205. Blundell, R., & Bond, S., (1998). “Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models”, Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), pp.115-143. Bond, S., Hoeffler, A., & Tample, J., (2001). “GMM Estimation of Empirical Growth Models”, University of Oxford. Calderon C., & Servén, L., (2004), “The Effects of Infrastructure Development on Growth and Income Distribution,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3400, Washington. Costantini, M., & Lupi, C., (2005). “Stochastic Convergence among European Economies”, Economics Bulletin, 3(38), pp.1-17. Datt, G., & Ravallion, M., (1992). “Growth and Redistribution Component of Changes in Poverty Decomposition to Brazil and India in the 1980s”, Journal of Development Economics, 38 (2), pp. 275-295. Dollar, D., Kleineberg, T., & Kraay, A., (2013), “Growth is Still Good for the Poor,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 6568 (Washington: World Bank), Washington. Dollar, D., Kleineberg, T., & Kraay, A., (2002),, “Growth is Good for the Poor,” Journal of Economic Growth, 7(3), pp. 195-225. Dollar, D., & Kraay, A., (2003), “Institutions, Trade, and Growth,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 50(1), pp. 133-162. Easterly, W., (2000). The Effect of IMF and World Bank Programs in Poverty, Washington DC: World Bank, Mimeo. Elu J., & Loubert, L., (2013). “Earnings Inequality and the Intersectionality of Gender and Ethnicity In SubSaharan Africa: The Case of Tanzanian Manufacturing”, American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings 04/2013, 103(103), pp. 289-292. Fosu, A. K., (2015). “Growth, Inequality and Poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa: Recent Progress in a Global Context”, Oxford Development Studies, 43(1), pp. 44-59. Fosu, A. K., (2008). “Inequality and the Growth-Poverty Nexus: Specification Empirics Using African Data”, Applied Economics Letters, 15(7), pp. 563-566. Fosu, A. K., (2009). “Inequality and the Impact of Growth on Poverty: Comparative Evidence for Sub-Saharan Africa”, Journal of Development Studies, 45(5), pp. 726-745. Fosu, A. K., (2010a). “The Effect of Income Distribution on the Ability of Growth to Reduce Poverty: Evidence from Rural and Urban African Economies”, American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 69(3), pp. 1034-1053. Fosu, A. K., (2010b). “Does Inequality Constrain Poverty Reduction Programs? Evidence from Africa”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 32(6), pp. 818-827. Fosu, A. K., (2010c). “Inequality, Income and Poverty: Comparative Global Evidence”, Social Sciences Quarterly, 91(5), pp. 1432-1446. Fosu, A. K., (2011). “Growth, Inequality and Poverty Reduction in Developing Countries: Recent Global Evidence”, UNU WIDER Working Paper 2011/01, Helsinki. Fosu, A., (2013), “Growth of African Economies: Productivity, Policy Syndromes and the Importance of Institutions”, Journal of African Economies, 22(4), pp. 523-551. Franco, A., Malhotra, N., & Simonovits, G., (1991). “Publication Bias in the Social Sciences: Unlocking the File Drawer”, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, http://web.stanford.edu/~neilm/malhotra.pdf (Accessed: 28/12/2014). Franses, P. H., (2002). A Concise Introduction to Econometrics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Fung, M. K., (2009). “Financial development and economic growth: convergence or divergence?”. Journal of International Money and Finance, 28(1), pp.56-67. Granger, C. W. J., (1999). Empirical Modeling in Economics: Specification and Evaluation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Hausmann, R.,,Hwang , J., & Rodrik, D., (2007), “What You Export Matters,” Journal of Economic Growth, 12(1), pp. 1-25. Ianchovichina, E., & Gable, S. L., (2012), “What is Inclusive Growth?” in Commodity Prices and Inclusive Growth in Low-Income Countries, ed. by Rabah Arezki, Catherine Pattillo, Marc Quintyn, and Min Zhu, International Monetary Fund. IMF (2007), “Globalization and Inequality,” World Economic Outlook, Chapter 4, October, Washington DC. Islam, N., (1995). “Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, (4), pp. 1127-1170. Kakwani, N., (1993). “Poverty and Economic Growth with Application to Côte d’Ivoire”, Review of Income and Wealth, 39(2) pp. 121-139. Kalwij, A., & Verschoor, A., (2007). “Not by Growth Alone: The Role of the Distribution of Income in Regional Diversity in Poverty Reduction”, European Economic Review, 51(4), pp. 805-829. Kodila-Tedika, O., Asongu, S. A., & Kayembe, J. M., (2016). “Middle class in Africa: Determinants and Consequences”, International Economic Journal, 30(4), pp. 527-549. Kraay, A., (2004), “When is Growth Pro-Poor? Cross-Country Evidence,” IMF Working Paper No. 04/47, Washington. Kuznets, S. (1955). “Economic Growth and Income Inequality”. American Economic Review , 45(1), pp. 1–28. Kuznets, S., (1971). Economic Growth of Nations: Total Output and Production Structure. Belknap Press/Harvard University Press: Cambridge (Mass). Levine, R., (2005). “Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence,” Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth, Edition 1, Volume 1, chapter 12, pp. 865–934. Lewis, A., (1955). Theory of Economic Growth. Milton Park: Routledge. Martinez, M., & Mlachila, M., (2013), “The Quality of the Recent High-Growth Episode in Sub-Saharan Africa,” IMF Working Paper 13/53 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). Milanovic, B., (2010), “Haves and the Have-Nots: A Brief and Idiosyncratic History of Global Inequality,” Basic Books. Miller, D. C., (2014). “Explaining Global Patterns of International Aid of Linked Biodiversity Conservation and Development”, World Development, 59(July), pp. 341-359. Mishra, S., Gable, S. L., & Anand, R., (2011), “Service Export Sophsitication and Economic Growth,” World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 5606. Mlachila, M., Tapsoba, R., & Tapsoba, S. J. A., (2014). “A Quality of Growth Index for Developing Countries: A Proposal”, IMF Working Paper No. 14/172, Washington. Monfort, P., (2008). “Convergence of EU Regions: Measures and Evolution”, European Union Regional Policy Paper No. 01/2008, Brussels. Monika, A., & Bobbin, T., (2012). “The Billion Dollar Solution that Isnt: How systems modeling in foreign aid could save billions and serve the poor”, Development, 55(1), pp. 71-80. Moyo, D., (2013). “Is China a new idol for developing countries”, TED Talks, New Ideas Every day, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q2aznfmcYU (Accessed: 07/05/2014). Narayan, P. K., Mishra, S., & Narayan, S., (2011). “Do market capitalization and stocks traded converge? New global evidence”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(10), pp. 2771-2781. Ncube, M., Lufumpa, C. L., & Kayizzi-Mugerwa, S., (2011). “The Middle of the Pyramid: Dynamics of the Middle Class in Africa”, AfDB Market Brief, Tunis. Odhiambo, N. M., (2013). “Is financial development pro-poor or pro-rich? Empirical evidence from Tanzania”, Journal of Development Effectiveness, 5(4), pp. 489-500. Odhiambo, N. M., (2011). “Growth, Employment and Poverty in South Africa: In Search of a Trickle-Down Effect”, Journal of Income Distribution, 20(1), pp. 49-62. Odhiambo, N. M., (2010a). “Financial deepening and poverty reduction in Zambia: an empirical investigation”, International Journal of Social Economics, 37(1), pp. 41-53. Odhiambo, N. M., (2010a). “Is financial development a spur to poverty reduction? Kenya's experience”, Journal of Economic Studies, 37(3), pp. 343-353. Odhiambo, N. M., (2009). “Finance-growth-poverty nexus in South Africa: A dynamic causality linkage”, Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 38(2), pp. 320-325. Shimeles, A., & Ncube, M., (2013). “The Making of Middle Class in Africa: Evidence from DHS Data”, The Journal of Development Studies, 51(2), pp. 178-193. Ncube, M., Anyanwu, J. C., & Hausken, K., (2014). “Inequality, Economic Growth and Poverty in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)”, African Development Review, 26(3), pp. 435-453. Ndikumana, L., & Boyce, J. K., (2012) “Rich Presidents of Poor Nations: Capital Flight from Resource-Rich Countries in Africa”, Department of Economics and Political Economy Research Institute (PERI), University of Massachusetts Amherst. http://concernedafricascholars.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/caploss01-ndiku-14th.pdf (Accessed: 28/12/2014). Osabuohien, E. S., (2014). “Land-scale agricultural land investments and local institutions in Africa”, Land Use Policy, 39(July), pp. 155-165. Osabuohien, E. (Ed.) (2015).Handbook of Research on In-country Determinants and Implications with Foreign Land Acquisitions. New York: IGI Global. Ozgur, K., Ilker, K., & Lewell, G., (2013). “Foreign Aid and the Quest for Poverty Reduction: Is Aid to Agriculture Effective?”, Journal of Agricultural Economics, 64(3), pp. 583-596. Perugini, C., & Pompei, F., (2016). “Employment protection and wage inequality within education groups in Europe”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 38(5), pp. 810-836. Piketty, T., (2014). “Capital in the Twenty First Century”, Harvard University Press. Pinkivskiy, M., & Sala-i-Martin, X., (2014). “Africa is on time”, Journal of Economic Growth, 19(3), pp. 311-333. Prochniak, M., & Witkowski, B., (2012a). “Beta convergence stability among “Old” and “New” EU countries: The Bayesian Model Averaging Perspective”, Warsaw School of Economics. Prochniak, M., & Witkowski, B., (2012b). “Real economic convergence and the impact of monetary policy on economic growth of the EU countries: The analysis of time stability and the identification of major turning points based on the Bayesian methods”, Warsaw School of Economics. Ravallion, M., (1997). “Can High Inequality Developing Countries Escape Absolute Poverty”, Economics Letters, 56(1), pp. 51-57. Ravallion, M., & Chen, S., (2003), “Measuring Pro-Poor Growth,” Economics Letters, 78(1), pp. 93-99. Renuka, M., & Viet-Ngu, H., (2016). “The nexus between poverty and deprivation in Vietnam”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 38(2), pp. 290-303. Rosenberg, M. S., (2005). “The file-drawer problem revisited: a general weighted method for calculating fail-safe numbers in meta-analysis”, Evolution, 59(2), pp. 464-468. Sala-i-Martin, X., (2006), “The World Distribution of Income: Falling Poverty and Convergence Period”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, 121(2), pp. 351–97. Seneviratne, D., & Sun, Y., (2013), “Infrastructure and Income Distribution in ASEAN-5: What are the Links?” IMF Working Paper No. 13/41, Washington. Singh, P., (2014, September). “Austerity, Welfare State and Eco-Socialism: With Special reference to the United Kingdom”, Economic and Political Weekly, XLIX(39), pp. 111-118. Stiglitz, J., (2016). “An agenda for sustainable and inclusive growth for emerging markets”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 38(4), pp. 693-710. Summers, L. H., (1991). “The Scientific Illusion in Empirical Macroeconomics”, The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 93, No. 2, Proceedings of a Conference on New Approaches to Empirical Macroeconomics. (Jun., 1991), pp. 129-148. Tebaldi, E., & Mohan, R., (2010). “Institutions and Poverty”. Journal of Development Studies, 46(6), pp. 1047-1066. Thorbecke, E., (2013). “The Interrelationship Linking Growth, Inequality and Poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa”, Journal of African Economies, 33, Suppl_1, pp. 15-48. Timmons, R. J., Bradleyc, P., Tierney, M., & Hicks, R., (2009). “Has Foreign Aid Been Greened?”, Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 51(1), pp. 8-21. United Nations (2013). “A New Global Partnership: Eradicate Poverty and Transform Economies Through Sustainable Development”, The Report of the High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda. http://www.un.org/sg/management/pdf/HLP_P2015_Report.pdf (Accessed: 31/08/2014). Von Braun, J., (2008). “Rising food prices: dimension, causes, impact and responses”, Key Note Address at World Food Programme, 9 April, available at: http:// documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/resources/wfp175955.pdf (accessed 21 January 2012). Young, A., (2012). “The African growth miracle”, Journal of Political Economy, 120 (4), pp. 696-739. Yunker, J. A., (2016). “Economic inequality and optimal redistribution: A theoretical and empirical analysis”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 38(3), pp. 528-552. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/83072 |