Iiboshi, Hirokuni and Umeda, Masanobu and Wakita, Shigeru (2008): Monetary Policy in Japan Reconsidered: A Regime-switching VAR Analysis.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_87391.pdf Download (543kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Using a regime-switching VAR, this paper investigates the effect of monetary policy in Japan. Unlike previous studies, this paper considers more than two regimes and introduces into the VAR analysis standard variables such as the money supply and price level. Based on the standard procedure, the independent regime for a quantitative easing policy is dentified when the policy effect is insignificant.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Monetary Policy in Japan Reconsidered: A Regime-switching VAR Analysis |
English Title: | Monetary Policy in Japan Reconsidered: A Regime-switching VAR Analysis |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | quantitative easing, regime switching, monetary policy, zero-interest-rate policy |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy |
Item ID: | 87391 |
Depositing User: | Professor Hirokuni Iiboshi |
Date Deposited: | 26 Jun 2018 21:31 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 06:22 |
References: | [1] Bernanke, Ben S., and Ilian Mihov (1998), “Measuring Monetary Policy”, Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, pp.869-902. [2] Blanchard, O. and D. Quah (1989), “The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances”, The American Economic Review, 79(4),pp. 655-673. [3] Canova, F., (2007), Methods for Applied Macroeconmic Research, Princeton Univ. Press. [4] Christiano, L., M., Eichenbaum, and C., Evans (1999), “ Monetary policy shocks : what have we learned and to what end? In: Taylor J.B., Woodford M. (Eds.). Handbook of Macroeconomics 1A”, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp.65-148. [5] Christiano, L. and T. Fitzgerald, (2003), “The band pass filter,” International Economic Review, 44, 435-465. [6] Christiano, L., M., Eichenbaum, and R., Vigfsson (2007), “Assessing Structural VARs”, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, pp.1-76. [7] Ehrmann, M., M., Ellison, and N., Valla (2003), “ Regime-dependent impulse response functions in a Markov-switching vector autoregression model”, Econ. Lett. 78, pp.295-299. [8] Fujiwara, I.(2006), “ Evaluating monetary policy when nominal interest rates are almost zero”, J.Japanese Int. Economies 20(3), pp.434-453. [9] Garcia, R. (1998), “ Asymptotic Null distribution of the likelihood ratio test in Markov switching models”, Int. Econ. Rev. 39, pp.763-788. [10] Hamilton, J., D.(1989)., “A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycles”, Econometrica, 57, pp.357-384 [11] Hamilton, J. D.(1990), “Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime”, Journal of Econometrics, 45, pp.39-70. [12] Hamilton, J. (1994), Time Series Analysis, Princeton Univ. Press. [13] Hansen, B. E.(1992), “ The likelihood ratio test under non-standard conditions: Testing the Markov switching model of GNP”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 7, pp.61-82. [14] Inoue, T. and T., Okimoto (2008), “Were There Structural Breaks in the Effects of Japanese Monetary Policy? Re-evaluating Policy Effects of the Lost Decade”, J. Japanese Int. Economies, 22, pp.320-342. [15] Ito, T. and K. Rose (2006), Monetary Policy with Very Low Inflation in the Pacific Rim, NBER, Chicago Univ. Press. [16] Iwata, S. and S. Wu (2006), “Estimating Monetary Policy Effects When Interest Rates are Close to Zero,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 53, pp.1395-1408. [17] Kasuya, M. (2003), “Regime-Switching Approach to Monetary Policy Effects:Empirical Studies using a Smooth Transition Vector Autoregressive Model", Working Paper Series by Department, Bank of Japan. [18] Keynes, J M. (1936) The general theory of employment, interest, and money. London, U.K. Macmillian. [19] Kimura, T., H. Kobayashi, J. Muranaga, and H. Ugai (2003), “The Effect of the Increase in the Monetary Base on Japan’s Economy at Zero Interest Rates:An Empirical Analysis,” in Monetary Policy in a Changing Environment, Bank for International Settlements Conference Series, No.19, pp.276-312. [20] Krolzig, H.-M.(1997), Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions, Springer. [21] Jinnai, R. (2007), “An Empirical Study of Monetary Policy at Zero Short-Term Nominal Interest Rates,” mimeo. [22] Meltzer, A. H.(1995), “Monetary, Credit and (Other) Transmission Processes: A Monetarist Perspective,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9, pp.49-72. [23] Miyao, R.(2000), “The Role of Monetary Policy in Japan: A Break in the 1990s?”, J. Japanese Int. Economies 14, pp.366-384. [24] Miyao, R.(2002), “ The effects of monetary policy in Japan”, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 34(2), pp.376-392. [25] Miyao, R.(2005), “Use of The Money Supply in the Conduct of Japan's Monetary Policy Re-Examining The Time-Series Evidence”, The Japanese Economic Review, 56(2), pp.165-187. [26] Miyao, R. (2006), “Nihon keizai no hendou youin: Seisansei shokku no yakuwari (The variation factors of Japanese economy: Role of productivity shocks)”, Working Paper Series No.06-J-1. Bank pf Japan (in Japanese) [27] Nakashima, K. (2006) “The Bank of Japan’s operating procedures and the identification of monetary policy shocks: A re-examination using the Bernanke-Mihov approach,” Journal of Japanese and International Economies, 20(3), 406-433. [28] Primiceri, G. E. (2005), “Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregrssions and Monetary Policy”, Review of Econ. Stud. 72, pp.821-852. [29] Shioji, E.(2000), “ Identifying monetary policy shocks in Japan”, J. Japanese Int. Economies, 14(1) pp.22-42. [30] Sims, C. A. (1992), “Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts: The effects of monetary policy,” European Economic Reviews, 36 (5), 975-1000. [31] Sims, C. and T., Zha (2006), “Were there regime switches in U.S. monetary policy?”, American Economic Review 96(1), pp. 54-81. [32] Ugai, H.(2007), " Effects of the Quantitative Easing Policy:A Survey of Empirical Analyses”, Monetary and Economic Studies, Vol.25, No.1, pp.1-47. [33] Yamasawa, N. (2006), “An Analysis: Quantitative Easing Policy Was Effective in Buoying the Japanese Economy,” JCER Staff Report. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/87391 |