Jamee, Akram and Abu Mudallala, Samir (2025): سيناريوهات إعادة إعمار قطاع غزة بعد العدوان: دراسة استشرافية. Forthcoming in:
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_124594.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This study is of utmost importance as it examines the direct impacts (losses and damages) on the economic, social, and service sectors of the Gaza Strip and contributes to providing a concrete proposal based on an empirical approach to the expected reconstruction and recovery scenarios after the war. The study is based on a purely positivist methodology in order to avoid any standard proposals and formulate a more specific approach that reviews reconstruction scenarios according to the available local, international, and regional data. This is done in light of the specific role of occupation authorities in terms of their relationship with the Gaza Strip. The study concludes that recovery and reconstruction may require around 54 billion US dollars, including housing, economic recovery, relief interventions, emergency shelter, and support for vital and health sectors. Under the optimistic scenario, the reconstruction process may require 8 years of intensive and organized work in parallel with the availability of international will and necessary funding, not to mention the necessity of lifting the occupation's restrictions on crossings and the entry of building materials and heavy machinery. True reconstruction can only be discussed within an integrated package of liberation development that includes, in addition to recovery, strengthening the Palestinian presence.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | سيناريوهات إعادة إعمار قطاع غزة بعد العدوان: دراسة استشرافية |
English Title: | “Reconstruction Scenarios for the Gaza Strip after the Aggression: A Prospective Study” |
Language: | Arabic |
Keywords: | Gaza, Palestine, October 7, 2023, reconstruction, recovery, foreign aid, Israeli occupation |
Subjects: | H - Public Economics > H1 - Structure and Scope of Government > H11 - Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government H - Public Economics > H1 - Structure and Scope of Government > H12 - Crisis Management H - Public Economics > H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies > H56 - National Security and War H - Public Economics > H7 - State and Local Government ; Intergovernmental Relations > H75 - State and Local Government: Health ; Education ; Welfare ; Public Pensions R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R5 - Regional Government Analysis > R58 - Regional Development Planning and Policy |
Item ID: | 124594 |
Depositing User: | Dr Akram Jamee |
Date Deposited: | 03 Jul 2025 16:15 |
Last Modified: | 03 Jul 2025 16:15 |
References: | • الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء الفلسطيني وسلطة النقد الفلسطينية، الحصاد الاقتصاد الفلسطيني للعام 2024، والتنبؤات الاقتصادية لعام 2025، 31/12/2024. • الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء الفلسطيني، 2025. مسح الرقم القياسي لأسعار المستهلك، 2022-2024. رام الله – فلسطين • الجهاز المركزي للحصاء الفلسطيني، 02-01-2024، الحصاد الاقتصادي لأهم المؤشرات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية للعام 2024. • الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء الفلسطيني، الحصاد الاقتصادي، 31/12/2024. • وزارة الصحة الفلسطينية، التقرير الإحصائي اليومي لعدد الشهداء والجرحى جراء العدوان الإسرائيلي على قطاع غزة، 24/02/2025 • وزارة الصحة الفلسطينية، التقرير الإحصائي اليومي لعدد الشهداء والجرحى جراء العدوان الإسرائيلي على قطاع غزة، 29/03/2025. • وزارة الصحة، وزارة الصحة تُوجه نداء عاجل لتعزيز الأرصدة الدوائية في المستشفيات ومراكز الرعاية الأولية، تصريح صحفي، 10 أبريل 2025. • Barakat, S. Z., & Masri, F. (2017). إنعاش عملية إعادة إعمار غزة المتعثرة: Reviving the stalled reconstruction of Gaza. Brookings Doha Center-Policy Briefing. • Detailed documentation of the WGI, interactive tools for exploring the data, and full access to the underlying source data available at www.govindicators.org. • Development Assistance Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: https://data-explorer.oecd.org/. • European union, (2006). "EU's Contribution to Lebanon Reconstruction." Available at europa.eu • European union, World bank, United nation, Gaza Strip, Interim Damage Assessment, Summary Note - March 29, 2024 • Faw, Project Cycle: Responsibilities and Procedures, Field Programme Circular 3/96, 1996, (TCDD), https://www.fao.org/4/X6874E/x6874e01.htm • Galtung, F., & Tisné, M. (2009). A New Approach to Postwar Reconstruction. Journal of Democracy, 20(4), 93–107. doi:10.1353/jod.0.0132 • Gazans return to ruined homes and severe water shortage, February 14, 2025, https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/gazans-return-ruined-homes-severe-water-shortage-2025-02-14/?utm_source=chatgpt.com • Hermann, K. (2021). Gaza after the War: Why is a Political Solution Necessary and Why it should not be Only about Reconstructing the “Prison”. 2015. • Hoeffler, A., Ijaz, S. S., & Von Billerbeck, S. (2011). Post-conflict recovery and peacebuilding. Washington, DC: World Bank. • Knott, R.: Vehicle scheduling for emergency relief management: a knowledge-based approach. Disasters 12, 285–293 (1988). • OCHA. (2024). Humanitarian Response Plan for the Occupied Palestinian Territory. Retrieved from https//www.ochaopt.org • Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, 2024. National Accounts Statistics, 1994-2023. Ramallah- Palestine. • Tarnoff, C. (2001, June). Kosovo: reconstruction and development assistance. Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress. • The WGI are produced by Daniel Kaufmann (Natural Resource Governance Institute and Brookings Institution) and Aart Kraay (World Bank Development Research Group). Please cite Kaufmann, Daniel, Aart Kraay and Massimo Mastruzzi (2010). "The Worldwide Governance Indicators: Methodology and Analytical Issues". • The World Bank. Economic Monitoring Report to the Ad Hoc Liaison Committee, September 19, 2016, www.worldbank.org/ps • UNDP. (2000). "Kosovo Reconstruction 1999-2000." Available at www.undp.org • UNDP. (2002). "Timor-Leste Recovery Program." Available at www.undp.org • United Nation. (1994). "Rwanda Genocide Recovery and Rebuilding Efforts." Available at www.un.org • United Nation. (1995). "Dayton Agreement and Reconstruction Efforts." Available at www.un.org • United Nation. (2002). "Sierra Leone Peacebuilding Fund Report." Available at www.un.org • United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Detailed Infrastructure Damage Assessment, GAZA- 2014. • United Nations Satellite Centre UNOSAT, www.unosat.org • UNOCHA, 5 essentials for the first 72 hours of disaster response, 10 February 2017, https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/world/5-essentials-first-72-hours-disaster-response • Word bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025. • World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 5430 (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1682130). • World bank, (2007). "Rebuilding Lebanon Post-Conflict Reconstruction and Recovery." Available at www.worldbank.org • World Bank, European Union, and the United Nations, The Gaza and West Bank Interim Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment, February 2025. https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/133c3304e29086819c1119fe8e85366b-0280012025/original/Gaza-RDNA-final-med.pdf • World bank. (1996). "Post-Conflict Reconstruction in Bosnia and Herzegovina." Available at www.worldbank.org • World bank. (1996). "Rwanda From Genocide to Reconstruction." Available at www.worldbank.org • World bank. (2003). "Rebuilding a Nation Timor-Leste Reconstruction." Available at www.worldbank.org • World bank. (2004). "Post-Conflict Recovery in Sierra Leone." Available at www.worldbank.org. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/124594 |