Abdala Rioja, Yamile E (2011): All Things Considered: The Interaction of the Reasons for the Financial Crisis.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_33408.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
The present paper reviews the causes that led to the financial crisis. Unlike other interpretations, this paper does not place main significance on a single source or on a set of causes. I consider all major standpoints highlighted by research and media prior, during and after the financial market turmoil in 2007. When evidence permits, reasons are validated and their potential consequences are reviewed by means of reductio ad absurdum, specifically by proof by contradiction. This analysis proposes arguments that are in favor and against a specific source whenever applicable, so as to address each cause’s major implications and deterrents. Ultimately, this analysis reveals through graph theory the interconnections among the analyzed sources for the crisis and their forbearance as a cluster that projected the final downturn.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | All Things Considered: The Interaction of the Reasons for the Financial Crisis |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | financial crisis, subprime crisis, systemic risk, financial regulation, monetary policy, global imbalances, global savings glut, shadow banking system, predatory lending, too big to fail, securitization, housing bubble, interest rates, credit ratings, toxic assets, liar loans, graph theory, directed graph, finitary relations |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F34 - International Lending and Debt Problems E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G24 - Investment Banking ; Venture Capital ; Brokerage ; Ratings and Ratings Agencies G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G01 - Financial Crises F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F42 - International Policy Coordination and Transmission E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E66 - General Outlook and Conditions C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C65 - Miscellaneous Mathematical Tools E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G18 - Government Policy and Regulation G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G15 - International Financial Markets E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G28 - Government Policy and Regulation |
Item ID: | 33408 |
Depositing User: | Yamile E. Abdala Rioja |
Date Deposited: | 15 Sep 2011 14:45 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 02:42 |
References: | Astley, M., Giese, J., Hume, M., Kubelec, C. (2009), “Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis”, Bank of England, Quarterly Bulletin, Q3, http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/quarterlybulletin/qb090301.pdf Aumann, R. (2010), “The Role of Incentives in the World Financial Crisis”, The Hebrew University of Israel, Center for the Study of Rationality, February, http://ratio.huji.ac.il/dp_files/dp536.pdf Bean, C. (2008), “Some Lessons for Monetary Policy from the Recent Financial Turmoil”, remarks at Conference on “Globalisation, Inflation and Monetary Policy”, Istanbul, November 22, http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2008/speech368.pdf Bernanke, B. (2005), “The Global Saving Glut and the U.S. Current Account Deficit”, Sandridge Lecture, Virginia Association of Economics, Richmond, Virginia, March 10, http://www.bis.org/review/r050318d.pdf Bernanke, B. (2010), “Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble”, Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, Atlanta, January 3, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20100103a.htm Bini Smaghi, L. (2008), “The Financial Crisis and Global Imbalances – Two sides of the Same Coin”. Speech at the Asia Europe Economic Forum conference “The Global Financial Crisis: Policy Choices in Asia and Europe”, Beijing, December 9, http://www.bis.org/review/r081212d.pdf Blanchard, O., Dell’Ariccia, G., Mauro, P. (2010), “Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy”, International Monetary Fund Staff Position Note, February 12, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/spn/2010/spn1003.pdf Bloomberg, “Banning ‘Naked’ Default Swaps May Raise Corporate Funding Costs”, July 24, 2009, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=awJDsS9.OHjc Bloomberg, “Moody’s Chief Says CDO Ratings Were Deeply Disappointing”, June 2, 2010, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-06-02/moody-s-chief-mcdaniel-says-ratings-of-cdos-were-deeply-disappointing-.html Calomiris, C. (2009), “A Recipe for Ratings Reform”, The Economists’ Voice, Volume 6, http://www.astrid-online.it/Regolazion/Studi--ric/Calomiris_Economists-Voice_11_2009.pdf Center for Responsible Lending, “Risking Homes to Pay Off Credit Cards”, November 2005, http://www.responsiblelending.org/credit-cards/research-analysis/ip012-Risking_Homes_Credit_Cards-1105.pdf Center for Responsible Lending, “Don’t Mandate Large Down Payments on Home Loans”, February 25, 2001, http://www.responsiblelending.org/mortgage-lending/policy-legislation/regulators/low-downpayment-factsheet-final.pdf Colander, D., Fölmer, H., Haas, A., Goldberg, M., Juselius, K., Kirman, A., Lux, T., Sloth, B. (2009), “The Financial Crisis and the Systemic Failure of Academic Economics”, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, February, http://www.ifw-members.ifw-kiel.de/publications/the-financial-crisis-and-the-systemic-failure-of-academic-economics/KWP_1489_ColanderetalFinancial percent20Crisis.pdf Demyanyk, Yuliya (2008), “Did Credit Scores Predict the Subprime Crisis?”, The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, October, http://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2008/d/pdf/mortgage.pdf Dodd, C. (2007), “Hearing on Preserving the American Dream: Predatory Lending Practices and Home Foreclosures”, February 7, http://www.opednews.com/articles/genera_christop_070207_chris_dodd___hearing.htm Doms, M., Furlong, F., Krainer, J. (2007), “Subprime Mortgage Delinquency Rates”, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, November, http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/papers/2007/wp07-33bk.pdf Eichengreen, B. (2008), “Origins and Responses to the Crisis”, University of California, Berkeley, October, http://emlab.berkeley.edu/users/webfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/origins_responses.pdf Estrada, Fernando (2010), “Meditations Popperian on Financial Crisis”, Munich Personal RePec Archive, January, http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/20095/ Federal Reserve Board, “Survey of Consumer Finances 2007”, http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/bulletin/2009/pdf/scf09.pdf Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2007 Annual Report, “The Subprime Mortgage Market. National and Twelfth District Developments. 2007 Report”, http://www.frbsf.org/publications/federalreserve/annual/2007/subprime.pdf Fender, I., Scheicher, M. (2008), “The ABX: How do the Markets Price Subprime Mortgage Risk?” Bank of International Settlements Quarterly Review, September, http://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt0809h.pdf Financial Times, “Sigma collapse ends shadow bank project”, October 1, 2008, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/19db6e24-8fff-11dd-9890-0000779fd18c.html?nclick_check=1#axzz1JcNjDVHd Goldberg, L. (2010), “Is the International Role of the Dollar Changing?”, Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, January, http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci16-1.pdf Gorton, G. (2008), “The Subprime Panic”, National Bureau of Economic Research, October, http://www.nber.org/papers/w14398.pdf Greenspan, A. (2009), “The Fed Didn’t Cause the Housing Bubble”, March 11, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123672965066989281.html Groshenny, N. (2011), “Deviations from the Taylor Rule and the Dual Mandate”, Vox, February 2, http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/6070 Hendricks, D. (1996), “Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Models Using Historical Data”, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Economic Policy Review, April, http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/epr/96v02n1/9604hend.pdf Kashyap, A., Rajan, R., Stein, J. (2008), “Rethinking Capital Regulation", Symposium “Maintaining Stability in a Changing Financial System”, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, September, http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.172.9086&rep=rep1&type=pdf Kohn, D. (2010), “Global Imbalances”, Speech at the High-Level Conference on the International Monetary System, Zurich, May 11, 2010, http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/kohn20100511a.htm Krugman, P. (2005), “Running Out of Bubbles”, The New York Times, May 27, http://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/27/opinion/27krugman.html?_r=1 Kling, A. (2009), “Regulatory Arbitrage, AIG Edition”, Library of Economics and Liberty, March 18, http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2009/03/regulatory_arbi_1.html Mauldin, J. (2007), “Taking Out the Structured Investment Vehicle Garbage”, Tiger Shark Trading, October 21, http://www.tigersharktrading.com/articles/10353/1/-Taking-Out-the-Structured-Investment-Vehicle-Garbage/Page1.html National Public Radio (2007), “Senate Panel Studies Subprime Loan Woes”, March 23, http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=9096735 Newsweek, “Credit we don’t deserve”, July 29, 2009, http://www.newsweek.com/2009/07/28/credit-we-don-t-deserve.html Ore, O. and Wilson, R. (1990), “Graphs and Their Uses”, The Mathematical Association of America, Anneli Lax New Mathematical Library, Washington Reinhart, C., Rogoff, K. (2008), “Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-prime Financial Crisis so Different? An International Historical Comparison”, National Bureau of Economic Research, January, http://www.nber.org/papers/w13761.pdf Reuters, “China Cbank Chief Sees Need for Systemic Monetary Reform”, February 18, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/18/g20-china-forex-idUSPISIDE70620110218 Reuters, “G20 Communique Takes Softer Tone on FX Policies”, February 19, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/19/us-g20-fx-idUSTRE71I2YZ20110219 Reuters, “Japan deflation eases in Jan on food, fuel spike”, February 24, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/24/japan-economy-idUSTOE71N07K20110224 Reuters, “FACTBOX: Facts about structured investment vehicles”, October 14, 2007 http://www.reuters.com/article/2007/10/14/us-factbox-sivs-idUSL145069320071014 Robinson, D. F. and Foulds, L. R. (1980), “Diagraphs: Theory and Techniques”, Gordon and Breach, Science Publishers, Inc., New York Seeking Alpha, Editor’s Pick, “Risk Management Watch: The Monoline Insurance Delusion”, April 6, 2009, http://seekingalpha.com/article/129605-risk-management-watch-the-monoline-insurance-delusion Shiller, R. (2008), “How a Bubble Stayed Under the Radar”, The New York Times, March 2, http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/02/business/02view.html Suominen, K. (2010), “Did Global Imbalances Cause the Crisis?”, Vox, June, http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/5175 Tarr, D. (2010), “The Political, Regulatory and Market Failures that Caused the US Financial Crisis”, The World Bank Development Research Group, May, http://www-wds.worldbank.org/servlet/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2010/05/27 /000158349_20100527154732/Rendered/PDF/WPS5324.pdf Taylor, J. (2008), “The Financial Crisis and the Policy Responses: An Empirical Analysis of What Went Wrong”, Keynote Address at Bank of Canada, November, http://www.nviegi.net/teaching/taylor1.pdf The Economist, “Ending Deflation in Japan: And Old Problem”, February 10, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/18119075 The New York Times Deal Book, “S.E.C. Chair: Regulate Credit-Default Swaps Now”, September 23, 2008, http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2008/09/23/sec-chair-regulate-credit-default-swaps-now/ The New York Times, “Looters in Loafers”, April 18, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/19/opinion/19krugman.html?_r=1&hp The New York Times, “Merrill’s Chief Is Being Held to Account”, October 25, 2007, http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/25/business/25merrill.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1 The New York Times, “Risk Mismanagement”, January 2, 2009, http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/04/magazine/04risk-t.html?_r=1 The Wall Street Journal, “Debtor's Dilemma: Pay the Mortgage or Walk Away”, December 17, 2009, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB126100260600594531.html The New York Times, “Merrill’s Risk Disclosure Dodges Are Unearthed”, August 9, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/10/business/10merrill.html The New York Times, “How Countrywide Covered The Cracks”, October 16, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/17/business/17trial.html?pagewanted=all The Wall Street Journal, “Views of Life After Fannie, Freddie”, February 12, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703786804576137942242796306.html TransUnion, “TransUnion Study Finds More Consumers Making Payments on Their Credit Cards Before Their Mortgages”, http://www.easyir.com/easyir/customrel.do?easyirid=DC2167C025A9EA04&version=live&prid=583276&releasejsp=custom_144 TransUnion, “TransUnion Study Finds Consumers Continue Paying Credit Cards Before Mortgages, Though Change May Be on the Horizon”, http://www.easyir.com/easyir/customrel.do?easyirid=DC2167C025A9EA04&version=live&prid=737773&releasejsp=custom_144 Watts, G. (2010), “Retaining Mortgage Servicing Rights vs. Selling in the Secondary Market”, Mortgage News Daily, April 15, http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/garrett_watts/146242.aspx Whelan, K. (2010), “Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis”, UCD Centre for Economic Research, April, http://www.ucd.ie/t4cms/wp10_13.pdf Woodford, Michael (2010), “Financial Intermediation and Macroeconomic Analysis”, Columbia University, New York, August, http://www.columbia.edu/~mw2230/JEP percent20draft percent203.pdf |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/33408 |
Available Versions of this Item
- All Things Considered: The Interaction of the Reasons for the Financial Crisis. (deposited 15 Sep 2011 14:45) [Currently Displayed]