Ko, Jun-Hyung (2011): Productivity shocks and housing market inflations in new Keynesian models.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_33848.pdf Download (515kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Econometric evidence suggests the existence of two dynamics in the postwar U.S. housing market: (i) housing rental and purchase prices co-move positively in response to productivity shocks, and (ii) the purchase price exhibits much larger volatile movements than the rental price in response to the shocks. A standard New Keynesian model with nominal rigidity in the production sector is inconsistent with these facts. We incorporate a rental market into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model with durables and show that nominal rigidity in the rental market contributes to our empirical findings.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Productivity shocks and housing market inflations in new Keynesian models |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Productivity shock; price-rent ratio; housing prices |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R2 - Household Analysis > R21 - Housing Demand E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E37 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R3 - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location > R31 - Housing Supply and Markets |
Item ID: | 33848 |
Depositing User: | Jun-Hyung Ko |
Date Deposited: | 03 Oct 2011 13:05 |
Last Modified: | 04 Oct 2019 16:17 |
References: | Barski R., C. House and M. Kimball (2007): ``Sticky Price Models and Durable Goods,'' American Economic Review, 97 (3), pages 984-998. Basu S., and J. G. Fernald (1997): ``Returns to Scale in U.S. manufacturing: Estimates and Implications,'' Journal of Political Economy, 105, pages 249-283. Beaudry, P. and B. Lucke (2009): ``Letting Different Views about Business cycles complete," NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009. Calza, A. , T. Monacelli, and L. Stracca (2007): ``Mortgage Markets, Collateral Constraints, and Monetary Policy: Do Institutional Factors Matter?,'' CFS Working Paper Series, (Frankfurt: Center for Financial Studies) Campbell J. and Z. Hercowitz (2005): ``The Role of Collateralized Household Debt in Macroeconomic Stabilization,'' NBER, working paper 11330. Cochrane, J. H., (2011): ``Discount Rates," Journal of Finance, 66 (4), pages 1047-1108. Cochrane J. H., (1992): ``Explaining the Variance of Price-Dividend Ratios,'' Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press, 5 (2), pages 243-280. Erceg, C., and A. Levin (2006): ``Optimal Monetary Policy with Durable Consumption Goods," Journal of Monetary Economics, 53, pages 1341-1359. Gali, J., (1999): ``Technology, Employment, and the Business Cycle: Do Technology Shocks Explain Aggregate Fluctuations?" American Economic Review 89, pages 249-271. Gali, J. and T. Monacelli (2005): ``Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy," Review of Economic Studies 72 (3), pages 707-734. Genesove, D., (2003): ``The Nominal Rigidity of Apartment Rents," The Review of Economics and Statistics, 85 (4), pages 844-853. Huang, K., and Z. Liu (2005): ``Inflation Targeting: What Inflation Rate to Target?�," Journal of Monetary Economics, 52, pages 1435-1462. Iacoviello, M. and S. Neri (2010): ``Housing Market Spillover: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model,'' American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics}, 2 (2), pages 125-164. Jarocinski, M. and F. Smets (2008): ``House Prices and the Stance of Monetary Policy,�" Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis \textit{Review}, 90 (4), pages 339-365. Ko, J. H., (2011): ``Optimal Monetary Policy with Durable Services: User Cost versus Purchase Price," mimeo. Mankiw, N. G., and R. Reis. (2003): ``What Measure of Inflation Should a Central Bank Target?,�" Journal of the European Economic Association, 1: pages 1058-1086. Monacelli, T., (2007): ``Optimal Monetary Policy with Collateralized Household Debt and Borrowing Constraints," Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, University of Chicago Press , in Campbell, John Y. (ed.) Monacelli, T., (2009): ``New Keynesian Models, Durable Goods, and Collateral Constraints," Journal of Monetary Economics, 56 (2), pages 242-254. Petrella, I., and S., Emiliano, (2010): ``Optimal Monetary Policy with Durable Consumption Goods and Factor Demand Linkages," MPRA Paper 21321, University Library of Munich, Germany Rotemberg, J. J. (1982): ``Sticky prices in the United States," Journal of Political Economy 99, pages 1187-1211. Lucas, R. E., (1978): ``Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy," Econometrica, 46, pages 1429-1445. Shiller, R. J., (1981): ``Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?," The American Economic Review, 71 (3), pages 421–436. Shimizu, C., K. G. Nishimura and T. Watanabe (2010): ``Residential Rents and Price Rigidity: Micro Structure and Macro Consequences," Journal of the Japanese and International Economics, 24 (1), pages 282-299. Uhlig, H. (1999): ``A Toolkit for Analysing Non-linear Dyamic Stochastic Models Easily," in Ramon Marimon and Andrew Scott, eds., Computational methods for the study of dynamic economies. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pages 30-61. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/33848 |