Demografia, Occupazione e Produttività in Italia e nelle Regioni italiane [terza parte del progetto "Il presente e il futuro del Pay-Go in Italia, Europa e Us"]

SALERNO, Nicola Carmine (2013): Demografia, Occupazione e Produttività in Italia e nelle Regioni italiane [terza parte del progetto "Il presente e il futuro del Pay-Go in Italia, Europa e Us"].

Abstract

The circular interplay between demography-employment-productivity-PayGo is investigated for Italy and Italian geographical repartitions. Looking forward to the mid-long run, the paper offers simulations of the burden each effective worker and each active citizen will have to bear to finance via pay-as-you-go public health care provisions and pensions. This paper is completely self standing but, at the same time, it is part of the wider project "Present and Future of PayGo in Italy, Europe and Us". It constitutes the third chapter of this project, the first and the second being uploaded on MPRA as well. Other chapters follow.

nicola c. salerno ([e-mail])

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Demography, Employment, Productivity in Italy and in Italian Regions [third part of the project "Present and Future of PayGo in Italy, Europe and Us"]
• Language: Italian
• Keywords: sustainability; paygo; pay-as-you-go; health care; pensions; Awg; Ecofin; Oecd; Imf; projections; long-term; mid-long term; public finances; public finance; employment; productivity; burden; paygo burden; endogenous growth; endogenous disincentives; multipillar; structural reforms; dependency ratio; dependency ratios; old dependency ratio; old dependency ratios; modifies dependency ratio; modified dependency ratios; interplay between demography, employment, productivity, growth, paygo; welfare system; welfare institutions
• Subjects: H - Public Economics > H0 - General > H00 - General; H - Public Economics > H1 - Structure and Scope of Government > H10 - General; H - Public Economics > H2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue > H20 - General; H - Public Economics > H2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue > H21 - Efficiency ; Optimal Taxation; H - Public Economics > H2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue > H22 - Incidence; H - Public Economics > H2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue > H23 - Externalities ; Redistributive Effects ; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies; H - Public Economics > H2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue > H24 - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies; H - Public Economics > H3 - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents > H32 - Firm; H - Public Economics > H6 - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt > H68 - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt; I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I0 - General > I00 - General; I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health > I10 - General; I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I3 - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty > I31 - General Welfare, Well-Being; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J10 - General; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J14 - Economics of the Elderly ; Economics of the Handicapped ; Non-Labor Market Discrimination; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor > J20 - General; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor > J21 - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure; J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor > J26 - Retirement ; Retirement Policies

References

Istat complete online dataset (www.istat.it)