Shelley, Gary and Wallace, Frederick (2010): Further evidence regarding nonlinear trend reversion of real GDP and the CPI.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_24962.pdf Download (478kB) | Preview |
Abstract
his paper examines whether the CPI and real GDP for the U.S. exhibit nonlinear reversion to trend as recently concluded by Beechey and Österholm [Beechey, M. and Österholm, P., 2008. Revisiting the uncertain unit root in GDP and CPI: testing for non-linear trend reversion. Economics Letters 100, 221-223]. The wild bootstrap is used to correct for non-normality and heteroscedasticity in a nonlinear unit root test. Test results are found to be sensitive to the sample period examined.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Further evidence regarding nonlinear trend reversion of real GDP and the CPI |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | nonlinear unit root test; wild bootstrap; non-normality |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes |
Item ID: | 24962 |
Depositing User: | Frederick Wallace |
Date Deposited: | 14 Sep 2010 11:35 |
Last Modified: | 01 Oct 2019 21:47 |
References: | Arghyrou, M.G. and Gregoriou, A., 2008. Non-linearity versus non-normality in real exchange rate dynamics. Economics Letters 100, 200-203. Beechey, M. and Österholm, P., 2008. Revisiting the uncertain unit root in GDP and CPI: testing for non-linear trend reversion. Economics Letters 100, 221-223. Diebold, F.X. and Senhadji, A.S., 1996. The uncertain unit root in real GNP: comment. American Economic Review 86, 1291-1298. Engel, J., Haugh, D., Pagan, A., 2005. Some methods for assessing the need for non-linear models in business cycle analysis. International Journal of Forecasting 21, 651-662. Engle, R., 1982. Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica 50, pp. 987-1007. Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y., and Snell, A., 2003. Testing for a unit root in the nonlinear STAR framework. Journal of Econometrics 112, 359-379. Mammen, E. 1993. Bootstrap and wild bootstrap for high dimensional linear models. Annals of Statistics 21, 255-285. Nelson, C.R. and Plosser, C.I., 1982. Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: some evidence and implications. Journal of Monetary Economics 10, 139- 162. Taylor, A., 2001 Potential pitfalls for the purchasing-power-parity puzzle? Sampling and specification biases in the mean-reversion tests of the law of one price, Econometrica 69, 473-498. Van Dijk, D., Franses, P., and Lucas, A., 1999. Testing for smooth transition nonlinearity in the presence of outliers. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 17, 217-235. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/24962 |