Dincecco, Mark and Katz, Gabriel (2012): State Capacity and Long-Run Economic Performance.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_50042.pdf Download (360kB) | Preview |
Abstract
We present new evidence about the long-run relationship between state capacity and economic performance in Europe, the birthplace of modern economic growth. Our database is novel and spans 11 countries and 4 centuries from the Old Regime to World War I. We argue that national governments undertook two political transformations over this period: fiscal centralization and limited government. We find a significant direct relationship between fiscal centralization and economic growth. Furthermore, we find that an increase in the state's capacity to extract greater tax revenues was one mechanism through which both fiscal centralization and, to some extent, limited government played significant economic roles. We believe that our analysis is among the first to show systematic evidence that state capacity is an important determinant of long-run economic growth.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | State Capacity and Long-Run Economic Performance |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | political regimes, state capacity, economic performance, European history |
Subjects: | H - Public Economics > H1 - Structure and Scope of Government > H11 - Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O43 - Institutions and Growth N - Economic History > N4 - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation > N43 - Europe: Pre-1913 |
Item ID: | 50042 |
Depositing User: | Mark Dincecco |
Date Deposited: | 21 Sep 2013 13:48 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 18:27 |
References: | Acemoglu(2005) Acemoglu Acemoglu, D. (2005). ``Politics and Economics in Weak and Strong States.'' Journal of Monetary Economics, 52: 1199-226. Abadie et al.(2010) Abadie-Diamond Abadie, A., A. Diamond, and J. Hainmueller (2010). ``Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program.'' Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105: 493-505. Acemoglu and Robinson(2012) Acemoglu-Robinson2 Acemoglu, D. and J. Robinson (2012). Why Nations Fail. London: Profile. Acemoglu et al.(2001) Acemoglu-Johnson1 Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. Robinson (2001). ``Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation.'' American Economic Review, 91: 1369-401. Acemoglu et al.(2002) Acemoglu-Johnson2 Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. Robinson (2002). ``Reversal of Fortune: Geography and Development in the Making of the Modern World Income Distribution.'' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117: 1231-94. Acemoglu et al.(2004) Acemoglu-Verdier Acemoglu, D., J. Robinson, and T. Verdier (2004). ``Alfred Marshall Lecture -- Kleptocracy and Divide-and-Rule: A Model of Personal Rule.'' Journal of the European Economic Association, 2: 162-92. Acemoglu et al.(2005) Acemoglu-Johnson3 Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. Robinson (2005). ``The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change, and Economic Growth.'' American Economic Review, 94: 546-79. Acemoglu et al.(2002) Acemoglu-Johnson4 Acemoglu, D., S. Johnson, and J. Robinson (2002). ``The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change, and Economic Growth.'' NBER Working Paper 9378. Acemoglu at al.(2008) Acemogluetal Acemoglu, D., S. Simon Johnson, J. Robinson, and P. Yared (2008). ``Income and Democracy.'' American Economic Review, 98: 808-842. Acemoglu et al.(2011) Acemoglu-Ticchi1 Acemoglu, D., Ticchi, D., and A. Vindigni (2011). ``Emergence and Persistence of Inefficient States.'' Journal of the European Economic Association, 9: 177-208. Attanasio et al.(2000) Attanasio-Picci Attanasio, O., L. Picci, and A. Scorcu (2000). ``Saving, Growth and Investment: A Macroeconomic Analysis Using a Panel of Countries.'' Review of Economics and Statistics, 82: 182-211. Banerjee and Iyer(2005) Banerjee-Iyer Banerjee, A. and L. Iyer (2005). ``History, Institutions, and Economic Performance: The Legacy of Colonial Land Tenure Systems in India.'' American Economic Review, 95: 1190-1213. Barro(1996) Barro1 Barro, R. (1996). ``Democracy and Growth.'' Journal of Economic Growth, 1: 1-27. Barro(2000) Barro2 Barro, R. (2000). ``Inequality and Growth in a Panel of Countries.'' Journal of Economic Growth, 5: 5-32. Barro and Sala-i-Martin(2004) Barro-Sala Barro, R. and X. Sala-i-Martin (2004). Economic Growth, Second Edition. Cambridge: MIT Press. Barro and Urs\'ua(2010) Barro-Ursua Barro, R. and J. Urs\'ua (2010). ``Barro-Urs\'ua Macroeconomic Dataset.'' http://rbarro.com/data-sets/ Beck et al.(2000) Becketal Beck, T., R. Levine, and N. Loayza. ``Finance and the Sources of Growth.'' Journal of Financial Economics, 58: 261-300. Bates(2001) Bates Bates, R. (2001). Prosperity and Violence. New York: Norton. Besley and Persson(2009) Besley-Persson3 Besley, T. and T. Persson (2009). ``The Origins of State Capacity: Property Rights, Taxation, and Politics.'' American Economic Review, 99: 1218-44. Besley and Persson(2011) Besley-Persson1 Besley, T. and T. Persson (2011). The Pillars of Prosperity. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Besley and Persson(2013) Besley-Persson2 Besley, T. and T. Persson (2013). ``Taxation and Development.'' In A. Auerbach, R. Chetty, M. Feldstein, and E. Saez, eds., Handbook of Public Economics, Amsterdam: Elsevier. Bockstette et al.(2002) Bockstette-Chanda Bockstette, V., Chanda, A., and L. Putterman (2002). ``States and Markets: The Advantage of an Early Start.'' Journal of Economic Growth, 7: 347-69. Bond et al.(2010) Bond-Leblebicioglu Bond, S., A. Leblebicioglu, and F. Schiantarelli (2010). ``Capital Accumulation and Growth: A New Look at the Empirical Evidence.'' Journal of Applied Econometrics, 25: 1073-99. Bogart(2008) Bogart Bogart, D. (2008). ``Engines of Development?'' Working paper, University of California, Irvine. Bonney(1995) Bonney Bonney, R. (1995). Economic Systems and State Finance. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Brewer(1989) Brewer Brewer, J. (1989). The Sinews of Power. London: Unwin Hyman. Bruno(2005a) Brunoa Bruno, G. (2005). ``Approximating the Bias of the LSDV Estimator for Dynamic Unbalanced Panel Data Models.'' Economic Letters, 87: 361-66. Brosio and Marchese(1986) Brosio-Marchese Brosio, G. and C. Marchese (1986). Il potere di spendere. Bologna: Il Mulino. Bruno(2005b) Brunob Bruno, G. (2005). ``Estimation and Inference in Dynamic Unbalanced Panel Data Models with a Small Number of Individuals.'' The Stata Journal, 5: 473-500. Cameron et al.(2008) Cameron-Gelbach Cameron, A., J. Gelbach, and D. Miller (2008). ``Bootstrap-Based Improvements for Inference with Clustered Standard Errors.'' Review of Economics and Statistics, 80: 482-96. Cameron and Trivedi(2010) Cameron-Trivedi Cameron, A. and P. Trivedi (2010). Microeconometrics Using Stata. College Station: Stata Press. Carreras and Tafunell(2006) Carreras-Tafunell Carreras, A. and X. Tafunell (2006). Estad\'isticas Hist\'oricas de Espana. Madrid: Fundación BBVA. Comin et al.(2010) Easterly-Comin Comin, D., W. Easterly, and E. Gong (2010). ``Was the Wealth of Nations Determined in 1000 BC?'' American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2: 65-97. Cox(2011) Cox Cox, G. (2011). ``War, Moral Hazard, and Ministerial Responsibility: England After the Glorious Revolution.'' Journal of Economic History, 71: 133-61. De Long and Shleifer(1993) DeLong-Shleifer De Long, B. and A. Shleifer (1993). ``Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution.'' Journal of Law and Economics, 36: 671-702. De Vries(1984) DeVries De Vries, J. (1984). European Urbanization, 1500-1800. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Dell(2010) Dell Dell, M. (2010). ``The Persistent Effects of Peru's Mining Mita.'' Econometrica, 78: 1863-1903. Dincecco(2009) Dincecco1 Dincecco, M. (2009). ``Fiscal Centralization, Limited Government, and Public Revenues in Europe, 1650-1913.'' Journal of Economic History, 69: 48-103. Dincecco(2011) Dincecco2 Dincecco, M. (2011). Political Transformations and Public Finances. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Dincecco et al.(2011) Dincecco-Federico Dincecco, M., G. Federico, and A. Vindigni (2011). ``Warfare, Taxation, and Political Change: Evidence from the Italian Risorgimento.'' Journal of Economic History, 71: 887-914. Dincecco and Prado(2012) Dincecco-Prado Dincecco, M. and M. Prado (2012). ``Warfare, Fiscal Capacity, and Performance.'' Journal of Economic Growth, 17: 171-203. Donald and Lang(2007) Donald-Lang Donald, S. and K. Lang (2007). ``Inference with Difference-in-Differences and Other Panel Data.'' Review of Economics and Statistics, 89: 221-33. Driscoll and Kraay(1998) Driscoll-Kraay Driscoll, J. and A. Kraay (1998). ``Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Data.'' Review of Economics and Statistics, 80: 549-60. Elster(2000) Elster Elster, J. (2000). Ulysses Unbound. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Engerman and Sokoloff(1997) Engerman-Sokoloff Engerman, S. and K. Sokoloff (1997). ``Factor Endowments, Institutions, and Differential Paths of Growth among New World Economies.'' In S. Haber, ed., How Latin America Fell Behind, Palo Alto: Stanford University Press. Epstein(2000) Epstein Epstein, S. (2000). Freedom and Growth. London: Routledge. Felloni(1959) Felloni Felloni, G. (1959). ``Le entrate degli Stati Sabaudi dal 1825 al 1860.'' Archivio economico dell’Unificazione Italiana, volumi 3–4, fascicolo 2. Fontvieille(1976) Fontvieille Fontvieille, L. (1976). \'Evolution et croissance de l'\'Etat francais, 1815-1969. Paris: Institut des Sciences Mathématiques et Economiques Appliquées. Gemmell et al.(2011) Gemmell-Kneller Gemmell, N., R. Kneller and I. Sanz (2011). ``The Timing and Persistence of Fiscal Policy Impacts on Growth: Evidence from OECD Countries.'' The Economic Journal, 121: F33-58. Gennaioli and Voth(2012) Gennaioli-Voth Gennaioli, N. and H.J. Voth (2012). ``State Capacity and Military Conflict.'' Mimeo, Pompeu Fabra University. Gerschenkron(1966) Gerschenkron Gerschenkron, A. (1966). Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspective. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press. Giavazzi and Tabellini(2005) Giavazzi-Tabellini Giavazzi, F. and G. Tabellini (2005). ``Economic and Political Liberalizations.'' Journal of Monetary Economics, 52: 1297-330. Glaeser et al.(2004) Glaeser-LaPorta Glaeser, E., R. La Porta, F. Lopez-de-Silanes, and A. Shleifer (1999). ``Do Institutions Cause Growth?'' Journal of Economic Growth, 9: 271-303. Greif and Tabellini(2010) Greif-Tabellini Greif, A. and G. Tabellini (2010). ``Cultural and Institutional Bifurcation: China and Europe Compared.'' American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 100: 135-40. Hall and Jones(1999) Hall-Jones Hall, R. and C. Jones (1999). ``Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker than Others?'' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114: 83-116. Herbst(2000) Herbst Herbst, J. (2000). States and Power in Africa. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Hintze(1906) Hintze Hintze, O. (1906). ``Military Organization and the Organization of the State.'' In F. Gilbert, ed., The Historical Essays of Otto Hintze [1975, New York: Oxford University Press. Hobson(1993) Hobson Hobson, J. (1993). ``The Military-Extraction Gap and the Wary Titan: The Fiscal-Sociology of British Defence Policy, 1870-1913.'' Journal of European Economic History, 22: 466-507. Hoffman and Rosenthal(1997) Hoffman-Rosenthal1 Hoffman, P. and J.L. Rosenthal (1997). ``The Political Economy of Warfare and Taxation in Early Modern Europe: Historical Lessons for Economic Development.'' In J. Drobak and J. Nye, eds., The Frontiers of the New Institutional Economics, St. Louis: Academic Press. Islam(1995) Islam Islam, N. (1995). ``Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach.'' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110: 1127-70. Jaggers and Marshall(2008) Jaggers-Marshall Jaggers, K. and M. Marshall (2008). ``Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2007.'' Center for Systematic Peace, George Mason University. Jones(1995) Jones Jones, C. (1995). ``Time Series Tests of Endogenous Growth Models.'' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110: 495-525. Judson and Owen(1999) Judson-Owen Judson, R. and A. Owen (1999). ``Estimating Dynamic Panel Data Models: A Guide for Macroeconomists.'' Economic Letters, 65: 9-15. Kaldor(1963) Kaldor Kaldor, N. (1963). ``Taxation and Economic Development.'' Journal of Modern African Studies, 1: 7-23. Kang(2002) Kang Kang, D. (2002). Crony Capitalism. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Karaman and Pamuk(2010) Karaman-Pamuk1 Karaman, K. and \cS. Pamuk (2010). ``Ottoman State Finances in Comparative European perspective, 1500-1914.'' Journal of Economic History, 70: 593-629. Karaman and Pamuk(2013) Karaman-Pamuk2 Karaman, K. and \cS. Pamuk (2013). ``Different Paths to the Modern State in Europe: The Interaction Between Domestic Political Economy and Interstate Competition.'' American Political Science Review, 107: 603-26. Krantz and Sch\"on(2010) Krantz-Schon Krantz, O. and Sch\"on, L. (2010). Swedish Historical National Accounts, 1800-2000. Department of Economic History, Lund University. Laporte and Windmeijer(2005) Laporte-Windmeijer Laporte, A. and F. Windmeijer (2005). ``Estimation of Panel Data Models with Binary Indicators When Treatment Effects Are Not Constant over Time.'' Economic Letters, 88: 389-96. La Porta et al.(1998) LaPorta-Lopez La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. Vishny (1998). ``Law and Finance.'' Journal of Political Economy, 106: 1123-55. Levi(1988) Levi Levi, M. (1988). Of Rule and Revenue. Berkeley: University of California Press. Levin, Lin, and Chu(2002) Levinetal Levin, A., C. Lin, and C. Chu (2002). ``Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties.'' Journal of Econometrics, 108: 1-24. Lindert(2004) Lindert Lindert, P. (2004). Growing Public. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Maddala and Wu(1999) Maddala-Wu Maddala, G. and S. Wu (1999). ``A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test.'' Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61: 631-52. Maddison(2010) Maddison Maddison, A. (2010). ``Statistics on World Population, GDP, and per Capita GDP, 1-2008 AD.'' http://www.ggdc.net/MADDISON Magnusson(2009) Magnusson Magnusson, L. (2009). Nation, State, and the Industrial Revolution. London: Routledge. Mann(1986) Mann Mann, M. (1986). ``The Autonomous Power of the State: Its Origins, Mechanisms, and Results.'' In J. Hall, ed., States in History, Oxford: Oxford University Press. Mathias and O'Brien(1976) Mathias-OBrien Mathias, P. and P. O'Brien (1976). ``Taxation in Britain and France, 1715-1810: A Comparison of the Social and Economic Consequences of Taxes Collected by Central Governments.'' Journal of European Economic History, 5: 601-50. Mata(1993) Mata Mata, M. (1993). As finan\ccas p\'ublicas portuguesas da Regenera\cc\~ao \`a Primeira Guerra Mundial. Lisboa: Banco de Portugal. Mata and Val\'erio(2001) Mata-Valério Mata, M. and N. Val\'erio (2001). ``As finan\ccas constitucionais entre duas guerras civis (1833-1845).'' Revista de Hist\'oria Econ\'omica e Social, 1: 135-44. Migdal(1988) Migdal Migdal, J. (1988). Strong Societies and Weak States. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Mitchell(1988) Mitchell1 Mitchell, B. (1988). British Historical Statistics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Mitchell(2003) Mitchell2 Mitchell, B. (2003). International Historical Statistics: Europe, 1750-2000. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. Mokyr(1998) Mokyr1 Mokyr, J. (1998). ``The Second Industrial Revolution, 1870-1914.'' In V. Castronono, ed., Storia dell'economia Mondiale, Rome: Laterza. Mokyr(2008) Mokyr2 Mokyr, J. (2008). ``The Institutional Origins of the Industrial Revolution.'' In E. Helpman, ed., Institutions and Economic Performance, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Nickell(1981) Nickell Nickell, S. (1981). ``Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects.'' Econometrica, 49: 1417-26. North and Weingast(1989) North-Weingast North, D. and B. Weingast (1989). ``Constitutions and Commitment: The Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth-Century England.'' Journal of Economic History, 49: 803-32. Nunn(2008) Nunn1 Nunn, N. (2008). ``The Long Term Effects of Africa's Slave Trades.'' Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123: 139-76. Nunn(2009) Nunn2 Nunn, N. (2009). ``The Importance of History for Economic Development.'' Annual Review of Economics, 1: 65-92. O'Brien(2001) OBrien2 O'Brien, P. (2001). ``Fiscal Exceptionalism: Great Britain and its European Rivals, from Civil War to Triumph at Trafalgar and Waterloo.'' Working Paper 65/01, London School of Economics. O'Brien(2011) OBrien3 O'Brien, P. (2011). ``The Nature and Historical Evolution of an Exceptional Fiscal State and Its Possible Significant for the Precocious Commercialization and Industrialization of the British Economy from Cromwell to Nelson.'' Economic History Review, 64: 408-46. Papaioannou and Siourounis(2008) Papaioannou-Siourounis Papaioannou, E. and G. Siourounis (2008). ``Democratisation and Growth.'' Economic Journal, 118: 1520-51. Pammer(2010) Pammer Pammer, M. (2010). ``Public Finance in Austria-Hungary, 1820-1913.'' In J. Cardoso and P. Lains, eds., Paying for the Liberal State, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Pesaran and Smith(1995) Pesaran-Smith Pesaran M., and R. Smith (1995). ``Estimating Long-Run Relationships from Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels''. Journal of Econometrics, 68: 79-113. Pincus(2009) Pincus Pincus, S. (2009). 1688: The First Modern Revolution. New Haven: Yale University Press. Pincus and Robinson(2010) Pincus-Robinson Pincus, S. and J. Robinson (2010). ``What Really Happened During the Glorious Revolution?'' Working paper, Harvard University. Prescott(2004) Prescott Prescott, E. (2004). ``Why Do Americans Work So Much More than Europeans?'' Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 28: 2-13. Przeworski et al.(2000) Przeworski-Alvarez Przeworski, A., M. Alvarez, J. Cheibub, and F. Limongi (2000). Democracy and Development. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Rodrik(2005) Rodrik Rodrik, D. (2005). ``Growth Strategies.'' In P. Aghion and S. Durlauf, eds., Handbook of Economic Growth, Amsterdam: North-Holland. Roll and Talbott(2003) Roll-Talbott Roll, R. and J. Talbott (2003). ``Political and Economic Freedoms and Prosperity.'' Journal of Democracy, 14: 75-89.%Romero-Avila and Strauch(2008) RomeroAvila-Strauch Romero-Avila, D. and R. Strauch (2008). ``Public finances and long-term growth in Europe: evidence from a panel data analyis.'' European Journal of Political Economy, 24: 171-191. Rosenthal(1992) Rosenthal Rosenthal, J.L. (1992). The Fruits of Revolution. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Rosenthal and Wong(2011) Rosenthal-Wong Rosenthal, J.L. and R.B. Wong (2011). Before and Beyond Divergence. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Russell(2004) Russell Russell, P. (2004). Constitutional Odyssey, Third Edition. Toronto: University of Toronto Press. Singer(1987) Singer Singer, D. (1987). ``Reconstructing the Correlates of War Dataset on Material Capabilities of States, 1816-1985.'' International Interactions, 14: 115-32. Stasavage(2003) Stasavage3 Stasavage, D. (2003). Public Debt and the Birth of the Democratic State. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Stasavage(2005) Stasavage1 Stasavage, D. (2005). ``Cities, Constitutions, and Sovereign Borrowing in Europe, 1274-1785.'' International Organization, 61: 489-526. Stasavage(2013) Stasavage2 Stasavage, D. (2013). ``Was Weber Right? City Autonomy, Political Oligarchy, and the Rise of Europe.'' Working paper, New York University. Silveira(1987) Silveira Silveira, L. (1987). ``Aspectos da evolu\cc\~ao das finan\ccas p\'ublicas portuguesas nas primeiras d\'ecadas do s\'eculo XIX (1800-27).'' An\'alise Social, 97: 505-29. Spoerer(2010) Spoerer Spoerer, M. (2010). ``The Evolution of Public Finances in Nineteenth-Century Germany.'' In J. Cardoso and P. Lains, eds., Paying for the Liberal State, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Tilly(1966) RTilly Tilly, R. (1966). ``The Political Economy of Public Finance and the Industrialization of Prussia, 1815-66.'' Journal of Economic History, 26: 484-97. Tilly(1975) CTilly1 Tilly, C. (1975). The Formation of National States in Western Europe. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Tilly(1990) CTilly2 Tilly, C. (1990). Coercion, Capital, and European States, 990-1990. Cambridge, UK: Blackwell. Ufficio Storico(1980) UfficioStorico Ufficio Storico (1980). ``L'esercito italiano.'' van Zanden(1996) vanZanden1 van Zanden, J.L. (1996). ``The Development of Government Finances in a Chaotic Period, 1807-50.'' Economic and Social History of the Netherlands, 7: 53-71. van Zanden and van Riel(2010) vanZanden-vanRiel van Zanden, J.L. and A. van Riel (2010). ``The Development of Public Finance in the Netherlands, 1815-1914.'' In J. Cardoso and P. Lains, eds., Paying for the Liberal State, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Wade(1990) Wade Wade, R. (1990). Governing the Market. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Wooldridge(2003) Wooldridge Wooldridge, J. (2003). Introductory Econometrics. Mason, OH: Thomson South-Western. Ziblatt(2006) Ziblatt Ziblatt, D. (2006). Structuring the State. Princeton: Princeton University Press. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/50042 |
Available Versions of this Item
-
State Capacity and Long-Run Performance. (deposited 23 Apr 2012 10:57)
- State Capacity and Long-Run Economic Performance. (deposited 21 Sep 2013 13:48) [Currently Displayed]
- State capacity and long-run performance. (deposited 04 Jun 2012 15:16)