Luo, Yulei and Nie, Jun and Wang, Gaowang and Young, Eric (2014): What We Don't Know Doesn't Hurt Us: Rational Inattention and the Permanent Income Hypothesis in General Equilibrium.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_59182.pdf Download (320kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper derives the general equilibrium effects of rational inattention (or RI; Sims 2003, 2010) in a model of incomplete income insurance (Huggett 1993, Wang 2003). We show that, under the assumption of CARA utility with Gaussian shocks, the Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH) arises in equilibrium, as in models with full information-rational expectations, due to a balancing of precautionary savings and impatience. We then explore how RI affects the equilibrium joint dynamics of consumption, income and wealth, and find that elastic attention can make the model fit the data better. We finally show that the welfare costs of incomplete information are even smaller due to general equilibrium adjustments in interest rates.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | What We Don't Know Doesn't Hurt Us: Rational Inattention and the Permanent Income Hypothesis in General Equilibrium |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Rational Inattention; Permanent Income Hypothesis; General Equilibrium; Consumption and Income Volatility. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C61 - Optimization Techniques ; Programming Models ; Dynamic Analysis D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D83 - Search ; Learning ; Information and Knowledge ; Communication ; Belief ; Unawareness E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth |
Item ID: | 59182 |
Depositing User: | Yulei Luo |
Date Deposited: | 10 Oct 2014 10:21 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 04:48 |
References: | Attanasio, Orazio P. and Nicola Pavoni (2011), "Risk Sharing in Private Information Models with Asset Accumulation: Explaining the Excess Smoothness of Consumption," Econometrica 79(4), 1027-1068. Aiyagari, Rao S. (1994), "Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate Saving," Quarterly Journal of Economics 109 (3), 658-684. Barro, Robert J. (2007), "On the Welfare Costs of Consumption Uncertainty," manuscript. Bernanke, Ben (1985), "Adjustment Costs, Durables, and Aggregate Consumption," Journal of Monetary Economics 15, 41-68. Blundell Richard, Luigi Pistaferri, and Ian Preston (2008), "Consumption Inequality and Partial Insurance," American Economic Review 98(5), 1887-1921. Caballero, Ricardo J. (1990), "Consumption Puzzles and Precautionary Savings," Journal of Monetary Economics 25, 113-136. Caballero, Ricardo J. (1991), "Earnings Uncertainty and Aggregate Wealth Accumulation," American Economic Review 81(4), 859-871. Campbell, John Y. and Angus S. Deaton (1989), "Why Is Consumption So Smooth?" Review of Economic Studies 56(3), 357-373. Dynan, Karen E. (2000), "Habit Formation in Consumer Preferences: Evidence from Panel Data," American Economic Review 90(3), 391-406. Floden, Martin and Jesper Lindé (2001), "Idiosyncratic Risk in the United States and Sweden:Is There a Role for Government Insurance?" Review of Economic Dynamics 4, 406-437. Friedman, Milton (1957), "A Theory of the Consumption Function," Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Galí, Jordi (1993),"Variability of Durable and Nondurable Consumption: Evidence for Six O.E.C.D. Countries," Review of Economics and Statistics 75, 418-428. Guvenen, Fatih and Tony Smith,"Inferring Labor Income Risk and Partial Insurance from Economic Choices," Econometrica, forthcoming. Hall, Robert E. (1978), "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Political Economy 91(6), 249-265. Huggett, Mark (1993), "The Risk-Free Rate in Heterogeneous-Agent Incomplete-Insurance Economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 17(5-6), 953-969. Irvine, Ian and Susheng Wang (2000), "Earnings Uncertainty and Aggregate Wealth Accumulation: Comment," American Economic Review 84(5), 1463-1469. Kahneman, Daniel (1973), Attention and Effort, Prentice-Hall Press. Krueger Dirk and Fabrizio Perri (2006), "Does Income Inequality Lead to Consumption Inequality? Evidence and Theory," Review of Economic Studies 73(1), 163-193. Luo, Yulei (2008), "Consumption Dynamics under Information Processing Constraints," Review of Economic Dynamics 11, 366-385. Luo, Yulei (2010), "Rational Inattention, Long-Run Consumption Risk, and Portfolio Choice," Review of Economic Dynamics 13(4), 843-860. Luo, Yulei and Eric R. Young (2010), "Risk-sensitive Consumption and Savings under Rational Inattention," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2(4), 281-325. Luo, Yulei and Eric R. Young (2014), "Signal Extraction and Rational Inattention," Economic Inquiry 52(2), 811-829. Luo, Yulei, Jun Nie, and Eric R. Young. (2014), "Slow Information Diffusion and the Inertial Behavior of Durable Consumption," forthcoming in Journal of the European Economic Association. Maćkowiak, Bartosz and Mirko Wiederholt (2013). "Business Cycle Dynamics under Rational Inattention," manuscript. Mondria, Jordi (2010), "Portfolio Choice, Attention Allocation, and Price Comovement," Journal of Economic Theory 145(5), 1837--1864. Peng, Lin (2004), "Learning with Information Capacity Constraints," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 40, 307-330. Pischke, Jorn-Steffen (1995), "Individual Income, Incomplete Information, and Aggregate Consumption," Econometrica 63, 805-840. Reis, Ricardo (2006), "Inattentive consumers," Journal of Monetary Economics 53(8), 1761-1800. Sims, Christopher A. (2003), "Implications of Rational Inattention," Journal of Monetary Economics 50 (3), 665-690. Sims, Christopher A. (2010), "Rational Inattention and Monetary Economics," Handbook of Monetary Economics. Sun, Yeneng (2006), "The Exact Law of Large Numbers via Fubini Extension and Characterization of Insurable Risks," Journal of Economic Theory 126, 31-69. Wang, Susheng (2000), "Determinants of Aggregate Weath," Macroeconomic Dynamics 4(1), 22-41. Wang, Neng (2003), "Caballero Meets Bewley: the Permanent-Income Hypothesis in General Equilibrium," American Economic Review 93(3), 927-936. Wang, Neng (2004), "Precautionary Saving and Partially Observed Income," Journal of Monetary Economics 51, 1645--1681. Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn and Laura Veldkamp (2010), "Information Acquisition and Under-Diversification," Review of Economic Studies 77(2), 779-805. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/59182 |