Situngkir, Hokky (2015): On Capturing the Spreading Dynamics over Trading Prices in the Market. Published in: BFI Working Paper Series, WP-5-2015
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_67247.pdf Download (621kB) | Preview |
Abstract
While market is a social field where information flows over the interacting agents, there have been not so many methods to observe the spreading information in the prices comprising the market. By incorporating the entropy transfer in information theory in its relation to the Granger causality, the paper proposes a tree of weighted directed graph of market to detect the changes of price might affect other price changes. We compare the proposed analysis with the similar tree representation built from the correlation coefficients of stock prices in order to have insight of possibility in seeing the collective behavior of the market in general.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | On Capturing the Spreading Dynamics over Trading Prices in the Market |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | stock market, spreading information dynamics, econophysics, information theory, transfer entropy, granger causality, ultrametric |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C15 - Statistical Simulation Methods: General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C50 - General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C58 - Financial Econometrics C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C63 - Computational Techniques ; Simulation Modeling E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G17 - Financial Forecasting and Simulation Y - Miscellaneous Categories > Y1 - Data: Tables and Charts |
Item ID: | 67247 |
Depositing User: | Hokky Situngkir |
Date Deposited: | 16 Oct 2015 06:47 |
Last Modified: | 04 Oct 2019 03:50 |
References: | [1] Barnett, L., A.B. Barett & A.K. Seth. (2009). “Granger Causality and Transfer Entropy are Equivalent for Gaussian Variables”. Physical Review Letter 103 (23). [2] Cont, R. & Bouchaud, J-P. (2000). "Herd Behavior and Aggregate Fluctuations in Financial Markets". Macroeconomic Dynamics 4. [3] Ding, M., Chen, Y., & Bressler, S. L. (2006). “Granger causality: Basic theory and application to neuroscience”. In S. Schelter, M. Winterhalder & J. Timmer (Eds.), Handbook of Time Series Analysis. Wiley. [4] Faes, L., Marinazzo, D., Montalto, A., Nollo, G. (2014). "Lag-specific Transfer Entropy as a Tool to Assess Cardiovascular and Cardiorespiratory Information Transfer". IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering 61 (10). [5] Granger, C. W. J. (1969). “Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods”. Econometrica, 37. [6] Hlavácková-Schindler, K. (2011). “Equivalence of Granger Causality and Transfer Entropy: A Generalization”. Applied Mathematical Sciences 5 (73). [7] Mantegna, R. M. & Stanley, H. E. (2000). An Introduction to Econophysics. Cambridge UP. [8] Seth A. (2005). “Causal connectivity of evolved neural networks during behavior”. Network: Computation of Neural System 16. [9] Seth A. (2008). “Causal networks in simulated neural systems”. Cognitive Neurodynamics 2. [10] Papana, A., Kyrtsou, C., Kugiumtzis, D., Diks, C. (2013). Simulation Study of Direct Causality Measures in Multivariate Time Series”. Entropy 15. [11] Situngkir, H. (2005). "On Stock Market Dynamics through Ultrametricity of Minimum Spanning Tree". BFI Working Paper Series WPH2005. Bandung Fe Institute. [12] Situngkir, H. (2007). "Pohon Keuangan untuk Aspek Fundamental Firma". BFI Working Paper Series WPY2007. Bandung Fe Institute. [13] Situngkir, H. & Surya, Y. (2004). “Stylized Statistical Facts of Indonesian Financial Data: Empirical Study of Several Stock Indexes in Indonesia”. Proceeding National Physics Symposium XX Pekanbaru, 25-26 August 2004. Himpunan Fisikawan Indonesia. [14] Schreiber, T. (2000). "Measuring information transfer". Physical Review Letter 85. [15] Schwartz, G. (1978). “Estimating the dimension of a model”. Annals of Statistics 5(2). |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/67247 |