Computable General Equilibrium Micro Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Trade Policies on Poverty in Uganda

Ayoki, Milton (2013): Computable General Equilibrium Micro Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Trade Policies on Poverty in Uganda. Published in:

Abstract

This paper uses a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) framework and benchmark data from Uganda national household survey to estimate the impact of trade liberalisation on poverty in Uganda. Three simulations are performed: removal of EAC tariffs, removal of non-EAC COMESA tariffs and removal of all tariffs. Our results indicate that poverty falls in all cases, but poverty falls much more in the case of a complete removal of tariffs on all imports (2.94%), compared with the case of removal of EAC tariffs (2.76%) or non-EAC COMESA tariffs (1.08%).

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium Models, Micro-Simulation Analysis, Trade Policies, Poverty, Uganda.
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C68 - Computable General Equilibrium Models; D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D78 - Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation and Implementation; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F13 - Trade Policy ; International Trade Organizations; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F14 - Empirical Studies of Trade; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F17 - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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