BAYALE, Nimonka (2018): Quel volume d’aide internationale pour la croissance dans l’UEMOA ? Published in: Editions universitaires européennes (7 August 2018): pp. 1-73.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_88886.pdf Download (10MB) | Preview |
Abstract
The main purpose of this chapter is to analyze threshold effects of Official Development Assistance on economic growth in WAEMU zone countries. To achieve this, the study is based on OECD and WDI data covering the period 1980-2015 and used Hansen’s Panel Threshold Regression model to “bootstrap” aid threshold above which its effectiveness is effective. The evidence strongly supports the view that the relationship between aid and economic growth is non-linear with a unique threshold which is 12.74% GDP. Above this value, the marginal effect of aid is 0.69 point. One of the main contributions of this paper is to show that WAEMU countries need investments that could be covered by the foreign aid. This later one should be considered just as a complementary resource. Thus, WEAMU countries should continue to strengthen their efforts in internal resource mobilization in order to fulfil this need.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Quel volume d’aide internationale pour la croissance dans l’UEMOA ? |
English Title: | What amount of foreign aid for economic growth in WAEMU? |
Language: | French |
Keywords: | Foreign Aid, Panel Threshold Regression, Economic Growth, WAEMU zone |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C63 - Computational Techniques ; Simulation Modeling F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F35 - Foreign Aid O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O40 - General |
Item ID: | 88886 |
Depositing User: | Nimonka BAYALE |
Date Deposited: | 15 Jul 2020 08:01 |
Last Modified: | 15 Jul 2020 08:01 |
References: | Aboubacar, B., Xu, D. et Ousseini, A.M. (2015), “Foreign Aid’s Effect on Economic Growth, New Results from WAEMU’s Countries”, Theoretical Economics Letters, 5, 425-430. Acemoglu J. et B. Weder (2002), “Do Corrupt Governments Receives Less Foreign Aid?” American Economic Review 92 (4). Addison T., Morrissey, O. et Tarp, F. (2017), “The Macroeconomics of Aid : Overview”, The Journal of Development Studies, DOI : 10.1080/00220388.2017.1303669. Agénor, P-R. (2016), “Des promesses et encore des promesses : la volatilité de l’aide et la croissance économique “, FERDI, Notes brève N. 148. Alia, D. et Anago, K. (2014), “Foreign aid effectiveness in African economies: Evidence from a panel threshold framework” World Institute of Developpement Economics Reaserch (WIDER) Working Paper, AERC - 2014/015. Amewoa, A., K. (2008) “L’aide au développement aide-t-elle le développement ? le cas de l’Afrique sub-saharienne ” Thèse de doctorat Sciences Economiques, Université de Limoges. Amprou J., Chauvet L. (2007), “Débats sur l’efficacité de l’aide : fondements et nouveaux enjeux ”, Paris : Agence française de développement (AFD), p.147. Areliano M. et Bover O. (1995) “Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models”, Journal of Econometrics 68 (1995). Arndt, C., Jones, S., et Tarp, F. (2010), “Aid and Growth: Have We Come Full Circle?”, Journal of Globalization and Development, 1(2): 1–26. Arndt, C., Mckay, A. et Tarp, F. (2016), “Growth and Poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa”, Oxford: Oxford University Press. Azam, J.P. et Laffont, J.J., (2003), “Contracting for aid”, Journal of Development Economics 70, pp. 25-58. Bai, J. (1997), ‘‘ Estimating multiple breaks one at a time’’, Econometric Theory 13, 315 – 352. Banque mondiale (1998), “Assessing Aid: What Works, What Doesn’t, and Why?” Oxford University Press, New York. Banque Mondiale (2015), “Financer le programme de développement durable pour l’après 2015” rapport annuel 2015, Washington DC. Banque Mondiale (2017), “World Development Indicators”, World Bank, Washington DC. Barro Robert et Xavier Sala-i-Martin (1998), “Economic Growth”, MIT Press. Bauer P. (1972), “Dissent on Development”, Cambridge Harvard University Press. Bauer P. T. (1984), “Reality and Rhetoric : Studies in the Economics of Development”, Cambridge, Mass : Harvard University Press, 1984, P.52. Bayale, N. (2018a), “Aid and Growth in West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries : a return back to a controversial relationship”, Munich Personal RePEc Archive Paper No. 85357; https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/85357/1/MPRA_paper_85357.pdf Bayale, N. (2014), “Capital Humain et Croissance économique dans les pays de l’UEMOA : cas du Togo”; Mémoire de DEA – PTCI, Bibliothèque de l’Université d’Abomey-Calavi. Berg E. (2003). “Augmenter l’efficacité de l’aide : une critique de quelques points de vue actuels”, Revue d’économie du développement, 17 (4), p. 11-42. Biao, B. (2017), “Analyse des effets de l’instabilité de l’aide publique au développement (APD) sur la croissance économique dans les pays africains”, African Development Review, Vol. 29, No. 3, 2017, 416–428. Boone P. (1994), “The impact of Foreign Aid on Savings and Growth”, Center for Economic Performance Working Paper, n°677, London School of Economics. Boone, P. (1996), “Politics and the Effectiveness of Foreign Aid”, European Economic Review 40(2), pp 289-329. Review 90, n°4, pp 847-68. Boussichas M. et Guillaumont P., 2015, “Mesurer l’aide publique au développement : pourquoi et comment changer ? ”, Ferdi, Note brève B100. Boussichas M. et Guillaumont P., (2017) “Trois propos sur le financement de la recherche pour le développement”, FERDI Working Paper n.189. Burnside Craig et David Dollar (1997), “Aid, Policies, and Growth”, Policy Research Working Paper N° 1777, The World Bank, Washington DC. Burnside C. et Dollar D. (1998), “Aid, the Incentive Regime, and Poverty Reduction”, Policy Research Working Paper, WPS1937, 06-98. Macroeconomics and Growth Group, The W.B. Burnside, C et Dollar, D. (2000), “Aid, Policies, and Growth”, American Economic Review 90: 847-868. Burnside C. et Dollar D. (2003), “A Reply to New Data, New Doubts : A Comment on Burnside and Dollar’s “Aid, Policies, and Growth”. Forthcoming, American Economic Review. Burnside Craig et David Dollar (2005), “Aid, Policies, and Growth: Revisiting the Evidence”. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3251. Caner, M. et Hansen, B. (2004), “Instrument variable Estimation of a Threshold Model”, Econometric Theory, 20, 813-843. Chauvet L. et P. Guillaumont (2002), “Aid and Growth Revisited: Policy, Economic Vulnerability and Political Instability”, Paper present at the Annual Bank Conference or Development Economics on Towards Pro-poor Policies, Oslo, June. Civelli, A., Horowitz, A. et Teixeira, A. (2017), “Foreign Aid and Growth at the Subnational Level ”, Aiddata working paper, N.36. Clemens, Michael A., Steven, R., Rikhil R., Bhavnani et Bazzi, S. (2004), “Counting Chickens When They Hatch: Timing and the Effects of Aid on Growth”, Economic Journal, 122, 561: 590- 617. Colletaz, G. et Hurlin, C. (2006), ‘‘ Threshold effects in the public capital productivity : an international panel smooth transition approach’’, Document de Recherche 1, Laboratoire d’Economie d’Orléans. Collier P. et D. Dollar (1999), “Aid Allocation and Poverty Reduction”, Policy Research Working Paper N°2041, World Bank. Collier, P. et Dollar, D. (2001), "Can the World Cut Poverty in Half ? How Policy Reform and Effective Aid Can Meet International Development Goals," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 1787-1802, November. Collier P. et Dehn (2001), « Aid, Shocks and Growth », World Bank Working Paper 2688 ; World Bank Development Research Group, Washington D.C. Collier P. et Dollar D. (2002), “Aid Allocation and Poverty Reduction”, European Economic Review, 46 (8), 1475-1500, World Bank. Dalgaard, C-J. et Hansen H., (2017), “The Return to Foreign Aid” , The Journal of Development Studies, 53:7, 998-1018, DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2017.1303674. Dalgaard, Carl-Johan, Henrik Hansen, et Finn Tarp (2004), “On the empirics of foreign aid and growth,” Economic Journal, 114 (496) : 191-216. Dollar D. et Easterly, W. (1999), "The Search for the Key : Aid, Investment and Policies in Africa," Journal of African Economies, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(4), pages 546-77, December. Dreher, A. et Langlotz, L. (2015), “Aid and growth. New evidence using an excludable instrument”, Working paper, Heidelberg University, University of Goettingen, Germany. Dreher A. et Lohmann S., (2015), “Aid and growth at the regional level”, Working papers, University of Goettingen, Germany. Doucouliagos, H. et Paldam, M., (2013), “The Robust Result in Meta-analysis of Aid Effectiveness : A Response to Mekasha and Tarp”, The Journal of Development Studies, 49 : 4, 584-587, DOI : 10.1080/00220388.2013.764595. Doucouliagos, H. et Paldam, M. (2008), “Aid effectiveness on growth: A meta study ”, European journal of political economy – Elsevier. Easterly W. (2007), “Are aid agencies improving?”, Economic Policy, 22 (52), p. 633–678. Easterly W., R. Levine et D. Roodman (2004), “New data, new doubts : A Comment on Burnside and Dollar’s “Aid, Policies, and Growth””, American Economic Review, June, 94(3), 774-780. Easterly William (2005), “What did structural adjustment adjust ? The association of policies and growth with repeated IMF and World Bank loans”, Journal of Development Economics 76 (1): 1-22. Fiodendji, K. et Evlo K. (2013), “Threshold effects in the foreign aid-economic growth relationship: the role of institutional quality and macroeconomic policy environment”, Modern economy, N°4, 681-695, USA. Fiodendji, K., Kamgnia Dia B. et Tanimoune Ary N., (2014), “Inflation and Economic Performance in the CFA Franc Zone: Transmission Channels and Threshold Effects”, Econometric Methods for Analyzing Economic Development (pp. 10-29), USA. FMI (2017), “Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA) : Politiques communes des pays membres ”, Rapport du FMI No. 17/99, International Monetary Fund Publication Services, PO Box 92780, Washington, D.C. 20090. Fouquau, J. (2008), “Modèles à changements de régimes et données de panel : de la non-linéarité à l’hétérogénéité”, Thèse de doctorat Sciences Economiques, Université d’Orléans. Friedman, M., (1958), “Foreign Economic Aid ”, Yale Review, 47 (4) : 501-516. González, A., Teräsvirta, T. et van Dijk, D. (2005), ‘‘ Panel Smooth Transition Regression model’’, SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 604, Stockholm School of Economics. Gourieroux, C. et Monfort, A., eds (1995), ‘‘ Séries temporelles et modèles dynamiques’’, Economica 3ème édition. Gouriéroux, C. et Monfort, A. (1993), ‘‘ Simulation-based Inference : a survey with reference to panel data models’’, Journal of Econometrics 59, 5–33. Guillaumont P. et L. Chauvet (2001), “Aid and Performance: A Reassessment”, Journal of Development Studies 37. Guillaumont P. (1971), “Ambiguïtés dans le calcul des besoins d’aide internationale au développement”, Annales Economiques 2. Hadri, K. (2000), ‘‘ Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panel data’’, Econometrics Journal 3, 148–161. Hansen B. E., (1999), “Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: estimation, testing, and inference”, Journal of Econometrics 93 (2), pp. 345–368. Hansen, B. (2000), ‘‘Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation”, Econometrica, 68, 575-604. Hansen H. et F. Tarp (2000), “Aid Effectiveness Disputed”, Journal of International Development Vol. 12, pp. 375-398. (Egalement publié dans Tarp F. (ed). Foreign Aid and Development. Routledge). Hansen H. et F. Tarp, (2001), “Aid and Growth Regressions”, Journal of Development Economics 64(2): 547-570. Hansen, H., et F. Tarp (2001), “Aid Effectiveness Disputed”, Journal of International Development, 12(3): 375–98. Hodrick, R. J. et Prescott, E. C. (1997), ‘‘Postwar U.S. Business Cycles : an Empirical Investigation’’, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, vol. 26, pp. 1-16. Hodrick R.J. et Prescott, E.C. (1980), ‘‘Post-War U.S Business Cycle : An Empirical Investigation’’, Miméo, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh. Hsiao, C. (1974), ‘‘ Statistical inference for a model with both random cross-sectional and time effects’’, International Economic Letters 15, 12–30. Hurlin, C. (2005), ‘‘ Un test simple de l’hypothèse de non causalité dans un modèle de panel hétérogène’’, Revue Economique 56(3), 799–809. Hurlin C., (2011), “Comments on the code”, Laboratoire d’Economie d’Orléans (LEO) ; Université d’Orléans, France. Hudson J., P. Mosley et A. Verschoor (2004.), “Aid, Poverty Reduction and the New onditionality”, The Economic Journal Vol 114. Igue, C. B. (2015), “Aide publique au développement, dépenses sociales et croissance pro-pauvre au Bénin”, Revue d’Economie Théorique et Appliquée, Volume 5 – Numéro 2 – Déc. 2015 pp 97-114. Jacquet et Naudet (2006), “Revisiter l’aide publique au développement” Economie internationale 2006/4 (n° 108). Jeffrey, Scott B. (2015), "Is All Foreign Aid the Same? An Empirical Comparison of the Effect of Multilateral and Bilateral Aid on Growth," Undergraduate Economic Review: Vol. 12: Iss. 1, Article 3. Kilolo, J-M. M., (2017), “Foreign aid and trade reform : Evidence from ACP-EU data ”, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, ISSN : 0963-8199. Knack, S. (2004), “Does Foreign Aid Promote Democracy?”, International Studies Quarterly 48: 251-266. Khemiri I. (2014), “Aide au développement et Croissance Economique”, Economics and Strategic Management of Business Process (ESMB), Vol. 2, pp. 97-202. Lensink, Robert et Howard White (2001), “Are There Negative Returns to Aid ?” Journal of Development Studies, 37 (6) : 42–65. Levy, V. (1988), “Aid and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Recent Experience”, European Economic Review 32 (9):1777-95. Lewis, A. (1954), “Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour”, The Manchester school of economic and social studies, vol. 22. Malam Maman, N. (2009), “Impact de l’aide publique au développement sur la croissance économique du Niger”, Revue Africaine de l’Intégration, Vol. 3. No. 2, pp. 223–68. Mbah, S. et Amassoma D., (2014), “The Linkage between Foreign Aid and Economic Growth in Nigeria”, International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 4, No. 6. Mekasha, T.J., Tarp, F., (2013), “Aid and Growth: What Meta-Analysis Reveals”, The Journal of Development Studies, 1-20 ; 49:4, 564-583, DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2012.709621. Moyo, D. (2009), “Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way for Africa” New York Times n°6; Washington Post n°4 et Wall Street Journal no 2. Mosley, P. Hudson, J. et Horrel, S., (1987), “Aid, the Public Sector and the Market in Less Developed Economies”, Economic Journal 97(3): 616-641. Nations Unies, (2017), “Financement du développement : questions ayant trait à la mobilisation des ressources publiques intérieures et à la coopération internationale pour le développement”, Note du secrétariat de la CNUCED, novembre 2017. Ndikumana, L. et Pickbourn, L. (2016), “The Impact of Foreign Aid Allocation on Access to Social Services in sub-Saharan Africa: The Case of Water and Sanitation”, Political Economic Research Institute (PERI), Working Paper 400. Ndikumanadu, L. (2014), “Fuite des capitaux et paradis fiscaux : impact sur l’investissement et la croissance en Afrique” Revue d’économie du développement, N° 2 ; ISSN : 1245-4060. OCDE (1972). Recommandation sur les conditions financières et modalités de l’aide. Paris : OCDE, Consultable à l’adresse : http://acts.oecd.org/Instruments/ListBySubjectView.aspx. (Consultée en Octobre 2017). OCDE (2005), “Déclaration de Paris sur l’efficacité de l’aide au développement”, OCDE, Paris. OCDE (2008), “Programme d’Action d’Accra”, OCDE, Paris. OCDE (2017), “Coopération pour le Développement : Données et développement”, Rapport 2017 ; 9789264277175 (PDF) ; http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/dcr-2017-fr . Papanek, G.F. (1973), “Aid, Foreign Private Investment, Savings, and Growth in Less Developed Countries”, Journal of Political Economy 81(1):120-130. Rajan, R. et Subramanian, A., (2010), “Aid, Dutch Disease, and Manufacturing Growth”, Journal of Development Economics, 94(1): 106–18. Sachs Jeffrey (2005), “Investing in Development: A Practical Plan to Achieve the Millennium Development Goals”. New York, UN Millennium Project. Sala-i-Martin Xavier (1996), “The Classical Approach to Convergence Analysis”, The Sargan, J. D. (1958), “The Estimation of Economic Relationships Using Instrumental Variables”, Econometrica, vol. 26, 1958, p. 393-415 (JSTOR 1907619). Sothan, S., (2017), “Foreign aid and economic growth : evidence from Cambodia ”, The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, ISSN : 0963-8199. Sraieb, M., (2016), “What is Behind Foreign Aid Ineffectiveness ? ”, Reflets et perspectives de la vie économique, tome lv, (2), 61-73. Doi :10.3917/rpve.552.0061. Solow R. (1956), “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 1, p 65-94. Stiglitz, J., (2002), “Overseas Aid is Money Well Spent” Financial Times, April 14. Svensson J. (1999). “Aid, growth, and democracy” Economics and Politics 11, 275-297. Temple, J. (2010), “Aid and conditionality ”, in : D. Rodrik and M. Rosenzweig (eds) Handbook of Development Economics, Volume 5 (Amsterdam : Elsevier), pp. 4416–4522. Tavares, J. (2003), “Does foreign aid corrupt?”, Economics Letters, 79(1), 99–106. UEMOA (2018), “Rapport semestriel d'exécution de la surveillance multilatérale”, juin 2018. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/88886 |