Harashima, Taiji (2019): The Correlation between Time Preference and Incomes Is Spurious: They Are Bridged by Fluid Intelligence.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_96756.pdf Download (798kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The rate of time preference (RTP) has been observed to be negatively correlated with incomes, but the mechanism behind this correlation is not yet sufficiently understood. Here, I examine it on the basis of fluid intelligence in an economy in which households behave according to the maximum degree of comfortability. I show that heterogeneity in fluid intelligences among households causes heterogeneous RTPs and incomes at the same time. This means that the negative correlation between RTP and incomes is spurious, and there is no direct causality between them. They only appear to be correlated because they are bridged by fluid intelligences.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The Correlation between Time Preference and Incomes Is Spurious: They Are Bridged by Fluid Intelligence |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | The rate of time preference; Maximum degree of comfortability; Fluid intelligence |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D11 - Consumer Economics: Theory D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D14 - Household Saving; Personal Finance D - Microeconomics > D9 - Intertemporal Choice > D91 - Intertemporal Household Choice ; Life Cycle Models and Saving E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E22 - Investment ; Capital ; Intangible Capital ; Capacity |
Item ID: | 96756 |
Depositing User: | Taiji Harashima |
Date Deposited: | 06 Nov 2019 11:34 |
Last Modified: | 06 Nov 2019 11:35 |
References: | Becker, Gary S. and Casey Mulligan (1997) “The Endogenous Determination of Time Preference,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 112, No. 3, pp. 729–758. Becker, Robert A. (1980) “On the Long-run Steady State in a Simple Dynamic Model of Equilibrium with Heterogeneous Households,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 95, No. 2, pp. 375–382. Cattell, Raymond Bernard. (1963) “Theory of Fluid and Crystallized Intelligence: A Critical Experiment,” Journal of Educational Psychology, Vo. 54, pp. 1-22. Cattell, Raymond Bernard. (1971) Abilities: Their structure, growth, and action, Houghton Mifflin, Boston. Epstein, Larry G. (1987) “A Simple Dynamic General Equilibrium Model,” Journal of Economic theory, Vol. 41, No. 1, pp. 68–95. Epstein, Larry G. and J. Allan Hynes (1983) “The Rate of Time Preference and Dynamic Economic Analysis,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91, No. 4, pp. 611-635. Fisher, Irving (1930) The Theory of Interest, Macmillan, New York Frederick, Shane, George Loewenstein and Ted O’Donoghue (2002) “Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review,” Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 40, No. 2, pp. 351-401. Harashima, Taiji (2004) “A More Realistic Endogenous Time Preference Model and the Slump in Japan,” EconWPA Working Papers, ewp-mac0402015. Harashima, Taiji (2009) “A Theory of Total Factor Productivity and the Convergence Hypothesis: Workers’ Innovations as an Essential Element,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 15508. Harashima, Taiji (2010) “Sustainable Heterogeneity: Inequality, Growth, and Social Welfare in a Heterogeneous Population,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 24233. Harashima, Taiji (2012) “A Theory of Intelligence and Total Factor Productivity: Value Added Reflects the Fruits of Fluid Intelligence,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 43151 Harashima, Taiji (2014) “Time Preference Shocks,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper, No. 60205. Harashima (2016) “A Theory of Total Factor Productivity and the Convergence Hypothesis: Workers’ Innovations as an Essential Element,” in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 50, No.1, pp. 55-80. (原嶋 耐治「全要素生産性の理論と収斂仮説:根源的要素としての一般労働者のイノベーション」『金沢星稜大学論集』第50巻第1号 55~80頁) Harashima, Taiji (2017a) “Sustainable Heterogeneity: Inequality, Growth, and Social Welfare in a Heterogeneous Population,” in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 51, No.1, pp. 31-80. (原嶋 耐治「持続可能な非均質性―均質ではない構成員からなる経済における不平等、経済成長及び社会的厚生―」『金沢星稜大学論集』第51巻第1号 31~80頁) Harashima (2017b) “A Theory on the Economic Impacts of Immigration,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 78821. Harashima (2018) “Do Households Actually Generate Rational Expectations? “Invisible Hand” for Steady State,” MPRA (The Munich Personal RePEc Archive) Paper No. 88822. Harashima (2019) “Do Households Actually Generate Rational Expectations? ‘Invisible Hand’ for Steady State,” in Japanese, Journal of Kanazawa Seiryo University, Vol. 52, No.2, pp. 49-70. (原嶋 耐治「家計は実際に合理的期待を形成して行動しているのか—定常状態への「見えざる手」—」『金沢星稜大学論集』第52巻第2号 49~70頁) Lawrance, Emily C. (1991) “Poverty and the Rate of Time Preference: Evidence from Panel Data,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 99, No. 1, pp. 54–77. Lord, Frederic M. and Melvin R. Novick. (1968) Statistical Theories of Mental Test Scores, Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA. Lucas, Robert E., Jr. and Nancy L. Stokey (1984) “Optimal Growth with Many Consumers,” Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 32, pp. 139-171. Obstfeld, Maurice (1990) “Intertemporal Dependence, Impatience, and Dynamics,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 45-75. Samwick, Andrew A. (1998) “Discount Rate Heterogeneity and Social Security Reform,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 57, No. 1, pp. 117–146. Uzawa, Hirofumi (1968) “Time Preference, the Consumption Function, and Optimal Asset Holdings,” in Value, Capital, and Growth: Papers in Honour of Sir John Hicks (J. N. Wolfe ed.), University of Edinburgh Press, Edinburgh, Scotland. van der Linden, Wim J. and Ronald K. Hambleton. (Eds.) (1997) Handbook of Modern Item Response Theory, Springer-Verlag, New York. Ventura, Luigi. (2003) “Direct Measure of Time-preference,” Economic and Social Review, Vol. 34, No. 3, pp. 293–310. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/96756 |